BMJ 2000;321:598-602 ( 9 September )

Papers

Cohort study of risk of fracture before and after surgery for primary hyperparathyroidism

Peter Vestergaard, research associate aCharlotte L Mollerup, consultant in surgery bVibe Gedsø Frøkjær, medical student bPeer Christiansen, consultant in surgery cMogens Blichert-Toft, professor of surgery bLeif Mosekilde, professor of internal medicine a

a Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus Amtssygehus, Aarhus, Denmark, b Department of Endocrine Surgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark, c Department of Surgery, Aarhus University Hospital

Correspondence to: P Vestergaard, Osteoporosis Clinic, Aarhus Amtssygehus, Tage Hansens Gade 2, DK-8000 Århus C, Denmark p-vest{at}post4.tele.dk

    Abstract
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

Objectives: To study whether fracture risk before and after surgery was increased in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism.
Design: Cohort study.
Setting: Three Danish university hospitals.
Participants: 674 consecutive patients with primary hyperparathyroidism (median age 61, range 13-89 years) operated on during the period 1 January 1979 to 31 December 1997; 2021 age and sex matched controls from national patient register.
Main outcome measure: Fractures.
Results: The cases had an increased relative rate of fractures compared with the controls before surgery (1.8, 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 2.3) but not after surgery (1.0, 0.8 to 1.3). The risk of fracture was increased for the vertebrae (3.5, 1.3 to 9.7), the distal part of the lower leg and ankles (2.3, 1.2 to 4.3), and the non-distal part of the forearm (4.0, 1.5 to 10.6) before surgery but not after. The increase in risk of fracture began about 10 years before surgery. Risk peaked 5-6 years before surgery and remained raised, although at a lower level, in the five years immediately before surgery. A small increase in risk of fracture of the distal forearm emerged more than 10 years after surgery (2.9, 1.3 to 6.7).
Conclusions: Risk of fracture is increased up to 10 years before surgery in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism. The risk returns to normal after surgery.

    Introduction
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

Several studies have shown decreased bone mineral content or density in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism. 1 2 The reduction varied between skeletal regions,1 generally tending towards a higher degree of cortical than trabecular bone loss. After surgical cure of primary hyperparathyroidism, the bone mineral density increases over the first few years in both the forearm3-5 and the lumbar spine. 5 6 Although a deficit in bone mineral density in the forearm seems to remain,3 spinal bone mineral density is usually restored. 6 7 Long term studies have found a permanent decrease in bone mineral density of the forearm in patients who had 7 8 and had not9 had surgery. A follow up study comparing patients who had had surgery with patients who had not had surgery, showed no difference in forearm bone mineral content after 17 years despite an initial increase in forearm bone mineral content after surgery.3 Both groups had lower forearm bone mineral content than control subjects.3

Decreased bone mineral density increases the risk of fracture. Several studies have reported an increased prevalence of fractures in patients at the time of diagnosis of primary hyperparathyroidism.10-13 The sites at which risk of fracture is increased are the forearm, 12 13 the spine, 12 14 and the femoral neck.12 Melton et al reported an increase in fracture risk before, but not after, diagnosis of primary hyperparathyroidism.11 In contrast, a large cohort study found no increased risk of hip fractures.15 Wilson et al also found no increased risk of vertebral fractures in patients with mild asymptomatic primary hyperparathyroidism.2 However, most studies have reported on a limited number of patients 10 11 or have not evaluated the incidence of fracture before and after treatment. 10 12 13 15 16

We conducted a large cohort study in 674 patients who had had surgery for primary hyperparathyroidism at three Danish centres and included 2021 controls to assess the risk of fracture before and after surgery at multiple skeletal sites.

    Participants and methods
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

A total of 674 patients had had surgery for primary hyperparathyroidism during the period 1 January 1979 to 31 December 1997 at three Danish centres: Rigshospitalet in Copenhagen (1991-7), Aarhus University Hospital (1979-97), and Odense University Hospital (1979-90). The diagnosis was established by biochemical tests (raised serum concentrations of parathyroid hormone and calcium) at the regional laboratory and confirmed by histological examination of removed tissue at the regional institute of pathology in collaboration with the surgeon. Data on weight of removed tissue and histological diagnosis were retrieved from the medical files. As serum calcium concentration was measured by different methods at the three centres, serum calcium concentration was expressed as ionised serum calcium measured on the day before surgery. We used the formula ionised serum calcium (mmol/l)=0.25+ 0.45× serum total calcium (mmol/l).

