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Niels Kroman a Department of Epidemiology Research, Danish
Epidemiology Science Centre, Statens Serum Institut, DK 2300 Copenhagen, Denmark, b Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative
Group, Rigshospitalet, DK 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark, c Department of
Biostatistics, University of Copenhagen, DK 2200 Copenhagen, Denmark
Correspondence
to: M Melbye mme{at}ssi.dk
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Abstract |
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Objective:
To investigate whether young age at
diagnosis is a negative prognostic factor in primary breast cancer and
how stage of disease at diagnosis and treatment influences such an association.
Women diagnosed with breast cancer in their 20s and 30s seem to
have a poorer prognosis than women diagnosed in middle
age.1-7 The reason for this unusual pattern is unclear.
Young women with breast cancer are more likely to have affected lymph
nodes, be negative for oestrogen receptors, and have tumours that are
large with a high grade of anaplasia 1-3 Thus, the poorer
outcome could at least partly be due to differences in these important
prognostic factors, although many, though not all, studies retain a
negative effect after adjustment for such confounding
factors.
1 8-19
It is unknown to what extent adjuvant
cytotoxic treatment might influence this association.
We examined the effect of age on breast cancer survival adjusted for
expected mortality using Denmark's large and very complete population based breast cancer registries. These include detailed information on clinical presentation, postoperative treatment, and
follow up status for women with breast cancer. Our main objectives were
to determine whether the poor prognosis reported among young women was
independent of common prognostic factors and to what extent this
pattern might be affected by treatment.
Population database
Design:
Retrospective cohort study based on a
population based database of patients with breast cancer containing
detailed information on tumour characteristics, treatment regimens, and survival.
Setting:
Denmark.
Subjects:
10 356 women with primary breast cancer who were less than 50 years old at diagnosis.
Main outcome measures:
Relative risk of dying within
the first 10 years after diagnosis according to age at diagnosis after
adjustment for known prognostic factors and expected mortality.
Results:
Overall, young women with low risk disease who did not receive adjuvant treatment had a significantly increased risk of dying; risk increased with decreasing age at diagnosis (adjusted relative risk: 45-49 years (reference): 1; 40-44 years: 1.12 (95% confidence interval 0.89 to 1.40); 35-39 years: 1.40 (1.10 to
1.78); <35 years: 2.18 (1.64 to 2.89). However, no similar trend was
seen in patients who received adjuvant cytotoxic treatment. The
increased risk in younger women who did not receive adjuvant treatment
compared with those who did remained when women were grouped according
to presence of node negative disease and by tumour size.
Conclusion:
The negative prognostic effect of young
age is almost exclusively seen in women diagnosed with low risk disease who did not receive adjuvant cytotoxic treatment. These results suggest
that young women with breast cancer, on the basis of age alone, should
be regarded as high risk patients and be given adjuvant cytotoxic treatment.
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Introduction
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and methods
Results
Discussion
References
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Subjects and methods
Top
Abstract
Introduction
Subjects and methods
Results
Discussion
References
In 1977, the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group (DBCG)
started nationwide prospective studies on treatment of breast
cancer.20 Three programmes have so far been launched: DBCG
77 (patient accrual from 1977-82), DBCG 82 (patient accrual from
1982-9), and DBCG 89 (patient accrual since 1989). Primary clinical and
histopathological data and data on postoperative treatment and status
at follow up visits have all been registered by the Danish Breast
Cancer Cooperative Group based on specific forms submitted by
departments of surgery, pathology, and oncology in Denmark. Linkage
between the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group register and the
Danish cancer registry, which is considered almost complete regarding
reporting of breast cancer diagnoses among residents in
Denmark,21 showed a 94% concordance (unpublished result).
Treatments
Patients were classified as either low or high risk according to
histopathological criteria. Detailed information on allocation of risk
groups is given elsewhere.23 For all three programmes, the
primary surgical treatment of patients was total mastectomy plus
axillary dissection (90% of the population) or lumpectomy with
axillary dissection. Standard adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy was used
in all three programmes.
