A 35 year old woman with a family history of breast
cancer was in need of advice. Her two sisters, aged 34 and 38, were
healthy and not affected, but her mother had developed breast cancer at the age of 48, and her mother's paternal aunt had developed it at
39 (figure). The sisters lived in different parts of the United Kingdom. Her elder sister had been told that this family history was
not important and that she would not need any screening until she was
eligible for the national screening programme, whereas her younger
sister had already had a mammogram and been told that she should have
these yearly from the age of 35. The patient was confused and asked her
general practitioner whether she should have mammography. The general
practitioner wrote to the local genetics service for advice.
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Summary points
There have been no randomised controlled trials of mammography in
women under 50 with a family history of breast cancer
The sensitivity and specificity of mammography are lower in women aged
under 50 than in those over 50
There is no NHS funding for mammographic screening of women under 50 with a family history of breast cancer, although such screening is
performed regularly
The current consensus view is that mammography for women under 50 is appropriate if there is a certain degree of family history of breast
cancer
Guidelines for such screening are available locally through most
clinical genetics departments
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An area of confusion |
Our experience with such enquiries suggested that the
patient and her doctor were not alone in their confusion. Nationally and internationally, recommendations for screening women under 50 with
a family history of breast cancer vary enormously. When family members
are separated geographically they often receive different advice in
both primary and secondary care. There is a plethora of local
guidelines in the United Kingdom, which list varying degrees of family
history needed before women under the age of 50 should be referred for
mammography, but these are largely based on the opinions of local experts.
Breast screening in the general population has been shown to reduce
mortality in women aged 50-64.
1 2
However, screening women in the general population below the age of 50 is much more controversial. Some trials have reported a reduction in mortality in
this age group, but this reduction, if real, is much smaller and takes
longer to appear than for women aged over 50, and the adverse
consequences of screening have been shown to be
greater.
1 3
We wanted to know what evidence exists to
suggest that mammography is worth while in women aged under 50 with a
family history of breast
cancer.
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Searching for evidence |
We started searching for evidence with the easy option: typing
"detection breast cancer in women with a family history" and "diagnosis" into the PubMed clinical query site
(www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/clinical.html). This gave 55 hits.
Excluding reviews and non-English publications, there were five papers
examining mammography in women with a family history.
4-6 8 9
We tried the alternative phrase
"management women with family history breast cancer." This gave 50 hits, which did not include any of the above five but did identify a
further relevant paper.10 We next searched Medline for the
period January 1995 to December 2000, combining free text words
"mammography" or "breast screening" and "family history."
This search yielded 114 papers in English, including all but the most
recent of the six papers found using the clinical query and one
additional study.11 We also searched the Cochrane
Database of Systematic Reviews and Best Evidence but
found no relevant studies.
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Evidence or the lack of it |
There have been no randomised controlled trials looking at the
effectiveness of mammography for women under 50 with a family history
of breast cancer. Six of the seven studies listed in the table are
small studies (European and Canadian), and all have slightly different
comparison groups. The only large study was an American study in 2000 comparing cancer detection rates in screened women with and without a
family history. Four of the studies reported that the rate of detection
of cancer in women under 50 with a family history is comparable to
that seen in women over 50 in a screening programme, and one study
found more cancers in higher risk groups than lower risk groups. Most
of these studies combined mammographic screening with clinical breast
examination and one combined it with breast self examination, which is
not the case with the British national screening programme, and two papers commented on the importance of using a combination of screening modalities. Furthermore, not all the papers gave full details of the
type of mammography (for example, one or two views, dosage of
radiation) used.
From the studies that investigated the pathological features of
the detected tumours, it seemed that screening young women with a
family history will detect cancers at an earlier stage than if they
presented with symptoms, suggesting that a survival benefit may be
expected. However, importantly, no evidence yet exists to show that
mortality from breast cancer in this group of women will decrease as a
result of early mammography.
