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Claude Carbon a Hospital Bichat,
Claude Bernard, 75877 Paris Cedex 18, France, b SmithKline Beecham
Pharmaceuticals, New Frontiers Science Park South, Harlow, Essex CM19
5AW
Correspondence to: Professor Carbon
claude.carbon{at}bch.ap-hop.paris.fr
All parties perceive antibiotic resistance as a
global threat.1 We examined the literature on the use of
antibiotics in the community to establish how the issue of
antibiotic resistance might be managed. We chose illustrative examples
from recent important publications.
Summary points
Political measures to control costs of antibiotic use generally
have had a short term effect without affecting resistance
Although the reversibility of the current situation of resistance is
unknown, actions that could decrease the volume of antibiotic use
without affecting quality of care should be considered
General practitioners should help to set guidelines for selecting
patients to be treated; improved treatment schedules must be researched
and put into practice
The clinical evaluation of antibiotics must be improved
to show
effectiveness and effects on the ecology of resistance, as well as
safety and efficacy
The pharmaceutical industry, microbiology physicians, academia,
regulators, policymakers, and healthcare providers should participate
in managing the issue of antibiotic resistance
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Costs |
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The world market for antibiotics in 1997 was $17bn (£10.6bn), of
which $12bn was for community use, with about 818 billion prescriptions
for respiratory tract infections. Although the value is rising (the
1993 market was $15bn), the number of prescriptions is now static. From
1980 to 1991, however, the overall increase in prescriptions for
antibiotics in England was 46%
but still below the rate of growth
over the same period in France.
2 3
Several factors may influence the increase in antibiotic
costs.
1 3 4
Recently, two characteristics of antibiotics
prescribing
that is, use of doses that are too small or treatments
that are too long
have been shown to increase the risk of selection of
resistance.5 The ecological impact of poor compliance or
of the use of highly selective agents remains to be established.
Respiratory tract infection accounts for 75% of community
prescriptions.
1 4
Most are for tonsillopharyngitis,
followed by bronchitis. In both France and Britain about 90% of
patients receive antibiotics for tonsillopharyngitis. In France, 9 million prescriptions a year are issued for this indication. In France, however, the consultation rate is more than three times the rate in the
United Kingdom.
1 3
A rapid diagnostic test with 90% sensitivity for group A streptococci is available6 but is
not widely used and is not even reimbursed under the French healthcare system. On the assumption that only 35% of patients have been infected
with group A streptococci,7 then theoretically a rapid test may lead to a saving of about 6 million prescriptions for antibiotics. This would substantially reduce the antibiotic burden in France
with an obvious positive short term economic impact
and slow or reduce the rate of macrolide resistant Streptococcus
pneumoniae or group A
streptococci.8
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Reversing the increasing rate of resistance |
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How reversible is the increasing rate of resistance among major pathogens involved in infections acquired in the community? When the selective pressure (antibiotic) is removed, sensitive organisms will increase and resistant organisms will decrease. A more formal and mathematical consideration of the population genetics of resistance and experimental studies of the costs of resistance come to a more pessimistic conclusion. Models show that after a slow start the change in the frequency of resistance is sigmoid. After a period of time there is a quick ascent and a slow decline. The maximum rate of change in frequency of resistant organisms is seen when the sensitive and resistant genes are equally frequent. 8 9
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Changing or reducing antibiotic use |
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To date, concerns over resistance have not led to any legal measures to reduce antibiotic use. However, antibiotic use in the community has been reduced or altered in several countries. What can we learn from them?