For each of the 674 patients up to three matched control subjects were drawn from population lists of subjects who had been residing in Denmark during the period 1 January 1978 to 31 December 1997. Controls were identified by standard database made by the computer department of the Ministry of the Interior. The control subjects were matched for age (same birth year), sex, and status (living in Denmark, died, or emigrated by 31 December 1997). One case (dead) could be matched with only two control subjects, leaving 2021 control subjects for comparison with the 674 cases. In the controls, the observation period was divided into "before" and "after" surgery according to the date of surgery of the matched case. The matching was maintained in all comparisons of cases and controls---that is, when analysing the time interval more than five years before surgery in cases, the corresponding time in the controls was used, and the number of fractures within that period was counted in both cases and controls.

We obtained from the national patient registry under the National Board of Health17 all inpatient or outpatient discharge diagnoses concerning the 674 patients and the 2021 controls between 1 January 1978 and 31 December 1997. We compared the frequency of discharge diagnoses of fracture among cases and controls. The national patient registry covers all discharges from Danish hospitals and thus allows almost complete detection of all fractures with a high validity.17 The study had a power of 90% for detecting a 30% increase in overall risk of fracture before surgery and a 99% power for detecting a 40% increase in overall risk of fracture before surgery. After surgery the corresponding power figures were 59% for a 30% increase and 81% for a 40% increase.

Mean, standard deviation, median, and range were used as descriptive statistics. Comparisons of incidence were made by relative rates (rate ratios) and Mantel-Haenszel type statistics. We calculated the 95% confidence intervals of the relative rates using the method of Miettinen: relative rate <FENCE>1±1.96/<RAD><RCD>&khgr;<SUP>2</SUP></RCD></RAD></FENCE>. If the observed number of fractures was FP in the patients and FC in the controls and the person years at risk TP in the patients and TC in the controls, then E=TP×(FP+FC)/(TP+TC) and V=(FP+FC)×TP× TC/(TP+TC)2. Then chi 2 was calculated as (FP-E)2/V. These calculations were performed with Microsoft Excel 5.0 for Windows. Continuous variables were compared by the Mann-Whitney test and contingency tables analysed by the chi 2 test. The association between risk factors and fractures before and after surgery among the patients with primary hyperparathyroidism was assessed by Poisson regression. Relative rates before and after surgery were compared by Poisson regression. All calculations were performed by using SPSS 6.1.3 for Windows 3.11.

    Results
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

Table 1 gives details of cases and controls. The male cases were younger and had larger adenomas and a higher frequency of previous kidney stones than the female cases. Among the cases, 97% (653/674) had surgery less than one year after the first diagnosis of primary hyperparathyroidism was registered. Table 2 shows the risk of fracture before and after surgery. The cases had an increased risk of fractures of the spine, forearms, and lower legs before, but not after, surgery. In both the spine, the forearms, and the lower legs, the increased risk of fracture was present more than one year before surgery. No increased risk of fracture was found at any other site, including the femoral neck. After surgery, cases had no increase in risk of fracture compared with controls. There was a significant reduction after surgery in the relative rate of all fractures together and of forearm fractures.


                              
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Table 1. Details of cases and matched controls



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Relative rates and 95% confidence intervals for risk of fracture in cases compared with matched controls stratified by time before and after surgery. Note the log scale on the ordinate


                              
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Table 2. Relative rates of fractures in cases with primary hyperparathyroidism and matched controls. Before surgery there were 9229.4 observation years among cases and 27 670.0 among controls; after surgery there were 3631.5 observation years among cases and 12 037.7 among controls

Table 3 shows that before surgery, only age was related to fracture risk; no association was found with weight of the diseased parathyroid tissue that was removed. Preoperative serum calcium concentration was not associated with the risk of fracture before surgery (P=0.99).


                              
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Table 3. Risk factors for fractures before and after surgery among cases with primary hyperparathyroidism

The figure shows a time resolved curve of total risk of fracture stratified by time before surgery. Before surgery, the crude fracture rate was 15/1000 person years (95% confidence interval 12 to 17) in cases and 8/1000 person years (7 to 9) in controls. After surgery, the crude fracture rate was 33/1000 in cases (27 to 39) and 34/1000 (30 to 37) in controls. The risk of fracture was not increased more than 10 years before surgery. In the 6-9 years before surgery, the relative risk of fracture increased greatly, peaking at 5-6 years before surgery. The increase in risk was smaller but still significant in the last five years before surgery. The relative rate of fracture in the patients in the 5-9 years before surgery was significantly higher than in the five years before surgery (P=0.001 by Poisson regression). Within the first year after surgery there was still a significant increase in fracture rate, but the increase disappeared after this period (relative rate 2.0 for < 1 year v 0.8 for 1-9 years after surgery, P=0.003). However, more than 10 years after surgery, the risk of fracture increased again (1.7 for fractures >10 years after surgery v 0.8 for 1-9 years after surgery, P=0.002). This increase was mainly due to an increased number of fractures of the distal forearm (relative rate 2.9, 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 6.7).