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The limitations of mammography |
The potential benefits of offering mammography to this group have
to be weighed against the potential harms, and most of the papers we
examined listed potential problems with screening women under 50 with a
family history by mammography that need to be considered. Searching
Medline with the MeSH heading "mammography" and subheading
"adverse effects" and limiting the search to publications in
English for 1995-2000, we found studies on the limitations of
mammography. We also examined some of the references cited in the
papers in the table. The studies could be divided into two broad categories.
Reduced sensitivity and specificity
The younger breast is
more dense and hence more radio-opaque, and studies have shown that the
sensitivity and specificity of mammography are lower for women below
the age of 50 and also for women with a family history of breast
cancer.12 This results in a greater number of false
negatives and false positives,12 which may lead to false
reassurance or unnecessary further tests with associated anxiety and
adverse psychological consequences.13 One study estimated
that over a nine year period of annual mammograms the chance of a false positive mammogram in women aged 40-69 years was 43% (increasing to
100% for those who have a family history together with other risk
factors such as benign breast disease or oestrogen use).14
Radiation risk
Regular mammography carries a cumulative
risk due to radiation. Dose and age at exposure are the two most
important determinants of this risk, and hence the risk is
theoretically greater for younger women. In addition, those who have an
inherited predisposition to cancer may be more susceptible to
environmental carcinogens such as radiation. Several studies have
attempted to estimate the number of deaths from breast cancer induced
by breast screening in women under 50 compared with the number of deaths prevented. Bearing in mind the uncertainties inherent in modelling studies of this nature, these studies all show that the
benefit to risk ratio is considerably less favourable for women under
50 than for older women. Some authors conclude that the benefits of
mammography still clearly outweigh the theoretical risks of radiation
in younger women
15 16
; others seem to cautiously support
this conclusion.
17 18
One British study which
specifically considered the issue of family history concluded that
there is cause for concern if screening is extended to women aged less than 30, or less than 40 if women with a family history are shown to
have increased susceptibility to radiation.19
Some of these concerns may be resolved if the trials of breast
screening with magnetic resonance imaging (which carries no radiation
risk) for women at high risk prove successful. Early results show
higher sensitivity and specificity than mammography, but larger trials
are awaited.20
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The patient's risk |
No randomised controlled trials have looked at the effectiveness
of mammography in younger women with a family history of breast cancer,
and these may never be conducted because some experts now believe that
it would be unethical to randomise women to no mammography. The studies
which have been published provide evidence that the detection rate of
cancer in women under 50 with a family history of breast cancer is
equivalent to that in women over 50 in the general population who are
screened. The limited pathology data also suggest that it is reasonable
to expect a survival advantage in women with a family history of breast
cancer. There does, therefore, seem to be growing evidence to support
the widespread pragmatic approach of mammographic screening in women
below the age of 50 if a family history is strong enough. But what
level of family history is enough?
Standard texts cite family history as one of the strongest risk
factors for breast cancer. Risk is increased by the number and type of
affected first and second degree relatives, onset of disease before age
50, and the woman being under 50 at the time of risk assessment.
Different degrees of family history were used as criteria for screening
in the studies listed in the table. Our search thus did not find
evidence for a particular risk category for family history above which
mammography might be indicated. We infer however that the stronger the
family history the better the cancer detection rate.
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Advice to the patient |
For now, therefore, we have to base the decision on whether to
offer mammography to a woman with a family history of breast cancer on
much weaker evidence than we would like. A widely adopted pragmatic
approach is to offer mammography where the risk due to family history
for a woman under 50 years is at least equivalent to the risk for a
woman over 50 in the general population. This roughly equates to a
threefold increased risk of breast cancer by the age of 50 compared
with the general population. With this approach, the patient would be
eligible for mammography, which ideally should be part of a quality
assured process that can be audited.
21 22
We thought the patient should be made aware of the limited evidence and
the potential disadvantages of mammography and these were discussed
with her in full at the genetic clinic. She had been unaware of these
issues and had thought that only cost issues were involved in the
decision process. In the end, although aware of the limitations, she
decided she would like to have mammography and this was arranged for her.