BMJ 1995;310:627-631 (11 March)

Papers

Apolipoprotein E genotype and association between smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease

Cornelia M van Duijn, assistant professor of genetic epidemiology,a Louis M Havekes, senior research officer,b Christine Van Broeckhoven, professor of molecular biology,c Peter de Knijff, research officer,b Albert Hofman, professor of epidemiology a

a Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Erasmus University Medical School, PO Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, Netherlands, b TNO Institute of Prevention and Health Research, Gaubius Laboratory, Leiden, Netherlands, c Neurogenetics Laboratory, Born Bunge Foundation, Department of Biochemistry, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium

Correspondence to: Dr C M van Duijn.

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the hypothesis that differential survival between smokers and nonsmokers leading to a decrease in the frequency of the e4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene may explain the inverse relation between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease.
Design: A population based case-control study.
Setting: The four northern provinces of the Netherlands and metropolitan Rotterdam.
Subjects: 175 patients with early onset Alzheimer's disease and two independent control groups of 159 and 457 subjects.
Main outcome measures: Frequencies of the apolipoprotein e4 allele and relative risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease.
Results: The inverse association between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease could not be explained by a decrease in the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele. Among carriers of this allele with a family history of dementia subjects with a history of smoking had a strongly reduced risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease (odds ratio 0.10 (95% confidence interval 0.01 to 0.87)).
Conclusions: The results suggest that the inverse relation between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease cannot be explained by an increased mortality in carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele who smoke. The association is strongly modified by the presence of the apolipoprotein e4 allele as well as by a family history of dementia.

Key messages

  • Key messages

  • This study shows that the inverse association between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease cannot be explained by a shift in frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele

  • The inverse relation was significant only in subjects with a family history of dementia who carry the e4 allele

  • Our study suggests that clinical trials with nicotine or nicotine derivatives have the greatest chance of success in patients with familial Alzheimer's disease who carry the apolipoprotein e4 allele

Introduction

In several case-control studies an inverse association between smoking and Alzheimer's disease has been observed.1 2 3 This observation has led to debate about whether smoking exerts a neuroprotective effect or whether the relation can be explained by bias related to reduced survival among smokers.1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Riggs has argued that differential survival between smokers and nonsmokers leading to a shift in gene pools may underlie the inverse relation between smoking and Alzheimer's disease.4 This hypothesis assumes that among smokers mortality is higher in those who are susceptible to Alzheimer's disease than in those who are not and therefore predicts a decreased frequency of a susceptibility gene among smokers.

Apolipoprotein E is a polymorphic protein that plays a central part in the metabolism of cholesterol and triglycerides.9 The e4 allele of the apolipoprotein E gene has been associated with an increased risk of late onset10 11 and early onset12 13 Alzheimer's disease. It has been suggested that the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele may be decreased among smokers owing to an increased risk of early death from cardiovascular disease and that this may explain the inverse association between smoking and Alzheimer's disease.5

We studied the role of the apolipoprotein e4 allele in the association between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease. Firstly, we tested whether a low frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele among smokers can explain the relation. Secondly, we examined whether the presence of the apolipoprotein e4 allele modifies the association between smoking history and early onset Alzheimer's disease.

Methods

STUDY POPULATION

Patients were derived from a population based casecontrol study of early onset Alzheimer's disease.1 14 That study aimed at a complete ascertainment in four northern provinces of the Netherlands and in metropolitan Rotterdam of all patients with Alzheimer's disease in whom onset was at or before the age of 65 years. For this study, the clinical diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease was independently confirmed with a standardised protocol according to the criteria for Alzheimer's disease set by the National Institute of Neurological and Communicative Disorders and Stroke and the Alzheimer's Disease and Related Disorders Association.15 Of the 201 eligible patients, 198 (99%) participated in the study. Blood samples for typing of apolipoprotein E were available for 175 (88%) patients. Table I shows the general characteristics of the patients.