After surgery, only age, female sex, and at least one fracture before surgery were associated with increased risk of fracture (table 3). Serum calcium concentrations before and after surgery were not related to risk of surgery.

The contact frequency due to a diagnosis of osteoporosis (international classification of disease (ICD-8): 723.09, ICD-10: M80.0-M80.9+M81.0-M81.9) was also higher in patients than in controls before surgery (relative rate 3.7, 95% confidence interval 2.2 to 6.5) but not after (1.4, 0.7 to 2.7). The increase in risk of osteoporosis before surgery was present only in the year before surgery.

    Discussion
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

Increase in overall fracture risk
We found an increased risk of fractures of the forearms, the vertebrae, and the lower legs in a series of 674 unselected patients with primary hyperparathyroidism before surgery. It is unlikely that the presence of fractures influenced the decision to operate as virtually all patients at these centres have surgery after diagnosis of primary hyperparathyroidism. Only the few patients who are medically unfit do not have surgery---for example, those with severe cardiac disease.

We found no increase in risk of fracture more than 10 years before surgery, but the risk increased in the 5-10 years before surgery. A smaller increase in risk of fracture was also present in the five years before surgery. The increase in crude risk of fracture in both cases and controls after surgery was due to the increase in age of the cohort and thus in general risk of fracture.

Abnormal parathyroid tissues may have started growing up to 10 years before surgery. The enhanced effect of parathyroid hormone on the skeleton will increase bone turnover, leading to a loss of bone mineral18 that presents as the initial increase in fracture risk. However, this initial resorption of bone will be followed by formation of new bone, and a new steady state between resorption and formation will be reached, although at a reduced bone mineral density.18 This steady state presents as the period with a stable, but less pronounced, increase in risk of fracture.

The increase in risk of fracture disappeared less than a year after surgery, suggesting a quick restoration of bone biomechanical competence. This finding agrees with studies showing restoration of bone turnover18 and a gain in bone mineral after surgery.8 The finding that age, female sex, and previous fractures were related to risk of fracture agrees with findings in the general population.19

Selection bias
Our results could have been affected by selection bias. The increased frequency of fractures before, but not after, surgery may be caused by primary hyperparathyroidism but could also reflect the fact that patients had primary hyperparathyroidism diagnosed while being examined and treated for a fracture. This factor would, however, account for only some of the increase because almost all patients had surgery within a year after diagnosis. The increase in fractures was present up to 10 years before surgery---that is, before primary hyperparathyroidism was diagnosed or even suspected.

Another potential bias arises because many spine fractures are symptomless and discovered on spine radiography.20 An increased awareness in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism of the possibility of skeletal disease may have led to a higher rate of diagnosis of otherwise symptomless spine fractures by radiography; this is comparable with the increased frequency of diagnosis of osteoporosis in the year before surgery. In a recent study of 407 patients with primary hyperparathyroidism with a mean follow up of 14 years, Khosla et al found an increased frequency of fractures (especially of the vertebrae, distal forearm, ribs, and pelvis) after the diagnosis was established, but only 23% of the patients in their study ultimately had surgery.16 The increased fracture risk in that study may reflect the increased risk of vertebral and forearm fractures seen before surgery in our study. These findings support suggestions that surgery prevents fractures even in mildly hypercalcaemic patients.

Fracture type
The absence of an increase in fractures of the distal forearm before surgery contrasts with the findings of two other studies. 12 13 However, we found an increase in fractures of the shaft and proximal parts of the forearms. Our finding that fractures of the femoral neck were not increased agrees with the results of Larsson et al15 but not with those of Peacock et al,12 who reported an increased prevalence of femoral neck fractures at the time of surgery. Khosla et al found a non-significant trend towards an increased frequency of proximal femoral fractures.16 In agreement with Melton et al we found an increase in risk of fracture before, but not after, surgery.11 However, our study group was considerably larger than those of Melton et al (n=90) and Larsson et al (n=39)13 and dealt with all fracture types.

We found an increased risk of fracture of the distal forearm more than 10 years after surgery. This finding is compatible with studies that show a lasting deficit in forearm bone mineral density 3 7 8 and suggests that patients should have their bone mineral density measured after surgery to determine what preventive measures are needed.

