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M Clare Robertson a Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences,
Otago Medical School, PO Box 913, Dunedin, New Zealand, b Department of
Economics, University of Otago
Correspondence to: M C Robertson
clare.robertson{at}stonebow.otago.ac.nz
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Abstract |
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Objectives:
To assess the effectiveness of a trained
district nurse individually prescribing a home based exercise programme to reduce falls and injuries in elderly people and to estimate the cost
effectiveness of the programme.
Design:
Randomised controlled trial with one year's follow up.
Setting:
Community health service at a New Zealand hospital.
Participants:
240 women and men aged 75 years and older.
Intervention:
121 participants received the exercise
programme (exercise group) and 119 received usual care (control group); 90% (211 of 233) completed the trial.
Main outcome measures:
Number of falls, number of
injuries resulting from falls, costs of implementing the programme, and
hospital costs as a result of falls.
Results:
Falls were reduced by 46% (incidence rate ratio 0.54, 95% confidence interval 0.32 to 0.90). Five hospital admissions were due to injuries caused by falls in the control group
and none in the exercise group. The programme cost $NZ1803 (£523) (at
1998 prices) per fall prevented for delivering the programme and $NZ155
per fall prevented when hospital costs averted were considered.
Conclusion:
A home exercise programme, previously
shown to be successful when delivered by a physiotherapist, was also effective in reducing falls when delivered by a trained nurse from
within a home health service. Serious injuries and hospital admissions
due to falls were also reduced. The programme was cost effective in
participants aged 80 years and older compared with younger participants.
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What is already known on this topic
What this study adds
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Introduction |
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The frequency, serious consequences, and healthcare costs of falls in elderly people are well documented.1-5 Randomised controlled trials of single and multiple interventions have shown that falls can be reduced.6 The effectiveness of these programmes and their costs in usual healthcare settings have not been reported. Our research group developed a home based programme of strength and balance retraining, which was effective in reducing falls and falls resulting in moderate injuries when delivered by a research physiotherapist to a group of women aged 80 years and older living in the community. 7 8
We have now tested in two healthcare settings the effectiveness and
efficiency of the programme when delivered by health professionals previously untrained in prescribing exercise. This first paper reports
on the effectiveness and cost effectiveness of the exercise programme
in both men and women aged 75 years and older when delivered from an
established home health service by a trained district nurse.
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Participants and methods |
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Participant recruitment
We identified potential participants aged 75 years and older from
computerised registers at 17 general practices (30 doctors) in the West
Auckland area, New Zealand. These patients received a letter from their
doctor inviting them to take part in the study. The criteria for
exclusion were inability to walk around own residence, receiving
physiotherapy at the time of recruitment, or not able to understand the
requirements of the trial. Recruiting took place over a six month
period in 1998.
Trial design
This was a randomised controlled trial with one year's follow up.
The sample size calculation was based on the proportion of elderly
people who fell once or more in a 12 month prospective community
study,9 an expected reduction from 0.50 to 0.30, and 20%
allowance for dropouts. Our study was approved by the ethics committee
of the Health Funding Authority Northern Division.
Intervention
A district nurse who had had no previous experience in prescribing
exercise attended a one week training course run by the physiotherapist
from the research group. A series of site visits and regular telephone
calls were made by the supervising physiotherapist to assess and ensure
quality control.
Measurement of falls and injuries and health status
Falls were defined as "unintentionally coming to rest on the
ground, floor, or other lower level."10 Falls were
monitored for one year in both groups by asking participants to return
preaddressed and prepaid postcard calendars for each month. The
independent assessor telephoned participants to record the
circumstances of the falls and any injuries or resource use as a result
of the falls. She remained blind to group allocation.
Methods used in economic evaluation
We used cost effectiveness analysis to enable comparisons of
programme efficiency with other interventions for preventing falls. We
considered costs from the societal perspective because of the broad
nature of the problems caused by falls, and we reported them in New
Zealand dollars according to 1998 prices, exclusive of government goods
and services tax. The control group was used as the comparator for the
analysis. We measured cost effectiveness as the incremental cost of
introducing the programme per fall event prevented during the trial.
that is, those resources that could have been employed
elsewhere
could be included. We performed one way sensitivity analyses.
Costs of the exercise programme
We focused on the costs of implementing the exercise programme.
Although there were costs associated with developing the programme,
these costs were incurred before the trial and were not incremental to
this programme. We did not include the research costs of evaluating the programme.
Resource use and healthcare costs resulting from falls
In a previous trial of the exercise programme we found that 90%
of the estimated healthcare costs resulting from falls were for
hospital inpatient and associated health service costs.13
A further 4% were for those services used as a result of serious
injuries and were not provided by the local hospital. Estimated costs
for injuries we classified as moderate made up the remaining 6% of
total healthcare costs resulting from falls.