20 25
Table 1 gives a summary of
the adjuvant treatment.
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Statistical analysis
Women who had breast cancer diagnosed between January 1978 and 1 July 1996 were included and followed up for 10 years after diagnosis or
until 1 July 1996, whichever came first, with respect to survival. The
study was restricted to premenopausal women aged younger than 50 at the
time of diagnosis.
2 cm, >2-5 cm, >5 cm), number of positive
nodes (0, 1-3, 4-9,
10), histological grading (I, II and III,
non-ductal carcinomas), protocol allocation (allocated, not treated
according to surgical guidelines, not allocated for other reasons), and
year of diagnosis (1977-81, 1982-88, 1989-96). This model can be viewed
as a log-linear model of the observed death rate minus the expected
death rate
that is, a log-linear model of the excess death rate. The
expected number of deaths due to breast cancer amounts to only a small
proportion of all expected deaths.26 Therefore, the
adjusted relative risks were interpreted as relative risks of death due
to breast cancer. Poisson regression was chosen instead of Cox
regression to facilitate additive adjustment for expected mortality.
We also did multivariate analyses without adjusting for expected
mortality, which allowed us to use both Poisson and Cox regression. The
two approaches gave identical estimates of the relative risk. All tests
in the Poisson regression analyses were performed as likelihood ratio
tests with Epicure.27 Tests for difference in the age
effect in low risk patients compared with high risk patients receiving
cytotoxic treatment were performed by including an interaction term
between age and risk group. Association between age at diagnosis and
tumour characteristics was analysed by
2 tests.
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Results |
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By 1 July 1996, 10 356 premenopausal women aged younger than 50 with primary breast cancer were registered with the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group. Our cohort represented a total of 52 432 person-years of follow up. Table 2 shows the distribution of patients according to tumour characteristics, protocol allocation, and age at diagnosis. Compared with older patients, patients aged younger than 35 at diagnosis were at higher risk of being node positive (51% (404/795) v 46% (4061/8854); P=0.02). The proportion of patients with histological grading I was significantly lower in patients aged younger than 35 compared with older patients (18% (122/668) v 32% (2321/7303); P<0.001).
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To evaluate the independent effect of age at diagnosis on survival from breast cancer, we performed a multivariate analysis that included age at diagnosis, tumour size, axillary nodal status, histological grading, year of treatment, protocol allocation, and expected mortality (table 3). Women aged 45-49 years were chosen as the reference category because they constituted the largest group around the time of menopause. Compared with this group, women in the two age groups less than 40 years at diagnosis were at significantly increased risk of dying (table 3). Women younger than 35 had the worst prognosis, with a 1.46-fold increased risk of dying. The results were not changed by adjustment for oestrogen receptor status in the subgroup of patients for whom this information was available (data not shown).
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To evaluate the effect of adjuvant cytotoxic therapy in relation to age at diagnosis, we allowed for an interaction between age at diagnosis and low risk patients (none of whom received adjuvant treatment, n=4329), versus high risk patients (all of whom received adjuvant cytotoxic treatment, n=2824; figure). Among patients who did not receive adjuvant cytotoxic treatment, there was a highly significant increased risk of dying with decreasing age (adjusted relative risk: 45-49 years: 1 (reference); 40-44 years: 1.12 (95% confidence interval 0.89 to 1.40); 35-39 years: 1.40 (1.10 to 1.78); <35 years: 2.18 (1.64 to 2.89). A similar trend was not observed in young patients receiving adjuvant cytotoxic therapy (high risk disease) (see figure). The negative effect of young age among women without adjuvant cytotoxic treatment was significantly more pronounced than that observed in the group of treated patients (test for effect modification: P=0.02).
In further analyses we looked at the effect of treatment among node
negative women (table 4). In line with the findings above, only young
women in the group that received no treatment were at increased risk;
no increased risk was observed among women who received adjuvant
cytotoxic treatment. A similar pattern was observed when the analysis
was restricted to women with small tumours at diagnosis (
2 cm) or
women with large tumours (>2 cm).
