BMJ 1994;308:308-312 (29 January)

General practice

Effectiveness of health checks conducted by nurses in primary care: results of the OXCHECK study after one year

J Muir, D Mant, L Jones, P Yudkin,  on behalf of the Imperial Cancer Research Fund OXCHECK Study Group

University of Oxford, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Radcliffe Infirmary, Oxford OX2 6HE.

Abstract

Objective : To assess the effectiveness of health checks by nurses in reducing risk factors for cardiovascular disease in patients from general practice.
Design : Randomised controlled trial.
Setting : Five urban general practices in Bedfordshire.
Subjects : 2136 patients receiving an initial health check in 1989-91 and scheduled to be re-examined one year later in 1990-2 (intervention group); 3988 patients receiving an initial health check in 1990-2 (control group). All patients were aged 35-64 years at recruitment in 1989.
Main outcome measures : Serum total cholesterol concentration, blood pressure, body mass index, confirmed smoking cessation.
Results : Mean serum total cholesterol was 2.3% lower in the intervention group than in the controls (difference 0.14 mmol/l (95% confidence interval 0.08 to 0.20)); the difference was greater in women (3.2%, P<0.0001) than men (1.0%, P=0.18). There was no significant difference in smoking prevalence, quit rates, or body mass index. Systolic and diastolic blood pressure were 2.5% and 2.4% lower respectively in the intervention group. The proportion of patients with diastolic blood pressure >=100 mm Hg was 2.6% (55/2131) in the intervention group and 3.4% (137/3987) in the controls (difference 0.9% (0.0 to 1.7); the proportion with total cholesterol concentration >=8 mmol/l 4.8% (100/2068) and 7.6% (295/3905) (difference 2.7% (1.5 to 4.0)); and that with body mass index >=30 12.4% (264/2125) and 14.0% (559/3984) (difference 1.6% (-0.2 to 3.4)).
Conclusion : General health checks by nurses are ineffective in helping smokers to stop smoking, but they help patients to modify their diet and total cholesterol concentration. The public health importance of this dietary change depends on whether it is sustained.

Practice implications

  • Practice implications

  • General health checks by nurses are ineffective in helping smokers to stop smoking

  • Some studies have shown that advice to stop smoking from general practitioners is effective and that the rates of stopping can be increased by systematic follow up by nurses

  • This study found that health checks are effective in helping patients to lower their cholesterol concentration but the overall effect was small, particularly in men

  • The public health benefit of reducing cholesterol concentration depends on whether the effect is sustained

  • The involvement of nurses is likely to improve the management of patients with hypertension and high cholesterol concentration

Introduction

In 1982 a pilot project was initiated in Oxford to assess the feasibility of using practice nurses to identify patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease. A nurse facilitator encouraged individual general practices to invite their middle aged patients to attend for health checks. These were carried out by practice nurses, who measured the patient's blood pressure, height, and weight and gave appropriate advice on reducing smoking and other cardiovascular risk factors.1 The project was successful in recruiting practices and in facilitating screening. The recording of blood pressure and smoking habit in patients registered with the practices increased dramatically.2 In other ways the project was not so successful. The follow up of patients identified as being at high risk was incomplete.3 Attendance rates were less than anticipated and those at highest risk often failed to attend.4 A parallel trial conducted in other practices in Oxfordshire on the effectiveness of advice on stopping smoking given by nurses during health checks yielded disappointing results.5 A survey of the ability of the practice nurses conducting the health checks to give adequate dietary advice showed that most were ill equipped to do so.6

A previous study evaluating population screening for cardiovascular disease in south east London concluded that the use of general practice based multiphase screening in middle age can no longer be advocated on scientific, ethical or economic grounds as a desirable public health measure.7 The study was criticised, however, because it was primarily a screening study without sustained and well structured intervention and follow up. Evidence from Oslo and the Belgian arm of the World Health Organisation's factories study suggested that significant reductions in the risk of developing ischaemic heart disease could be achieved by effective primary intervention.8,9 Although the British arm of the World Health Organisation's study achieved results that were less encouraging than those from other countries, it found a relation between the number of episodes of individual counselling and change in risk factor score.10,11 We therefore thought that there was sufficient uncertainty to justify a formal randomised controlled trial of health checks by nurses in general practices in the United Kingdom.

One year after the study began the government introduced a new contract for general practitioners which gave financial advantage if health checks were offered to patients. Fortunately, Bedfordshire Family Health Service Authority agreed that the study should continue without financial penalty to the collaborating practices. Although the requirements of the general practice contract have now been relaxed to allow a more flexible approach, general practitioners still need to decide for themselves how to provide preventive services. We report the effectiveness at one year follow up of one widely promoted option - health checks by nurses.

