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Banish dogma, get more data
Life is uncertain, and never more so than when a serious
illness like prostate cancer strikes and a decision must be made about
how to proceed. Ideally, the clinician would find (or remember) the
relevant research, interpret the findings as they apply to the patient
at hand, estimate prognosis, and discuss treatment options objectively
and with compassion and support. Even then, life remains uncertain; for
any particular patient, no matter how good the evidence and precise the
probability estimates, there can be no guarantee.
This irreducible uncertainty is confronted routinely by doctors and
patients and is rarely a source of clinical controversy. Trouble begins
when experts reach different conclusions from the same piece of
evidence. The poorer the evidence, the more discretionary the
interpretation, and the more controversial the conclusion. When
available evidence is totally inadequate to inform decisions that must
be made, then clinical controversy may border on chaos. Savage and
others have shown that in Britain and elsewhere controversy and chaos
reign in the management of prostate cancer.1-3
For early prostate cancer, there have been no controlled trials good
enough to show whether survival is increased by active intervention
with radical prostatectomy, radiation, or hormonal therapy. For men
with early disease, any benefit is likely to be realised long after
treatment and the immediate side effects of incontinence and impotence
have been well documented.4 In light of uncertain, delayed
survival benefits and known, immediate harm, it is no wonder that
clinicians' recommendations vary.
In the survey conducted by Savage and colleagues among 274 British
urologists, nine out of 10 favoured active intervention for men aged
under 70 years with poorly differentiated early prostate cancer The inclination toward active management for younger men reported by a
majority of urologists is at odds with their views about screening.
Only a quarter thought that early detection of prostate cancer
conferred a survival advantage. The survey also found divergent
recommendations for treating locally advanced and metastatic prostate
cancer and relapsed prostate cancer. The recent publication of the
Medical Research Council trial showing improved outcomes for patients
with early prostate cancer treated with androgen deprivation may (or
may not) increase consensus.5
The controversy and chaos are not limited to Britain. Similar
variability in treatment choices have been described in the Nordic
countries.2 In the United States there is stronger
consensus and greater enthusiasm for surgery among urologists, who, in
recent years, have performed more than 100 000 radical prostatectomies
annually.3 But the enthusiasm is not universal. Rates of
radical prostatectomy vary widely among American states.3
American radiation oncologists generally favour radiation treatment.
With no evidence for long term effectiveness, brachytherapy and
cryotherapy now compete with external beam radiation and radical
prostatectomy as the preferred treatment for early cancer.
What can be done to bring reason and order to the management of
prostate cancer? Savage and colleagues recommend establishing standards
of practice.1 But standards or guidelines can inform
decisions only when the evidence on which they are based is adequate.
For the foreseeable future, recommendations for managing prostate
cancer, especially clinically localised disease, will rely more on
dogma than data.
This is the conclusion reached by the Prostate Cancer Clinical
Guidelines Panel of the American Urological Association.6
Rather than offer recommendations for patients with different clinical
characteristics, the panel concluded that treatment alternatives should
be presented as options, each with its advantages and disadvantages.
Its only recommended standard was that patients with newly diagnosed
cancer should be informed of all commonly accepted
treatments.6 Programmes to support communication of
options, leading to treatment choices that reflect the preferences and
attitudes towards risk of the individual patients who will live with
the consequences, have been shown to be feasible in busy urology
practices.7 Decisions would be supported with access to
the best available information, with candour about what existing
evidence does not allow us to know, and with compassion for the patient
facing an uncertain future. Well supported decisions would lead some
men to opt for possible future survival benefits, with one or another
active treatment depending on their own assessment of the impact of
side effects on quality of life. Some might not be willing to accept
any compromise in quality of life and choose expectant management. But
for others, perhaps many, the benefits and harms would balance, such
that the best choice might well be participation in a randomised trial.
Trials of treatment for localised prostate cancer are under
way.8 But they will involve a mere fraction of the men who
are eligible and, we believe, a mere fraction of the men who would
choose participation if well informed.9 Undoubtedly, we
could reduce our collective ignorance more quickly if we redoubled
efforts to bring men who found themselves at "effective equipoise"
into controlled trials.10 We could also learn from
registries, or preference trials, of men whose preferences and
attitudes led them to a clear choice among standard or evolving
treatments.11
The constructive professional response to the controversy and chaos in
the management of patients with prostate cancer is not to develop
standards of practice that include treatment recommendations
unsupported by currently available evidence. The men we care for now
and in the future will be better served if the new standard is to
promote patient choice with compassion and care, and then learn from
their experiences.
General Medicine Division, Massachusetts General Hospital and
Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114-2696, USA
five
recommended radiation, three radical prostatectomy, and one immediate
hormone treatment. For men aged over 70, three out of 10 urologists
would recommend some form of active treatment, most often radiation.
The authors did not ask about moderately differentiated disease, by far
the most common type of prostate cancer now being detected and for
which prognostic uncertainty is greatest. For patients with well
differentiated early disease, who probably have a good prognosis
regardless of treatment, four out of 10 British urologists would still
recommend radical surgery and three would recommend radiation for those
aged under 70. For men over 70, seven out of 10 would favour
observational management.
Michael J Barry
© BMJ 1998
Israeli students are refusing to perform intimate examinations on anaesthetised women without their informed consent.