We have previously shown that age at first childbirth and time since last birth are independent prognostic factors for death from breast cancer. 23 24 Complete information on reproductive history was available for 3373 low risk patients (77.9%). The estimated prognostic effect of age at diagnosis was not significantly altered by adjusting for age at first childbirth or time since last birth (data not shown).
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Discussion |
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In agreement with previous studies, we found that breast cancer in young women has a particularly poor prognosis.1 4-19 Younger women are at high risk of having axillary lymph node disease and tumours with high histopathological grading and of being oestrogen receptor negative.1-3
Part of the explanation for young women having more advanced and aggressive disease at diagnosis has been suggested to be the increased potential for a delayed diagnosis. 17 28 Detecting tumours in the breasts of young women is difficult because of the density of the mammary glands, and this problem is particularly pronounced among pregnant and lactating women.29 Our detailed information on tumour characteristics at diagnosis enabled us to adjust for the effect of factors such as tumour size, nodal status, and histological grading and therefore judge more clearly the independent effect of age. Furthermore, we had complete reproductive history for a subset of the women and could therefore include the previously reported negative prognostic effect of a recent childbirth in our multivariate analyses. However, none of these adjustments changed the overall result that young age at time of diagnosis is associated with a particularly poor prognosis. This argues in favour of breast cancers among young women tending to be biologically more aggressive than those diagnosed in older women but does not indicate how these cancers respond to adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy. However, other results suggest that tumours in young women respond adequately to chemotherapy. A meta-analysis of 133 randomised trials including 75 000 women with high risk breast cancer found the relative benefit of adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy to be larger in patients younger than 50 years compared with patients older than 50.30
Treatment of younger women
Henderson and Patek have argued against accepting young age alone
as a criterion for adjuvant treatment.31 The international
consensus panel on the treatment of primary breast cancer came to a
similar conclusion in 1995,32 but has recently changed its
recommendation to include women younger than 35, although no scientific
evidence to back this decision was presented.33 To
evaluate the role of postoperative adjuvant cytotoxic treatment in
relation to age at diagnosis we allowed for an interaction between age
at diagnosis and low risk patients who received no adjuvant treatment
versus high risk patients who received adjuvant cytotoxic treatment. We
found that the negative effect of young age was almost exclusively seen
in women classified as having low risk disease, being non-significant
in high risk patients who received cytotoxic adjuvant treatment. This
finding remained when the comparison of women who did and did not
receive adjuvant cytotoxic treatment was restricted to node negative
patients and patients with the same tumour size. This raises the
question of whether the negative effect of young age seen in low risk
patients is due to lack of adjuvant cytotoxic treatment. Our results
cannot be taken as direct evidence that young patients classified as having low risk disease will benefit from adjuvant cytotoxic treatment. However, Fisher et al recently showed that women with low
risk disease do benefit from adjuvant cytotoxic treatment and that the
greatest benefit is seen in premenopausal women.34
Therefore, we feel confident that the low risk tumours associated with
a poor prognosis in young women will respond to adjuvant cytotoxic treatment leading to a better prognosis for this group of women.
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What is already known on this subject
Most previous studies indicate that young age at diagnosis of breast cancer is an independent negative prognostic factor No study has evaluated whether the negative effect of young age is influenced by adjuvant cytotoxic treatment What this paper addsThis large population based study shows that the negative effect of young age occurs almost exclusively among those not receiving adjuvant treatment Age did not have a significant effect among women who received adjuvant cytotoxic treatment Young age should be considered as a sole criterion for allocating breast cancer patients to adjuvant cytotoxic treatment |
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Acknowledgments |
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Contributors: NK had the idea for the study, obtained the necessary permissions, and contributed to the planning and execution. MM participated in the planning, execution, and analysis and is guarantor of the work. JW and PKA participated in the planning and statistical execution of the study. MBJ did the statistical analysis. HTM had the idea for the study, took part in the design, and was essential to establishing the Danish Breast Cancer Cooperative Group register. NK and MM wrote the first draft of the paper, and all authors contributed to the final version.