Methods

Design

The method of recruitment and details of the health check have been described previously.12 Briefly, a computerised list of names and addresses of all registered patients aged 35-64 from five practices in Luton and Dunstable, Bedfordshire, was obtained from the family practitioner committee. An initial questionnaire was sent to 17 965 patients to check their registered address and to document various baseline characteristics, including social class and smoking habit. The figure shows the overall design of the study. The 11 090 patients who responded (80.3% after adjusting for inaccuracies of registration)12 were randomised by household to be offered a health check during a specified year of the four year study period. As questionnaires were returned patients were randomly allocated in blocks of four to the year of their health check. The first year began in early summer 1989. Patients in the same household were allocated to the same year group as the first respondent. A sticker was attached to the outside of each patient's general practice notes indicating the randomisation group. After a health check had been performed during the first two years of the study half the patients were randomly assigned to be re-examined annually.



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Design of OXCHECK study showing derivation of groups for analysis after one year

The comparison reported in this paper is between 2136 patients invited for re-examination in the second and third years of the study and 3988 patients attending for their initial health check during the same time. The study was designed to be able to detect with (alpha)=0.05 (two tailed test) and ß=0.90 an overall difference in the rate of stopping smoking of 2% and a difference in mean serum total cholesterol concentration of 0.1 mmol/l between the intervention and control groups. Although the study also had 90% power to detect a mean difference in blood pressure of 1 mm Hg, random error was considered unlikely to be the major difficulty in interpreting changes in blood pressure, since the accommodation to measurement at re-examination noted in previous studies was of greater magnitude.13,14

Examinations

At the health checks details of personal and family history of ischaemic heart disease, stroke, hypertension, diabetes, and cancer and of smoking history were recorded. Reported exercise rates (by graded levels) and alcohol consumption were noted. Habitual diet was estimated with a food frequency chart that concentrated on the principal sources of fat and fibre contributing to the British diet. A score based on reported frequency of consumption of 11 food groups (which contribute 70% of the total fat content in the average British diet according to the national food survey)*RF 14a* was used to assign participants to low, medium, or high total fat consumption. A polyunsaturated fat score based on the type of fat used for spreading on bread and in frying, cooking, and baking similarly estimated the quality of added fat consumed. Measurement of height and weight (Seca scales, with three monthly calibration) and blood pressure (by Hawksley random zero sphygmomanometer) was according to standard protocols. Body mass index was calculated. No formal risk score was used, but overall risk was assessed by the nurses from a specially constructed visual chart which showed the interactive effect on the relative risk of blood pressure, smoking, and cholesterol concentrations. Nurses were instructed to counsel patients about risk factors, with the emphasis on ascertaining the patients' views on change and negotiating priorities and targets for risk reduction. Set protocols for repeat measurement were laid down for high blood pressure and hyperlipidaemia, but otherwise follow up was by mutual agreement of the nurse and patient. In general, nurses were encouraged to set their own priorities in the light of overall risk. Health checks were estimated to take 45-60 minutes, follow up examinations 10-20 minutes, and annual reexamination 30 minutes. An external audit indicated that an average health check lasted 44 minutes (range 28-68), with introduction, information gathering, clinical measurement, target negotiation, and health education taking on average (range) 3 (1-5), 14 (7-25), 12 (7-24), and 15 (4-24) minutes respectively.

The protocol for annual re-examination was briefer than that for the initial health check but it included remeasurement of height and weight, blood pressure, serum cholesterol concentration, smoking habit, and dietary fat intake according to the same methods as the initial health check. Cholesterol concentration was measured in venous samples by an oxidase-peroxidase aminopyrine method at the Luton and Dunstable Hospital, which subscribes to the Wellcome quality control scheme and the United Kingdom external quality assurance scheme. Reported smoking cessation was confirmed by measuring serum cotinine concentration by radioimmunoassay at the Hallam University Biological Sciences Laboratory in Sheffield. A cut off point of 20 ng/ml (113.5 nmol/l) was used to confirm non-smoking.

Calculation of results

There was no significant difference between the four groups randomised to be offered health checks in years 1 to 4 in terms of age, sex, social class, or marital status. The mean (SD) age of each group was 49.3 (8.5), 49.2 (8.6), 49.3 (8.7), and 49.4 (8.6) years respectively. The intervention and control groups were also well matched. The mean age was respectively 49.4 (8.5) and 49.5 (8.5) years; the proportion of men 44.6% (952/2136) and 44.4% (1770/3988); the proportion of patients in social classes I and II 26.0% (514/1975;161 unclassified) and 25.1% (928/3704;284 unclassified); and the proportion married or cohabiting 81.8% (1707/2088;48 not known) and 82.7% (3245/3925;63 not known).