TABLE I--Description of study population
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                          Patients                     Original controls                     Additional controls
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------                   -------------------------------------
                               Total       Men      Women       Total       Men        Women          Total         Men         Women
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No (%) of subjects           175 (100)   59 (34)   116 (66)  159 (100)    64 (40)     95 (60)       457 (100)    196 (43)     261 (57)
Mean (SD) age (years):
 At onset                     57 (5.0)   56 (5.5)  57 (4.6)      NA         NA         NA              NA           NA           NA
 At diagnosis                 61 (4.2)   61 (4.3)  63 (4.2)      NA         NA         NA              NA           NA           NA
 At time of study             63 (4.4)   63 (4.7)  63 (4.1)   63 (4.4)   63 (5.0)   63 (3.8)        63 (4.3)     63 (4.1)     63 (4.4)
No (%) with history of
 dementia in first degree
 relatives                   107 (61)    35 (59)   72 (62)    44 (28)    18 (28)    26 (27)        118 (26)      46 (23)      72 (28)

In the original case-control study a control subject was selected for each patient and matched for sex, age (within five year age groups), and place of residence.1 14 These original controls were drawn randomly from the population register of the municipality of the patient at the time of diagnosis; consent was given by the first person to be asked in 103 cases, the second person in 68, the third person in 23, and the fourth person in four. All controls had a score on the modified short portable mental status questionnaire that was higher than 20 (out of 30) and none showed symptoms of dementia.14 Blood samples for apolipoprotein E typing were available for 159 (80%) controls from the casecontrol study (table I). In 32 of the 159 matched casecontrol pairs patients and controls were of the same age; in 23 the patient was one year older than the control, and in 33 pairs the patient was two to three years older; in 29 the control was one year older than the patient, and in 42 the control was two to three years older.

To examine whether the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele was decreased among subjects with a history of smoking we added a second, independently ascertained control group to the study population to increase the statistical power. The second control group (n=457) consisted of a random sample of subjects aged 55 to 70 years from the general population. These additional controls were taken from another population based study conducted in Rotterdam, the Rotterdam Study.16 The overall rate of participation in this study was 80%. These controls were screened for dementia with the mini-mental state examination17; none of them had a score lower than 26 (out of 30) or showed symptoms of dementia at the time of the study. The distribution of sex, age, and family history of dementia was similar to that of the original control group (table I).

DATA COLLECTION

For all cases and controls detailed data on family history of dementia, medical history, and history of cigarette smoking were collected.1 14 16 For participants of the original case-control study, data for cases and controls were collected symmetrically. A next of kin was interviewed for patients and controls1 14; for 154 (88%) patients and 151 (95%) controls the next of kin was the spouse or an adult child. The data for the additional controls were obtained by interviewing the participants themselves.16 In the original case-control study, questions addressed the patient's medical history and history of smoking before the age of onset of dementia.1 Age of onset was defined as the age at which memory failure or changes in behaviour were first noted. To make valid case-control comparisons a "reference" age was defined for controls on the basis of the age of onset of Alzheimer's disease in the matched case.

For smokers the number of cigarettes smoked daily was assessed for each period they had smoked.1 14 16 To measure the life time exposure to cigarettes the number of cigarettes smoked a day (in number of packs) was multiplied by the duration (in years) of cigarette smoking. Subjects were considered to have no history of smoking if they had smoked for less than one pack year before the onset of Alzheimer's disease (patients) or before the reference age (original controls) or if they had ever smoked (additional controls). Subjects were considered to have a history of smoking if they had smoked for one pack year or more.

In the original case-control study family history of dementia was assessed in first, second, and third degree relatives. To increase the validity the family data collected were always verified by a second informant who was a sibling of the participant.1 14 For the additional control group family history of dementia in first degree relatives was obtained direct from the participant.16 Patients and controls with no first degree relatives with dementia were considered to have no family history, and those with at least one first degree relative with dementia were considered to have a family history.