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Footnotes |
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Funding: Danish National Research Foundation and Department of US Army (DAMD17-96-1-6321).
Competing interests: None declared.
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References |
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| 9. | Lees AW, Jenkins HJ, May CL, Cherian G, Lam EW, Hanson J. Risk factors and 10-year breast cancer survival in northern Alberta. Breast Cancer Res Treat 1989; 13: 143-151[CrossRef][Medline]. |
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| 11. | Boyages J, Recht A, Connolly JL, Schnitt SJ, Gelman R, Kooy H, et al. Early breast cancer: predictors of breast recurrence for patients treated with conservative surgery and radiation therapy. Radiother Oncol 1990; 19: 29-41[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 12. | Schmidt RT, Tsangaris TN, Cheek JH. Breast cancer in women under 35 years of age. Am J Surg 1991; 162: 197-201[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 13. | De la Rochefordiere A, Asselain B, Campana F, Scholl SM, Fenton J, Vilcoq JR, et al. Age as prognostic factor in premenopausal breast carcinoma. Lancet 1993; 341: 1039-1043[CrossRef][Medline]. |
| 14. | Fowble BL, Schultz DJ, Overmoyer B, Solin LJ, Fox K, Jardines L, et al. The influence of young age on outcome in early stage breast cancer. Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys 1994; 30: 23-33[Medline]. |
| 15. |
Nixon AJ, Neuberg D, Hayes DF, Gelman R, Connolly JL, Schnitt S, et al.
Relationship of patient age to pathologic features of the tumor and prognosis for patients with stage I or II breast cancer.
J Clin Oncol
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| 16. | Bonnier P, Romain S, Charpin C, Lejeune C, Tubiana N, Martin PM, et al. Age as a prognostic factor in breast cancer: relationship to pathologic and biologic features. Int J Cancer 1995; 62: 138-144[Medline]. |
| 17. | Max MH, Klamer TW. Breast cancer in 120 women under 35 years old. A 10-year community-wide survey. Am Surg 1984; 50: 23-25[Medline]. |
| 18. | Anderson BO, Senie RT, Vetto JT, Wong GY, McCormick B, Borgen PI. Improved survival in young women with breast cancer. Ann Surg Oncol 1995; 2: 407-415[CrossRef][Medline]. |
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Kollias J, Elston CW, Ellis IO, Robertson JF, Blamey RW.
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| 21. | Storm HH. The Danish Cancer Registry, a self-reporting national cancer registration system with elements of active data collection. In: Jensen OM, Parkin DM, Maclennan R, Muir CS, Skeet RG, eds. Cancer registration principles and methods. Lyons: International Agency for Research on Cancer, 1991:220-236. (IARC Scientific Publication No 95.) |
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Fisher B, Dignam J, Wolmark N, DeCillis A, Emir B, Wickerham DL, et al.
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(Accepted 11 November 1999)
Andrew Tutt Breakthrough Toby
Robins Breast Cancer Research Centre, Institute of Cancer Research,
London SW3 6JB
Correspondence to: G Ross gillr{at}icr.ac.uk
What is it about breast cancer in women under 40 that is
independently associated with worse prognosis? And what biological factors could explain both the poor prognosis and the
disproportionately improved outcome seen after adjuvant chemotherapy?
Do these tumours have special characteristics that can account for both
these observations?
Two biological processes could be implicated. The first involves
changes in the ability of tumour cells to maintain the correct DNA
sequence and to survive DNA damage caused by chemotherapy and
radiotherapy. The second involves underlying molecular changes that
promote rapid tumour proliferation.
