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a Department of General Practice, University of Manchester, Rusholme Health Centre, Manchester M14 5NP, b House of Commons, London, c BMJ, BMA House, Tavistock Square, London WC1H 9JR
Correspondence to: Dr Esmail.
For several years the Universities and Colleges Admission Service has monitored the ethnic group of applicants to universities in the United Kingdom. We investigated the acceptance rates to medical school of applicants according to their ethnic group.
Subjects, methods, and results
We obtained permission from the deans of all medical schools in the United Kingdom to analyse the data from the Universities and Colleges Admission Service on candidates who applied and were accepted for places in 1992. We classified candidates as belonging to an ethnic minority group when they identified themselves as being Chinese, Bangladeshi, Indian, Pakistani, Afro-Caribbean, or black. Candidates who did not provide information on their ethnic origin and those from overseas were excluded from the analysis. Applicants were stratified according to score at A level (30-26 or 25 or less, grade A scoring 10 points, grade B eight, grade C six, grade D four, and grade E two, with the maximum possible score being 30). Applicants with passes in the Scottish Certificate of Education were excluded because of problems in comparing the two examinations. To adjust for A level score a stratified analysis using a Mantel-Haenszel test1 was carried out and expressed as an odds ratio--that is, the odds of white candidates being accepted into medical school compared with the odds of candidates from ethnic minority groups being accepted.
The table shows the likelihood of being accepted into medical school according to ethnic group after controlling for A level score. The overall weighted Mantel-Haenszel odds ratio for acceptance to medical school was 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 1.29) for those with A level scores of 30-26 and 2.02 (1.89 to 2.72) for those with scores of 25 or less.
Comment
Many factors could explain the differences between white applicants and those from ethnic minority groups in their acceptance rates to medical school. We were able to stratify A level scores into only two bands. Candidates within these bands might have had a wide range of results, and ethnic differences could account for the number of points scored.
In some medical schools the confidence intervals of the odds ratios were wide because of the small number of applicants from ethnic minority groups and the fact that we used data from only one year. Although these results should be interpreted with caution, we found significant differences in the odds ratio in several schools.
The data we analysed relate only to academic achievement, but other factors are considered equally important in selecting students for medical school. We cannot comment on how factors such as type of schooling, regional differences, and previous experience influence whether an applicant is offered a place. Factors other than ethnic group--for example, sex--could account for some of the differences that we observed.
Likelihood of acceptance to medical schools in 1992 of white applicants compared with applicants from ethnic minority groups according to score at A level
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Score at A level 30-26 Score at A level </=25
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No of applicants No of acceptances No of applicants No of acceptances Odds ratio for all strata
-------------------------------------------------------Odds ratio of ----------------------------------------Odds ratio of ----------------------------------
Ethnic Ethnic acceptance Ethnic Ethnic acceptance Weighted
minority minority (95% confidence minority minority (95% confidence (95% confidence
Medical school White group White group interval)* White group White group interval)* Crude interval)+
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Aberdeen 105 7 15 3 0.22 (0.04 to 1.41) 102 14 10 0 0.82 0.72 (0.18 to 4.17)