Apolipoprotein E typing for patients and original controls has been described earlier.13 For 100 patients genomic DNA was used for genotyping as described by Wenham et al.18 For the remaining 75 patients and the 159 original controls apolipoprotein E phenotyping was performed in stored serum samples frozen at -80°C as described by Havekes et al.19 For the 457 additional controls genomic DNA was used for genotyping as described by Wenham et al.18

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

The frequency of alleles for patients and controls was assessed by counting alleles and calculating sample proportions. The z statistic was used to compare the frequency of alleles in those with a history of smoking with the frequency of alleles in those without.20 Given a history of smoking in about 50% of the participants, a frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele of 35% in patients and 15% in controls, a significance level of 5%, and a statistical power of 80%, the smallest detectable increase in the frequency of apolipoprotein e4 was twofold in cases and 2.5 fold in controls.21

As the data for the additional control group were collected by interviewing the participants themselves, systematic bias may occur when comparisons are made with the patients for whom the data were collected by interviewing a next of kin. Case-control comparisons were therefore limited to the 175 patients and 159 controls of the original case-control study. The strength of association between a history of smoking and Alzheimer's disease was estimated as the odds ratio, which is presented with a 95% confidence interval.21 We used conditional logistic regression analysis to take into account the possible confounding by the matching variables.21 Given the matching scheme, a history of smoking in about 50% in controls, a significance level of 5%, and a statistical power of 80%, the smallest detectable decrease in risk of developing Alzheimer's disease was twofold (corresponding odds ratio 0.50) when studying 118 matched pairs, fourfold (0.25) when studying 36 pairs, and 10-fold (0.10) when studying 18 pairs.21

We found previously that significant evidence (P<0.02) existed for interaction between a history of smoking and family history of dementia1 and therefore analyses were conducted stratified for family history. In the diagnosis of early onset Alzheimer's disease, the original Hachinski score (cut off 7) was used to exclude patients with vascular dementia.14 22 This scale preferentially excludes patients with evidence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. As atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease is associated with smoking, this may have resulted in artificially lower rates of smoking in patients with Alzheimer's disease. To control for this possible bias we performed an analysis in which all patients and all controls with a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, including coronary heart disease, stroke, and hypertension, were excluded.

Results

Table II shows the frequencies of the apolipoprotein e4 allele by history of cigarette smoking. In patients the frequency tended to be higher among non-smokers, in particular among those with a family history of dementia. Although the effect was strongest among patients with a family history who had smoked for 11 pack years or more (difference - 13% (95% confidence interval - 34% to 8%)), a significant difference in the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele was not found in any of the analyses. In the original as well as in the additional control group the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele was significantly higher among those who had smoked than among those who had never smoked. In both control groups this difference in frequency could be attributed largely to those with a family history of dementia. Again, the effect was strongest among those who had smoked longer. The frequency of apolipoprotein e4 allele was 27% (9% to 46%) higher in controls with a family history of dementia who had smoked 11 pack years or more.


TABLE II--Frequency of apolipoprotein e4 allele by history of cigarette smoking in subjects with early onset Alzheimer's disease and controls. Values
are percentages (proportion of total number of alleles) unless stated otherwise
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                Frequency of e4 allele
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------    Difference
                                    In subjects with no history of                  In subjects with history of   (95% confidence
                                        cigarette smoking                              cigarette smoking             interval)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Patients:
  Total                                            38 (67/178)                                    31 (54/172)       -7 (-17 to 3)
   No family history of dementia                   27 (17/64)                                     24 (17/72)        -3 (-18 to 12)
   Family history of dementia                      44 (50/114)                                    37 (37/100)       -7 (-20 to 6)
Original controls:
  Total                                           10 (13/128)                                     18 (35/190         8 (1 to 16)
   No family history of dementia                   12 (12/98)                                     15 (20/132)        3 (-6 to 12)
   Family history of dementia                       3 (1/30)                                      26 (15/58)        23 (10 to 36)
Additional controls:
  Total                                            12 (30/260)                                    19 (123/654)       7 (2 to 12)
   No family history of dementia                   13 (23/182)                                    16 (78/496)        3 (-3 to 9)
   Family history of dementia                       9 (7/78)                                      28 (45/158)       19 (10 to 29)

Table III shows that evidence exists for modification of the effect of the relation between history of smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease by apolipoprotein E status. Among carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele the risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease for subjects with a history of smoking was 0.25 (0.07 to 0.87) times that for those without a history of smoking. No significant association between history of smoking and the risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease was found in those who did not carry an apolipoprotein e4 allele. Further stratification by family history of dementia showed that a significant association between history of smoking and the risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease could be shown only in those carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele with a family history of dementia (odds ratio 0.10; 0.01 to 0.87).