Calculation of cost effectiveness ratios
We measured cost effectiveness as the ratio
C:
E, where
C (incremental cost) was the change in resource use resulting from
the exercise programme.14 This was taken as the total cost
of implementing the exercise programme because the control group did
not receive an intervention, plus the difference in hospital costs
resulting from falls during the trial for the two groups. We planned to
include estimates for hospital costs as a result of falls in
C only
if these costs or the number of serious injuries proved to be
significantly different between the two groups.
E (incremental effect) as the difference between the
number of falls and the number of falls resulting in moderate or
serious injury in the two groups. We considered the actual number of
fall events and a standardised measure, fall events per 100 person
years. This measure takes into account the variable follow up times for
individuals in the trial.
Sensitivity analysis
We carried out one way sensitivity analyses by calculating cost
effectiveness ratios. We did this with a range of estimates of cost
items for implementing the exercise programme to investigate robustness
of the ratios to different delivery scenarios. We used the 125th
centile of the total, the total, and the 75th centile of the total
costs for implementation when calculating the cost effectiveness ratios
to account for the possibility of different cost conditions when
replicating the programme in different settings. Training and
supervision of the exercise programme could be carried out from the
same rather than a distant centre. We therefore calculated cost
effectiveness ratios excluding travel costs between centres and the
associated accommodation costs. We used the 125th centile of the costs
for the home visits to give an indication of costs for delivering the
programme in a more spread out community. The ankle cuff weights we
used were manufactured cheaply in a non-commercial environment.
Participants may well have been encouraged to use more weights.
Therefore in the sensitivity analyses we used four times the actual
cost of the weights. The home health service could not identify any
extra overhead costs as a result of running the exercise programme. We
included this scenario in the sensitivity analyses. For this part of
our study we also calculated cost effectiveness ratios for those aged
80 years and older by apportioning the costs of the programme (on a pro
rata basis) between the 75 to 79 year olds and those aged 80 and older,
and using the number of fall events prevented in those aged 80 years
and older.
Time horizon
Assuming that participants keep exercising, the benefits of the
exercise programme would extend past the time individuals participated
in the trial, but the extent of this benefit and longer term compliance
rates are uncertain. We calculated cost effectiveness ratios for the
duration of the trial only.
Statistical analysis
We analysed data on an intention to treat basis with Stata Release
6 and SPSS 6.1.1. No deviations occurred from random allocation
all
those who were allocated to the exercise group received at least one
home visit, and no participants in the control group received the
programme. The mean (SD) time between baseline assessment and the first
home visit was 11.5 (6.1) days.
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Results |
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Trial participants and follow up
The mean (SD) age of participants was 80.9 (4.2) years, and ages
ranged from 75 to 95 years. Table 1 shows the characteristics of
participants at entry to the trial.
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Falls and fall related injuries
Table 2 shows the actual and standardised numbers of falls
and the numbers of falls resulting in injuries during the trial. We
found a 46% reduction in the number of falls during the trial for the
exercise group compared with the control group (incidence rate ratio
from negative binomial regression model 0.54, 95% confidence interval
0.32 to 0.90). The number of falls was reduced in those aged 80 years
and older (81 v 43 falls for control and exercise groups,
respectively; P=0.007), and there was no difference in participants
aged 75 to 79 years. One participant did fall while exercising
according to instructions.
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Economic evaluation
Costs of implementing the exercise programme
Table 3 shows the values for the cost items for implementing
the exercise programme. The programme cost $NZ52 229 ($NZ432 per
person) to deliver to the 121 participants for one
year.
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Resource use resulting from falls
Overall, 44 of 189 (23%) falls resulted in the use of healthcare
services (table 2). Medical care was sought for more falls in the
control than exercise group, but the difference was not significant.
The five people admitted to hospital were all from the control group
and were aged over 80 years. The actual cost of these admissions and
therefore the hospital cost averted by the exercise programme was
$NZ47 818.
Cost effectiveness measures
The incremental cost per fall prevented was $NZ1803 (table 4).
Estimates for the cost per fall with an injury prevented ranged from
$NZ5603 to $NZ9437 for the different cost scenarios. When we included
cost savings from hospital admissions in the calculation of cost
effectiveness ratios, the estimates of the ratios were considerably
lower (some indicated cost savings) than for those calculated using the
exercise programme costs alone.
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Discussion |
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An individually tailored exercise programme delivered at home can prevent falls. The programme can be delivered safely by a district nurse and is suitable for both men and women. Academic researchers are sometimes perceived as being remote from the day to day realities of delivering health care, and the results of research do not always reach those who could benefit.16 Our trial is an example of effective collaboration between researchers, public health professionals, and administrators, resulting in health benefits to elderly people in the community.