The p53 protein acts to safeguard the integrity of the genetic
code. If DNA is damaged and a cell proliferates without repair, mutations are passed on to daughter cells. Rapid acquisition of multiple mutations can lead to early onset aggressive cancers. Under
normal circumstances the p53 protein prevents this by arresting the
cell cycle to allow repair of damaged DNA or by promoting cellular
suicide (apoptosis). A mutation in the p53 gene disrupts this normal
DNA housekeeping, and cells can continue to proliferate unabated
despite the presence of damaged DNA. Similarly, if the p53 protein is
not functional the ability of cells to recognise and respond to damage
induced by chemotherapy or radiotherapy may be reduced, potentially
allowing tumour cells to survive cancer treatment.
The cell membrane receptor p185 is also involved in the control of
cellular proliferation. It is encoded for by the gene c-erbB-2. When
this receptor is activated, cell proliferation is stimulated. In many
breast cancers c-erbB-2 is overexpressed, leading to increased cellular proliferation.
Mutations in p53, overexpression of c-erbB-2, and high tumour
proliferation are all associated with age under 40 years and with
adverse prognosis in breast cancer.1 When p53 status and tumour proliferation markers are included in multivariate analyses, age
no longer remains an independent prognostic factor.2 This suggests that these factors contribute significantly to the adverse prognostic effect of young age. But what evidence is there that these
molecular phenotypes also modify response to treatment? The presence of
mutated p53 is, as expected, associated with reduced benefit from
adjuvant systemic treatment.3 High tumour proliferation is
at best of no predictive value or is indicative of worse response in
locally advanced disease.4 Similarly, overexpression of c-erbB-2 is associated with the development of resistance to tamoxifen and possibly reduced benefit from adjuvant systemic
treatment.5 Thus none of these three factors can be held
responsible for both adverse prognosis and improved treatment outcome.
Other possible candidates to explain the phenomenon are the two breast
cancer predisposition genes BRCA1 and 2. These proteins have a role in
the repair of spontaneous DNA damage and that induced by radiotherapy
and some chemotherapy drugs. Mutations in these genes may thus make
tumour cells more responsive to treatment. However, since only 5.9% of
women with breast cancer aged younger than 36 have germline mutation in
these genes6 and somatic mutations are not found in
sporadic breast cancer, it is unlikely that Kroman et al's results can
be explained by mutations in BRCA1 or 2. In addition, it remains to be
shown whether BRCA1 or 2 mutant breast cancers are more responsive to
radiotherapy or chemotherapy. Importantly, there is no evidence that
mutation carriers have a worse prognosis than stage and grade matched
controls.7
The biological explanations for Kroman et al's observations
remain unclear. We require more information about the molecular pathology correlated with the effects of treatment on survival in large
clinical trials. The development of cDNA microarray technology will
soon allow us to analyse the differences in expression of thousands of
genes in breast tumour specimens. This may show patterns of gene
expression associated with early onset breast cancer and subsequent
correlations with prognosis and outcome after treatment. It will then
be critical to observe whether age remains an independent significant
prognostic factor in women with small, low grade, node negative
tumours, currently defined as low risk. Until this information is
available, based on the results of this study, oncologists may rightly
consider young age alone an indicator of poorer prognosis and a
relative indication for adjuvant chemotherapy.
Competing interests: None declared.
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Possible mechanisms
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Possible mechanisms
Evidence of action in...
Future research
References
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Evidence of action in breast cancer
Top
Possible mechanisms
Evidence of action in...
Future research
References
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Future research
Top
Possible mechanisms
Evidence of action in...
Future research
References
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References
Top
Possible mechanisms
Evidence of action in...
Future research
References
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Bertheau P, Steinberg SM, Merino MJ.
C-erbB-2, p53, and nm23 gene product expression in breast cancer in young women: immunohistochemical analysis and clinicopathologic correlation.
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Phillips KA, Andrulis IL, Goodwin PJ.
Breast carcinomas arising in carriers of mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2: are they prognostically different?
J Clin Oncol
1999;
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Footnotes
© BMJ 2000
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