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Empirical evidence supports claims that declining NHS long term
provision for elderly people has increased general practitioners'
workload. On p 322, Kavanagh and Knapp show that, because people cared
for in NHS inpatient beds in 1986 had significantly more morbidity and
disability than people in residential and nursing homes at that time,
their predicted use of general practitioners was also significantly
greater (equivalent to 160 additional general practitioners in
Britain today). The roles of general practitioners as independent
contractors and of primary care groups in caring for residential and
nursing home residents need to be clarified and developed.