TABLE III-Association between early onset Alzheimer's disease and history of cigarette smoking by
apolipoprotein E genotype
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                  Odds ratio
                                                                            (95% confidence interval)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Apolipoprotein e4 allele                       Patients Controls        Crude+            Adjusted++
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All subjects:
   Allele present:
     No history of cigarette smoking             47       12
     History of cigarette smoking                45       31        0.37 (0.17 to 0.81)  0.25 (0.07 to 0.87)^
   Allele absent:
     No history of cigarette smoking             42       52
     History of cigarette smoking                41       64        0.79 (0.45 to 1.40)  0.70 (0.30 to 1.66)^
Subjects with family history of dementia:
   Allele present:
     No history of cigarette smoking             35       1
     History of cigarette smoking                30      13         0.07 (0.01 to 0.53)  0.10 (0.01 to 0.87)
   Allele absent:
     No history of cigarette smoking             22      14
     History of cigarette smoking                20      16         0.79 (0.31 to 2.03)  0.62 (0.19 to 2.07)
Subjects without family history of dementia:
   Allele present:
     No history of cigarette smoking             12      11
     History of cigarette smoking                15      18         0.76 (0.26 to 2.22)  0.47 (0.10 to 2.28)
   Allele absent:
     No history of cigarette smoking             20      38
     History of cigarette smoking                21      48         0.83 (0.39 to 1.75)  0.77 (0.17 to 3.42)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Reference group is those with no history of cigarette smoking.
+Unmatched analysis.
++Adjusted for sex, age, and place of residence.
^Also adjusted for family history of dementia.

When we excluded all patients and controls with a history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the estimates for the odds ratios did not change appreciably. Among carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele, the risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease for subjects with a history of smoking was 0.25 (0.06 to 1.11) times that for those without a history of smoking. For carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele the odds ratio for history of smoking was 0.09 (0.01 to 0.96) for those with a family history of dementia and 1.06 (0.18 to 6.11) for those without a family history. No significant association between history of smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease was found for subjects with no apolipoprotein e4 allele (odds ratio 0.66; 0.23 to 1.91).

Among carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele the risk of Alzheimer's disease decreased as the number of pack years of smoking increased. The risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease was 0.45 (0.09 to 2.15) times lower in those who had smoked 1-10 pack years and 0.12 (003 to 0.54) times lower in those that had smoked >/=11 pack years than in those who had never smoked. The number of subjects in our study was too small to stratify further by family history of dementia.

Discussion

BIAS

We have considered various types of bias that may explain the inverse association between history of smoking and Alzheimer's disease. Although nonresponse may have been associated with history of smoking or relatives of patients with Alzheimer's disease may have underreported smoking habits, we consider these types of bias unlikely. To explain our findings this would have had to occur only in those with the apolipoprotein e4 allele and a family history of dementia, which is improbable.

It has been suggested that the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele may be decreased among smokers owing to an increased risk of early death from cardiovascular disease and that this may bias the association with Alzheimer's disease.5 We found in two independently ascertained control populations that subjects with a history of smoking had a higher frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele than nonsmokers. These findings contradict the hypothesis that a low frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele among smokers may explain the association between smoking history and Alzheimer's disease in our population. Further, the stratified analysis by atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease suggests that selection bias related to these disorders is unlikely to explain the association between history of smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease.

At present we cannot exclude the possibility that the frequency of another, still unknown, susceptibility allele for early onset Alzheimer's disease that is in disequilibrium with the e4 allele may be decreased among smokers in the case series that we have studied. To explain the association between smoking and Alzheimer's disease, however, this locus should be tightly linked with the apolipoprotein E gene.

INTERPRETATION OF FINDINGS

In most case-control studies an inverse association between smoking and Alzheimer's disease has been observed.1 2 3 Our study shows that the inverse relation between history of smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease cannot be explained by an increased mortality of carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele among smokers. In addition, our study shows a significant inverse relation only in subjects with a family history of dementia who carry the apolipoprotein e4 allele. Although odds ratios were decreased in other subgroups, the more modest decrease suggests that the association is modified by the presence of the apolipoprotein e4 allele as well as by family history of dementia.

