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Emma K Slaytor Needs Assessment and Health Outcomes
Unit, Central Sydney Area Health Service, Locked Bag 8, Newtown, 2042, NSW, Australia
Correspondence to: Associate
Professor Ward jward{at}nah.rpa.cs.nsw.gov.au
Informed participation in population based screening
programmes requires an explicit sharing of information about risks and
benefits.1 However, many factors influence perceptions of
risk and the value of risk reduction promised through screening.
Campaigns that selectively quote incidence to "frighten" women into
undergoing mammography have been criticised.2 Perceived
risk, not objective risk, explains readiness to undergo screening in
most models of health behaviour. Furthermore, the willingness of health
purchasers to fund mammographic screening has been shown to be
significantly influenced by the way in which data about effectiveness
are presented: a programme achieving a 30% reduction in relative risk
was more likely to be funded than two others described in terms of
absolute risk reduction or numbers needed to screen to avert one death
from breast cancer, even though all three were objectively identical in
effectiveness.3 No studies have examined how risks of
breast cancer and benefits of screening are communicated to women
themselves.
In July 1997 we telephoned all cancer organisations, health
departments, and mammographic screening programmes throughout Australia
and asked for any information leaflets currently available for women
about mammography. For each brochure, EKS used a 10 item score sheet to
record its content. Independent assessment was performed by another
staff member. Discrepancies were noted and resolved by consensus.
All organisations responded, resulting in 58 brochures.
Independent agreement between the assessors was 98.9%. Lifetime risk
of developing breast cancer was the most commonly stated risk (table),
with considerable variation of estimates ranging from one in 11 to one
in 16. Only one brochure provided information about the risk of dying
from breast cancer. Three provided information about survival from
breast cancer but only as "more than 70% of women survive," "two
thirds of women survive," and "most women outlive this
disease."
Relative risk reduction was the epidemiological information most often
provided to communicate the benefits of mammographic screening (table),
but the estimates included "about 30%," "about 40%," and
"up to 50%," and six pamphlets from one state advised
unequivocally that "women who have regular screening mammograms every
two years halve their chances of dying from breast cancer." No
pamphlets expressed benefit as absolute risk reduction or numbers
needed to screen.
Information about the accuracy of screening tests was provided
only occasionally. Sensitivity was expressed as: "mammograms pick up
90% of breast cancers." Six brochures stated that mammograms "are
not 100% accurate (or foolproof)" without giving any detail.
Our study is the first to show the emphasis on incidence rather
than mortality to communicate the risk of breast cancer to women. Since
mammographic screening reduces mortality but not
incidence,2 this partiality is worrying. In addition,
mammographic screening increases the incidence of breast cancer by
detecting innocuous disease that would never become clinically
important. Thus, it is a circular argument to encourage participation
in mammographic screening only because of an increasing number of
cases.
The benefits of mammography were reported inconsistently and only ever
as relative risk reduction and never as absolute risk reduction or
numbers needed to screen to change an outcome for one woman. In a
compelling reflection on mammographic screening in the United Kingdom,
Maureen Roberts argued for a "truthful account of the facts" to be
given to women: "It will not be what they want to
hear."4 Ominously, perhaps, the provision of specific
risk information discourages participation in
mammography.5 If, like purchasers' willingness to
pay,3 women's participation in screening can be
manipulated by partial disclosure of epidemiological data, then
informed decision making by consumers necessitates a disinterested
presentation of all pertinent facts.
Inspiration for this study was provided by the Sydney Breast
Cancer Foundation, particularly Janet McDonald, Harriett Harrison,
Frances Randall, Liz Story, and Lyn Trumbull.
Contributors: JEW conceived the study and supervised protocol
development, including design of rating scale, by EKS. EKS collected
data and analysed pamphlet content. JEW and EKS jointly wrote the
paper. Terry Slevin, Corry Dobson, Lynne Flemming, and Julie Sladden
assisted with telephone calls. Vincenza Colaluce assessed
reliability of rating of pamphlets. JEW is guarantor for the paper.
Funding: The Sydney Breast Cancer Foundation.
Conflict of interest: None.
(Accepted 20 March 1998)
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Methods and results
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Methods and results
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Acknowledgments
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© BMJ 1998
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