The differences between the intervention and control groups in mean serum cholesterol concentration, body mass index, and diastolic blood pressure were tested for heterogeneity between the five practices by Cochran's test.15 As no heterogeneity was found the results of the five practices were pooled.

Results are presented both for those who attended for re-examination and for all patients scheduled to attend on the assumption that non-attenders showed no change from their initial health check. In table II the denominator used for calculating the rates of stopping smoking was the sum of smokers and those who reported that they had stopped rather than all patients.

The confidence intervals were calculated with the Confidence Interval Analysis programme.16 The significance of differences between the means of continuous variables was assessed by the t test and differences between proportions by the X2 test.

Minor inconsistencies in the tables reflect rounding or missing values for some variables. Five patients in the intervention group and one patient in the control group were missing blood pressure values; 11 and four patients respectively were missing body mass indices; 68 and 83 were missing serum cholesterol concentrations; 11 and two were missing values for reported exercise; and two and four were missing data on use of fat. Serum cotinine measurements were also not available for 13 intervention and nine control patients who claimed to have stopped smoking; these patients were classified as smokers.

The study was granted ethical approval by the Central Oxford Ethics Committee.

Results

Table I shows the mean differences in total cholesterol concentration, blood pressure, and body mass index between the intervention and control groups for attenders at re-examination and for all patients scheduled to attend; we used values from the initial health check for non-attenders. The intention to treat analysis is the correct way to analyse randomised trials and is therefore reported as the principal outcome. The difference between controls and attenders will over-estimate the effectiveness of the health check because non-attenders are likely to have been less compliant with advice than attenders. However, as some non-attenders had reasons other than non-compliance for their non-attendance - for example, having moved from the area - the true effect of the health check is likely to lie between the two outcomes reported.


TABLE I - Total cholesterol concentrations, blood pressures, and body mass
indices at initial health check and one year later. Values are means (SD)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                     Difference from control
                                            Intervention                            (95% confidence interval)
                              --------------------------------------------   ---------------------------------------------------
                                Controls    Attenders only    All patients*     Attenders only       All patients
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                            All patients

No of patients                    3988          1616            2136
Total cholesterol(mmol/l)      6.16 (1.22)    5.96 (1.09)    6.02 (1.11)    0.20 (0.13 to 0.27)   0.14 (0.08 to 0.20)
Blood pressure (mm Hg):
Systolic                      127.6 (20.2)   123.5 (19.3)   124.4 (19.5)    4.1 (3.0 to 5.3)      3.2 (2.2 to 4.3)
Diastolic                      76.4 (12.1)    74.1 (11.4)    74.6 (11.7)    2.3 (1.6 to 3.0)      1.8 (1.2 to 2.4)
Body mass index(kg/m2   25.84 (4.18)   25.53 (3.91)   25.68 (4.08)    0.31 (0.07 to 0.55)   0.16 (-0.06 to 0.38)

                                                              Men only

No of patients                   1770            713             952
Total cholesterol(mmol/l)      6.12 (1.12)    6.00 (1.02)     6.06 (1.06)   0.12 (0.02 to 0.22)   0.06 (-0.03 to 0.15)
Blood pressure(mm Hg):
Systolic                      129.9 (19.8)   126.3 (19.5)    127.1 (19.2)   3.6 (1.9 to 5.3)      2.8 (1.3 to 4.4)
Diastolic                      78.2 (12.1)    76.1 (11.9)     76.4 (11.9)   2.1 (1.1 to 3.2)      1.8 (0.9 to 2.8)
Body mass index(kg/m2)  25.99 (3.57)   25.73 (3.37)    25.86 (3.42)   0.26 (-0.05 to 0.57)  0.13 (-0.15 to 0.41)

                                                             Women only

No of patients                   2218            903            1184
Total cholesterol(mmol/l)      6.20 (1.30)    5.93 (1.13)     6.00 (1.15)   0.27 (0.17 to 0.37) 0.20 (0.11 to 0.29)
Blood pressure(mm Hg):
Systolic                      125.7 (20.4)   121.4 (18.9)    122.3 (19.4)   4.3 (2.8 to 5.9)    3.4 (2.0 to 4.8)
Diastolic                      74.9 (12.0)    72.5 (10.8)     73.2 (11.3)   2.4 (1.5 to 3.3)    1.7 (0.9 to 2.5)
Body mass index(kg/m2   25.72 (4.60)   25.37 (4.29)    25.54 (4.53)   0.35 (0.00 to 0.70) 0.18 (-0.14 to 0.50)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 *Non-attenders assumed to show no change from initial health check.