A protective effect of smoking in carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele would predict a decreased frequency of this allele among patients with a history of smoking. Although our data were compatible with this hypothesis, in particular in those with a family history of dementia, no significant difference was found in the frequency of the allele between patients with and without a history of smoking. However, the lower frequency of the allele in controls with a family history of dementia but no history of smoking is of interest. Subjects with a family history of dementia are at increased risk of carrying the susceptibility allele for Alzheimer's disease. As expected, the frequency of the apolipoprotein e4 allele is high among those with a history of smoking. In contrast, the frequency is low among control subjects with a family history of dementia who have never smoked. It is unlikely that this finding is related to survival bias, as these subjects are not exposed to cigarette smoke. Findings were very consistent in both control groups. It may be speculated, therefore, that this low frequency might be explained by a higher risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease among non-smokers with the apolipoprotein e4 allele--that is, these subjects are selected out of the control series as they are more likely to be affected with Alzheimer's disease.

MECHANISM FOR ASSOCIATION

Various possible mechanisms for the association between history of smoking and early onset Alzheimer's disease have been suggested, including nicotinic receptor density1 2 and apoptosis.6 The interaction with the apolipoprotein e4 allele that we found may shed new light on the association. Some evidence exists that patients with the apolipoprotein e4 allele have a lower nicotinic receptor density than other patients.23 Nicotine has been reported as increasing the density of nicotinic receptors in the brain and may thus be implicated in the course of disease in carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele.24 Another possible mechanism relates to the binding of apolipoprotein E to ß amyloid, which is an oxygen mediated process.25 In this light one of the early explanations for the inverse relation observed between Parkinson's disease and history of smoking--the increased carbon monoxide concentrations in smokers, leading to anoxia in the brain26--may be relevant.

The finding that the interaction with the apolipoprotein e4 allele was influenced by family history of dementia remains to be explained. Earlier, we found that among carriers of the apolipoprotein e4 allele homozygosity was sufficient by itself to increase the risk of early onset Alzheimer's disease but that in the case of heterozygosity an association with the disease could be shown only in those with a family history.13 This suggests that other genetic or environmental factors underlying the familial aggregation may have a crucial additive role in the aetiology of early onset Alzheimer's disease. Smoking may be implicated in such a multifactorial causation.

IMPLICATIONS

A word of caution is needed in relation to the implications of our findings. Firstly, although our findings do not support the existence of bias, we cannot exclude this possibility. Secondly, we do not know whether our findings, based on a series of patients with early onset Alzheimer's disease, are applicable to patients with late onset Alzheimer's disease; the latter constitute the vast majority of patients with Alzheimer's disease. Thirdly, we recognise that smokers have an increased risk of many diseases, including cancer and cardiovascular disease. The well documented risks of cigarette smoking outweigh by far any potential benefit to individuals who might be protected from Alzheimer's disease by continuing to smoke. The present study has no direct relevance, therefore, for the prevention of disease. Our findings may have implications, however, for the understanding of the pathogenesis and therapeutic strategies in Alzheimer's disease. Our study suggests that clinical trials with nicotine or nicotine derivatives have the greatest chance of success in patients with Alzheimer's disease who have a family history of dementia and carry the apolipoprotein e4 allele.

We thank Drs Wim Schulte, Teun Tanja, Rob Haaxma, Arie Lameris, and Rolf Saan for helping with case diagnosis and Helen de Bruijn, Micheline de Haes, Jeanette Kamman, Hilda Kornman, Hanneke van Meurs, and Caroline Valkenburg for their help in data collection. We acknowledge Hans van der Boom, Marc Cruts, and Anita Wehnert for apolipoprotein E typing.

This research was funded by the Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research (NWO), the NESTOR programme for geriatric research (ministry of health and ministry of education), the Netherlands Heart Foundation, the Municipality of Rotterdam, the Netherlands Institute for Health Sciences (NIHES), the Eurodem European Commission's Concerted Action on Dementia and the Flemish Biotechnology Programme. CVB is a research associate of the National Fund for Scientific Research (NFSR), Belgium.

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(Accepted 12 January 1995)


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