Subgroup analysis showed that the programme was effective in those aged 80 years and older but not in those aged 75 to 79 years. Although our trial was not designed to test this, the finding is consistent with our previous finding that falls were not reduced by the exercise programme in a sample of women and men aged 65 years and older who were taking psychotropic drugs.17 The programme may be more effective in frailer, elderly people than younger, fitter people because the exercises increase strength and balance above the critical threshold necessary for stability.
As with all age groups only a proportion will be prepared to join an exercise programme, but as shown by the characteristics at trial entry, the participants represented a general population of this age group. Follow up was good, although more people withdrew from the control than exercise group. This may have biased the results against effectiveness because those who withdrew were at a higher risk of falling.
The exercise group had the same number of moderate injuries but fewer serious injuries as a result of a fall than the control group. Injuries resulting in hospital admissions are costly, and reducing injuries such as fractures and lacerations in our trial resulted in cost savings.
We used hospital admission costs as a result of a fall injury as our estimate of the consequences of the exercise programme. We found the same number of moderate injuries resulting from falls in both groups. We also knew from an earlier study that the remaining medical and personal costs resulting from falls account for only 10% of the total healthcare costs for falls.
We estimated the cost of implementing the exercise programme to serve as a guide for the cost of replicating the programme in the future. Costs may well differ in a different setting or be influenced by the reporting expectations of those who fund the programme, by the efficiency and experience level of the instructor, and by the age group enrolled. For example, some of the costs of implementing the programme would not be incurred if the programme was run in one urban area (see table 4 for the same centre scenario).
Comparison with other interventions for preventing falls
Effectiveness
Implementing this single intervention proved as or more effective
in reducing falls than other successful community based programmes
reported in the literature.18-21 Withdrawing psychotropic drugs reduced the risk of falls by 66%, but there were difficulties in
recruiting participants to the trial and a high dropout
rate.16 Other community based interventions have not
proved successful in reducing falls.22-25
Economic efficiency
Little information is available at present for comparing the
efficiency of the exercise programme with other interventions aimed at
preventing falls. We found only two publications reporting the cost
effectiveness of implementing an intervention for preventing falls in
the community.
26 27
The exercise programme in our trial
was more cost effective than a home based, targeted, multifactorial
intervention (total intervention implementation costs per fall
prevented $US2668 (at 1993 prices; around $NZ6141) versus $NZ1803,
although this figure did include "developmental" costs for the
programme). A home assessment and modification programme, successful in
reducing falls in those with a history of a fall in the previous year,
cost an average of $A4986 (at 1997 prices; $NZ1.00=$A0.89 in 1997) per
fall prevented. This cost effectiveness ratio incorporated all
healthcare resource use during the trial.27
Conclusions
In our previous trials, the exercise programme was delivered by a
physiotherapist.
7 17
We conclude that a trained district
nurse is also an appropriate person to implement the programme.
Implementation of the programme worked well when run from an
established home health service and required the minimum of input from
other staff. We recommend that nurses are trained and supervised by a
suitably qualified physiotherapist. Although supervision in the same
centre would be less time consuming and less costly, long distance
supervision combining site visits and telephone contact worked well.
This trial studied one trained nurse in one health service delivering a
home based exercise programme. Our second pragmatic trial studies
practice nurses trained to deliver the programme from general
practices.29
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Acknowledgments |
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We thank the participants; the West Auckland doctors and their receptionists; Gaye McKay, exercise instructor; Tania Roebuck, independent assessor; Lenore Armstrong, research nurse; Beth Cozens, manager, home health services; Margaret Devlin, Safe Waitakere; Toni Gibbins, clinical analyst; Peter Herbison, statistician; Molly Kavet, clinical information analyst; Professor Murray Tilyard and the General Practice Research Unit; Sheila Williams, statistician; and Gail Woollacott, locality manager.
Contributors: All authors contributed to the study or protocol design, or both, interpreted the data, and wrote the paper. AJC directed the project. MCR managed the project and the data gathering, analysed and interpreted the data, and wrote the paper. MMG trained and supervised the exercise instructor. ND and Dr Paul Scuffham advised on the economic evaluation. AJC and MCR will act as guarantors for the paper.
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Footnotes |
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Funding: This project was funded by the Health Funding Authority Northern Division, New Zealand. MCR and MMG were part funded by Accident Rehabilitation and Compensation Insurance Corporation of New Zealand. MMG was also part funded by a Trustbank Otago Community Trust medical research fellowship.
Competing interests: None declared.
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References |
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(Accepted 19 December 2000)
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