In Iceland, after the introduction from Spain of a multiresistant strain of Streptococcus pneumoniae, community antibiotics were removed from the list of reimbursable drugs by the government for financial reasons. At the same time a nationwide campaign against inappropriate antibiotic use was started. Subsequently, antibiotic consumption started to decline, and in 1994 pneumococcal resistance started declining (as defined by nasopharyngeal carriage in day care centres).10 Data are lacking on the clinical impact on patients arising from this changing resistance. In Finland the pattern of erythromycin resistance among group A streptococci during 1991-6 in relation to use of macrolides was studied. A national recommendation in late 1991 resulted in a reduction in their use (erythromycin resistance peaked at 19% in 1993 and then declined to 8.6% in 1996).11
In 1996 the Australian Health Insurance Commission, which manages and processes prescribing claims, wrote to 2000 prescribers stating that co-amoxiclav was being prescribed too often and inappropriately and that if co-amoxiclav was prescribed freely, the commission would conduct an audit. The commission assumed that most prescribers would switch to amoxycillin. The use of co-amoxiclav fell dramatically, with substantial increases in sales of two heavily promoted antibiotics, cefaclor and roxithromycin. The clinical impact of these prescribing changes are unknown but are being investigated (J Marley, personal communication). The action taken by the Australian Health Insurance Commission teaches us that reducing the use of a particular antibiotic does not reduce overall costs or the use of other antibiotics and may have a negative impact on clinical outcome.
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Strategies for managing antimicrobial resistance |
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Achieving public health objectives with an antimicrobial resistance strategy may entail legal measures. Strategies to address antimicrobial resistance as a public health and legal challenge must consider the research and development components of public health strategy both nationally and internationally. Antimicrobial resistance is a global problem, and if national reform takes place in only a minority of countries, the sum effect would be small.
Whereas microbes move freely around the world unhindered by borders, public health responses must consider national and international law. Effective public health strategies to combat antimicrobial resistance must entail improved surveillance, better use of existing agents to maintain effectiveness of antibiotics, and increased research and development of totally new antibiotics.12 How are we going to use these products in the future?
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The mantra that bacterial resistance is bad, that resistance is caused by antibiotic use and therefore we should reduce antibiotic use is too simplistic and is unlikely to be effective. Interest is increasing in providing evidence based health care and in considering appropriate factors when deciding whether to act on or promote the implementation of research findings. Practitioners often discover that research evidence is biased or otherwise limited. Though we will still need to use imperfect research information, new clinical policies should not be implemented unless clinicians find that a strong evidence of benefit exists.13
The figure summarises what can be done, in terms of both political decisions and educational processes. Actions that could reduce the costs (as a short term effect) while providing a positive long term ecological impact should be encouraged, even if the total reversibility of selection of resistance has not yet been fully shown. The rapid spread of multiresistance among bacterial strains responsible for nosocomial infections observed in the past 20 years, as a consequence of uncontrolled use of antibiotics in hospitals, should be kept in mind.
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Role of pharmaceutical industry |
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The pharmaceutical industry is, as a matter of priority, conducting research into totally new classes of antibiotics with new modes of action using bacterial genome sequencing and combinatorial chemistry.14 The pharmaceutical industry in the United States spent $2.8bn on research in infectious diseases in 1997.15 In Britain, SmithKline Beecham and GlaxoWellcome stated clearly to the House of Lords Select Committee on Science and Technology that if use of their anti-infective products was restricted beyond a certain point then they would move their research investments to other therapeutic areas.16
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Responsibility for action |
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The rapid rise in resistance has led to difficult and complex
questions. Who decides what to do, and on what evidence does that body
base its decision? Who has the responsibility for disseminating information to professionals and the public. What is the nature of the
information, who provides it, in what form is it provided, and how are
the decisions implemented? These questions must be answered. There is
an incomplete understanding of the relation between resistance and
clinical and microbiological failure in the community. This makes us
unsure of both the urgency of the problem and how to precisely manage
the situation.17 Despite the multiplying problems and the
gloomy prospects for their immediate solution, the fourway partnership
of a vigorous pharmaceutical industry, physicians, academia, and
healthcare providers is the best hope for the future. Much also depends
on the attitude of governments
we must hope that they can foster
social, educational, economic, and regulatory environments that
encourage innovation in all aspects of control of infectious
disease.18
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Acknowledgments |
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Competing financial interest: CC has been reimbursed by SmithKline Beecham and several major international pharmaceutical companies for attending several conferences and has also received fees for speaking, funds for research and for members of staff, and fees for consulting. RPB is employed by SmithKline Beecham.
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References |
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prediction, detection and management of tomorrow's epidemics.
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an industry perspective.
JAMA
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401-403[Medline].
The Pink Sheet.
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what can we do?
Nature Medicine
1998;
4:
545-546[Medline].
Israeli students are refusing to perform intimate examinations on anaesthetised women without their informed consent.