CRAM chart detects increase in number of surgical deaths

Mortality tables are one of the new measures of performance being introduced by the NHS Executive, but comparisons will mislead if differences in case mix are not allowed for. Even within heart surgery, the annual mortality for all patients and operations may not be a particularly helpful statistic. On p 1697 Poloniecki et al explore the case specific chances of surviving an adult heart operation at a particular hospital and how this varied over four years by using a cumulative risk adjusted mortality (CRAM) chart. They conclude that surgeons should use such a statistical quality control scheme. Continuous surveillance of this kind is, so they argue, the only means of providing a patient with a realistic estimate of the chances of surviving surgery at the chosen hospital.   


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Relevant Article

Cumulative risk adjusted mortality chart for detecting changes in death rate: observational study of heart surgery
J Poloniecki, O Valencia, and P Littlejohns
BMJ 1998 316: 1697-1700. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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