Belfast 226 3 129 1 2.66 (0.19 to 75.2) 134 3 1 0 2.83 2.71 (0.15 to 159)
Birmingham 643 133 139 19 1.65 (0.96 to 2.89) 465 207 13 1 5.79 (0.79 to 119.30) 2.54 1.88 (1.12 to 3.26)
Bristol 572 78 85 10 1.19 (0.56 to 2.56) 338 91 16 3 1.46 (0.39 to 6.44) 1.50 1.22 (0.66 to 2.45)
Cambridge 428 140 161 35 1.81 (1.15 to 2.85) 70 46 3 0 2.12 1.88 (1.21 to 2.97)
Charing Cross and
Westminster 223 139 33 18 1.17 (0.6 to 2.27) 512 467 59 22 2.63 (1.55 to 4.52) 2.02 1.93 (1.30 to 2.95)
Dundee 256 14 32 2 0.86 (0.17 to 5.82) 318 90 42 6 2.13 (0.83 to 5.78) 1.78 1.76 (0.80 to 4.47)
Edinburgh 615 99 104 24 0.64 (0.37 to 1.09) 246 47 0 0 0.64 0.64 (0.37 to 1.09)
Glasgow 237 20 39 2 1.77 (0.37 to 11.54) 199 41 9 1 1.89 (0.23 to 41.04) 2.39 1.81 (0.51 to 7.72)
King's College 161 150 28 30 0.84 (0.46 to 1.55) 325 346 14 11 1.37 (0.58 to 3.29) 1.05 0.99 (0.61 to 1.62)
Leeds 749 173 112 21 1.27 (0.75 to 2.16) 562 263 29 4 3.52 (1.16 to 11.94) 1.98 1.61 (1.01 to 2.60)
Leicester 338 78 64 17 0.84 (0.44 to 1.60) 436 202 24 7 1.62 (0.65 to 4.21) 1.37 1.06 (0.64 to 1.79)
Liverpool 385 80 76 25 0.54 (0.31 to 0.96) 472 142 30 3 3.14 (0.9 to 13.13) 0.98 0.84 (0.52 to 1.39)
Royal London Hospital 158 82 29 8 2.08 (0.85 to 5.23) 343 327 36 7 5.36 (2.24 to 13.41) 3.02 2.77 (1.89 to 4.31)
Manchester 543 186 109 51 0.66 (0.44 to 0.99) 479 272 30 11 1.59 (0.75 to 3.42) 1.01 0.83 (0.59 to 1.18)
Newcastle 566 87 90 10 1.46 (0.7 to 3.12) 509 83 9 1 1.48 (0.19 to 31.51) 1.47 1.46 (0.73 to 2.99)
Nottingham 929 162 92 8 2.12 (0.97 to 4.81) 750 210 17 3 1.60 (0.44 to 6.93) 2.28 1.98 (1.04 to 4.14)
Oxford 271 74 77 14 1.70 (0.86 to 3.39) 78 31 2 1 0.79 (0.05 to 22.8) 1.76 1.63 (0.86 to 3.26)
Royal Free Hospital 209 85 25 6 1.79 (0.66 to 5.08) 449 359 39 13 2.53 (1.28 to 5.08) 2.08 1.88 (0.9 to 3.93)
Sheffield 613 132 77 16 1.04 (0.57 to 1.93) 616 238 33 3 4.43 (1.29 to 18.30) 1.82 1.55 (0.92 to 2.69)
Southampton 405 61 58 8 1.11 (0.48 to 2.66) 505 150 22 5 1.32 (0.46 to 4.05) 1.47 1.19 (0.63 to 2.41)
St Andrews 110 14 32 2 2.46 (0.48 to 16.92) 97 49 12 1 6.78 (0.87 to 143.07) 5.40 3.83 (1.12 to 20.53)
St Bartholomew's
Hospital 199 92 43 24 0.78 (0.42 to 1.45) 256 145 16 3 3.16 (0.85 to 13.87) 1.16 1.07 (0.63 to 1.85)
St George's Hospital 244 132 61 25 1.32 (0.87 to 2.00) 476 369 44 14 2.58 (1.35 to 5.03) 2.02 1.85 (1.23 to 2.83)
St Mary's Hospital 296 138 37 7 2.67 (1.10 to 6.77) 704 442 34 13 1.67 (0.84 to 3.38) 2.14 2.03 (1.20 to 3.56)
University College and
Middlesex 472 217 59 18 1.58 (0.88 to 2.86) 1085 810 28 15 1.39 (0.75 to 2.59) 1.78 1.50 (0.98 to 2.35)
United Medical and
Dental Schools of
Guy's and St Thomas's
Hospitals 233 152 68 55 0.73 (0.46 to 1.15) 253 284 23 15 1.79 (0.87 to 3.91) 1.20 0.96 (0.65 to 1.40)
Wales 288 69 70 11 1.69 (0.81 to 3.36) 442 186 23 5 1.99 (0.70 to 6.06) 2.18 1.79 (1.00 to 3.38)
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*White candidates: candidates from ethnic minority groups.
+Mantel-Haenszel test. |
A higher proportion of applicants to medical schools than in the population overall are from ethnic minority groups.2 Medical schools may therefore inadvertently be trying to restrict the overall numbers of students from ethnic minority groups to reflect population distributions in the United Kingdom. This may explain why white students with lower A level scores (25 or less) seem to have a greater chance of being accepted than their colleagues from ethnic minority groups with similar scores. There did not seem to be any selection bias in favour of white candidates among applicants with scores of 30-26.
The process of selecting students for undergraduate medical courses has long been a problem for those having to select. Admission policies are not standard or defined so the policies of individual medical schools vary greatly.3 Our data suggest that some medical schools could be accused of practising discriminatory admissions policies.
AE and DP were commissioned by the Medical Practitioners Union, London SE1 1UN, to carry out this study.