The increase in the rate of spinal fractures before surgery reported by Peacock et al was higher than in our study (relative rate 6.9 v 3.5).12 Unfortunately, they did not report on adenoma weight or other descriptive factors, precluding a comparison with our data. Because we examined the risk of fractures at many sites, one or more of the results could be significant due to chance. However, our results were consistent with the findings of previous studies on changes in bone mineral density. As the increase in risk of fracture was only modest in the last few years before surgery, it would take a large study sample to show a significantly increased risk of fractures. This may explain why a study of 174 patients did not find an increased risk of spinal fractures.2


What is already known on this topic

Patients with primary hyperparathyroidism have an increased risk of fracture

No studies have evaluated the risk of fracture before and after surgery

What this study adds

Cases had an increased risk of fracture risk up to 10 years before surgery compared with controls

Risk of fracture was independent of serum calcium concentrations

The risk returned to the level of controls within one year after surgery



    Acknowledgments

   Contributors: PV drafted the paper and analysed the data. CLM, PC, and MB-T operated on the patients. LM was responsible for clinical control of the patients. VGF coordinated the data collection. All authors participated in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of data and in writing the paper. PV is the guarantor.

    Footnotes

Funding: Eli Lilly Osteoporosis Research Fund.

Competing interests: None declared.

    References
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Participants and methods
Results
Discussion
References

1. Wishart J, Horowitz M, Need A, Nordin BE. Relationship between forearm and vertebral mineral density in postmenopausal women with primary hyperparathyroidism. Arch Intern Med 1990; 150: 1329-1331[Abstract/Free Full Text].
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7. Silverberg SJ, Shane E, Jacobs TP, Siris E, Bilezikian JP. A 10-year prospective study of primary hyperparathyroidism with or without parathyroid surgery. N Engl J Med 1999; 341: 1249-1255[Abstract/Free Full Text].
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9. Rao DS, Wilson RJ, Kleerekoper M, Parfitt AM. Lack of biomechanical progression or continuation of accelerated bone loss in mild asymptomatic primary hyperparathyroidism: evidence for biphasic disease course. J Clin Endocrinol Metab 1988; 67: 1294-1298[Abstract/Free Full Text].
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12. Peacock M, Horsman A, Aaron JE, Marshall DH, Selby PL, Simpson M. The role of parathyroid hormone in bone loss. In: Christiansen C, Arnaud CD, Nordin BEC, Parfitt AM, Peck WA, Riggs BL, eds. Osteoporosis. Glostrup: Department of Clinical Chemistry, Glostrup Hospital, 1984:463-467.
13. Larsson K, Lindh E, Lind L, Persson I, Ljunghall S. Increased fracture risk in hypercalcemia: bone mineral content measured in hyperparathyroidism. Acta Orthop Scand 1989; 60: 268-270[Medline].
14. Kochersberger G, Buckley NJ, Leight GS, Martinez S, Studenski S, Vogler J, et al. What is the clinical significance of bone loss in primary hyperparathyroidism? Arch Intern Med 1987; 147: 1951-1953[Abstract/Free Full Text].
15. Larsson K, Ljunghall S, Krusemo UB, Naessen T, Lindh E, Persson I. The risk of hip fractures in patients with primary hyperparathyroidism: a population-based cohort study with a follow-up of 19 years. J Intern Med 1993; 234: 585-593[Medline].
16. Khosla S, Melton III LJ, Wermers RA, Crowson CS, O'Fallon WM, Riggs BL. Primary hyperparathyroidism and the risk of fracture: a population-based study. J Bone Mineral Res 1999; 14: 1700-1707[CrossRef][Medline].
17. Mellemgaard A, Jørgensen J. Sygdomsmønstret for indlagte patienter og ambulante patienter 1995. Sundhedsstatistikken 1997:5. Copenhagen: National Board of Health, 1997:1-271.
18. Christiansen P, Steiniche T, Brixen K, Hessov I, Melsen F, Heickendorff L, et al. Primary hyperparathyroidism: short term changes in bone remodeling and bone mineral density following parathyroidectomy. Bone 1999; 25: 237-244[Medline].
19. Cummings SR, Nevitt MC, Browner WS, Stone K, Fox KM, Ensrud KE, et al. Risk factors for hip fracture in white women. Study of Osteoporotic Fractures Research Group. N Engl J Med 1995; 332: 767-773[Abstract/Free Full Text].
20. Black DM, Cummings SR, Kerpf DB, Cauley JA, Thompson DE, Nevitt MC, et al. Randomised trial of effect of alendronate on risk of fracture in women with existing vertebral fractures. Lancet 1996; 348: 1535-1541[CrossRef][Medline].

(Accepted 11 June 2000)


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detection bias with time lag
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