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It's time to take this more seriously
"Ladies and
gentlemen, welcome aboard Sterling Airline's Flight Number 743, bound
for Edinburgh. This is your captain speaking. Our flight time will be
two hours, and I am pleased to report both that you have a 97% chance
of reaching your destination without being significantly injured during
the flight and that our chances of making a serious error during the
flight, whether you are injured or not, is only 6.7%. Please fasten
your seatbelts, and enjoy the flight. The weather in Edinburgh is sunny."
Would you stay aboard? We doubt it.
Luckily, the safety statistics in airline travel are far, far better
than these figures. Between 1990 and 1994 United States airline
fatalities were 0.27 per 1 000 000 aircraft departures, less than one
third the rate in mid-century, despite vast increases in the complexity
and volume of our aviation systems. One estimate is that a modern
passenger would have to fly continuously for 20 000 years in order to
reach a 50% chance of injury in an airplane accident.
In health care it is a totally different story. With the rising
complexity and reach of modern medicine have come startling levels of
risk and harm to patients. One recent study in two of the most highly
regarded hospitals in the world discovered serious or potentially
serious medication errors in the care of 6.7 out of every 100 patients,1 and the Harvard Medical Practice Study, which
reviewed over 30 000 hospital records in New York state, found
injuries from care itself ("adverse events") to occur in 3.7% of
hospital admissions, over half of which were preventable and 13.6% of
which led to death.2 If these figures can be extrapolated to American health care in general then over 120 000 Americans die
each year as a result of preventable errors in their hospital care. The
costs of medical errors are high in financial terms as well, estimated
to be almost $4700 per preventable adverse drug event in one American
teaching hospital.3
Data like these are beginning to mobilise considerable public and
professional sentiment to redesign healthcare processes and systems to
become much safer in future. Some of this sentiment is channelled into
harsh forms of surveillance and punishment. When medical errors do
surface, often with heart rending accounts of the suffering of the
primary victims This will not work. If we can take any lessons from the stunning
progress in safety in aviation and other high risk industries it is
that fear, reprisal, and punishment produce not safety, but rather
defensiveness, secrecy, and enormous human anguish. Scientific studies
in human factors engineering, organisational psychology, operations
research, and many other disciplines make it clear that, in complex
systems, safety depends not on exhortation, but rather on the proper
design of equipment, jobs, support systems, and organisations. If we
truly want safer care we will have to design safer care systems.
In the United States a wave of effective safety improvement is
starting. The American Medical Association has formed the National Patient Safety Foundation, convening leaders from many sectors in
health care to think together and take action. The Veterans Health
Administration is undertaking sweeping changes in its care system to
reduce medical errors and has established four centres of excellence to
foster the needed multidisciplinary research to design safer systems of
care. The Institute for Healthcare Improvement has sponsored several
national collaborative improvement projects on reducing medical errors
and adverse drug events, with substantial gains in participating hospitals.
Similar activity in Europe and elsewhere would be timely and welcome.
Studies in Australia,4 Israel,5 the United
Kingdom
6 7
and elsewhere, suggest levels of error and
hazard in patient care that are no lower than in America. Moreover, a
significant proportion of the leading scientific work on safety and
errors in complex systems has come from European researchers. To help
increase knowledge and focus on patient safety as an issue for research
and action world wide, we will be editing a special theme issue of the
BMJ on patient safety and medical errors.
We now invite the submission of manuscript papers to be considered for
inclusion in this theme issue. The issue will appear in March 2000, and
the closing date for submissions is 30 November 1999. Examples of
topics of special interest include (but are by no means limited to) the
following:
the patients harmed
the reaction in medical settings
is most commonly an attempt to fix blame and to punish someone.
for example, medication administration,
operating room management, and emergency care
We are especially interested in innovative approaches to improving
patient safety, in empirical evaluations and experiments, and in
multidisciplinary efforts involving not just clinicians but also human
factors specialists, engineers, and others who may not normally
think of their work as relevant to health care. As always in selecting
papers, we will have very much in mind the BMJ
reader-practitioners and how best to help them understand and
participate in improving patient safety.
Institute for Healthcare Improvement, Boston, MA 02215, USA Harvard School of Public Health, Boston, MA 02115, USA
Donald M Berwick
Lucian L Leape
Footnotes
The Institute for Healthcare Improvement, which DMB works for, is a non-profit organisation which offers training and opportunities to take part in demonstration projects for the improvement of health care, including the reduction of errors. LLL lectures internationally on error prevention and sometimes receives honorariums for this.
| 1. | Bates DW, Cullen D, Laird N, Petersen L, Small S, Servi D, et al. Incidence of adverse drug events and potential adverse drug events: implications for prevention. JAMA 1995; 274: 29-34[Abstract]. |
| 2. | Brennan TA, Leape LL, Laird NM, Hebert L, Localio AR, Lawthers AG, et al. Incidence of adverse events and negligence in hospitalized patients: results of the Harvard Medical Practice Study I. N Engl J Med 1991; 324: 370-376[Abstract]. |
| 3. | Bates D, Spell N, Cullen D, Burdick E, Leape L. Costs of adverse drug events in hospitalized patients. JAMA 1997; 277: 307-311[Abstract]. |
| 4. | Wilson RM, Runciman WB, Gibberd RW, Harrison BT, Newby L, Hamilton JD. The quality in Australian health care study. Med J Aust 1995; 163: 458-471[Medline]. |
| 5. | Donchin Y, Gopher D, Olin M, Badhi Y, Biesky M, Sprung CL, et al. A look into the nature and causes of human errors in the intensive care unit. Crit Care Med 1995; 23: 294-300[Medline]. |
| 6. | Vincent C. Research into medical accidents: a case of negligence? BMJ 1989; 299: 1150-1153. |
| 7. | Lunn JN, Devlin HB. Lessons from the confidential enquiry into perioperative deaths in three NHS regions. Lancet 1987; ii: 1384-1386. |
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