There was a difference between the intervention and control groups in total cholesterol concentration but the difference was small. Mean total cholesterol concentration and blood pressure was 2.3% lower and mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure 2.5% and 2.4% lower in the intervention compared with the control group. When the analysis was restricted to those who attended for re-examination the differences were 3.2%, 3.2%, and 3.0% respectively; there was also a significant difference (1.2%) in body mass index. The difference in cholesterol concentration (unrestricted analysis) was greater in women than men (women 3.2%, P<0.0001; men 1.0%, P=0.18). Table II shows differences in the proportions of patients in high risk groups: smokers, being overweight, and having high diastolic blood pressure or total cholesterol concentration. The differences in smoking prevalence or in the rates of stopping smoking were not significant. During the year 24 patients in the intervention group started taking hypotensive drugs and 41 patients started treatment for hyperlipidaemia.


TABLE II - Numbers (percentages) of patients in high risk categories at initial health check and one year later
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                            % Difference from control
                                                                Intervention                (95% confidence interval)
                                                       -----------------------------   -----------------------------------------
                                            Controls    Attenders only   All patients    Attenders only       All patients
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                        All patients

No of patients                               3988          1616            2136
Smoker*                                   1083 (27.2)    382 (23.6)     590 (27.6)     3.5 (1.0 to 6.0)   -0.5 (-2.8 to 1.9)
Stopped smoking in previous year(dagger)    60 (5.1)      26 (6.0)       26 (4.1)     -0.9 (-3.5 to 1.7)   1.0 (-0.9 to 3.0)
Diastolic pressure >=100 mm Hg             137 (3.4)      36 (2.2)       55 (2.6)      1.2 (0.3 to 2.1)    0.9 (0.0 to 1.7)
Total cholesterol >=8 mmol/l               295 (7.6)      59 (3.8)      100 (4.8)      3.8 (2.6 to 5.1)    2.7 (1.5 to 4.0)
Body mass index (kg/m2) >=30         559 (14.0)    187 (11.6)     264 (12.4)     2.4 (0.5 to 4.3)    1.6 (-0.2 to 3.4)

                                                                          Men only

No of patients                               1770           713             952
Smoker*                                    529 (29.9)    217 (30.4)     314 (33.0)    -0.5 (-4.5 to 3.5)  -3.1 (-6.8 to 0.6)
Stopped smoking in previous year(dagger)    28 (4.9)      17 (6.9)       17 (4.9)     -2.0 (-5.6 to 1.7)   0.0 (-2.9 to 2.9)
Diastolic pressure >=100 mm Hg              76 (4.3)      26 (3.7)       35 (3.7)      0.6 (-1.0 to 2.3)   0.6 (-0.9 to 2.1)
Total cholesterol >=8 mmol/l                96 (5.5)      22 (3.1)       40 (4.3)      2.4 (0.7 to 4.1)    1.2 (-0.5 to 2.9)
Body mass index (kg/m2) >=30         227 (12.8)     76 (10.7)     106 (11.2)     2.1 (-0.6 to 4.9)   1.6 (-0.9 to 4.2)

                                                                         Women only

No of patients                               2218           903            1184
Smoker*                                    554 (25.0)    165 (18.3)     276 (23.3)     6.7 (3.6 to 9.8)    1.7 (-1.3 to 4.7)
Stopped smoking in previous year(dagger)    32 (5.3)       9 (4.9)        9 (3.1)      0.4 (-3.2 to 4.0)   2.2 (-0.4 to 4.9)
Diastolic pressure >=100 mm Hg              61 (2.8)      10 (1.1)       20 (1.7)      1.6 (0.7 to 2.6)    1.1 (0.1 to 2.1)
Total cholesterol >=8 mmol/l               199 (9.2)      37 (4.2)       60 (5.3)      5.0 (3.1 to 6.8)    3.9 (2.2 to 5.7)
Body mass index (kg/m2) >=30         332 (15.0)    111 (12.4)     158 (13.4)     2.6 (0.0 to 5.2)    1.6 (-0.9 to 4.0)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 *Smoking any form of tobacco at least daily.
 (dagger)Not smoking at health check (serum cotinine <20 ng/ml (113.5 nmol/l)
and reporting having stopped smoking during previous 12 months
(expressed as percentage of smokers and reported quitters).

Table III shows the differences between intervention and control groups in reported diet and exercise. The proportion of patients saying that they took little vigorous exercise (less than once a month) was significantly lower in the intervention group but the difference between groups was small (5.1% (2.7% to 7.6%)). The difference in reported fat intake was greater. In the intervention group 11.9% fewer patients said that they drank mainly full cream milk, while 11.6% fewer said that they spread mainly butter, lard, or hard margarine on their bread. The mean score for polyunsaturated fatty acids, a measure of intake, was 0.4 greater (0.3 to 0.5) in the intervention group - an improvement of about 5%.


TABLE III - Reported diet and exercise at initial health check and one year later. Values are numbers(percentage)
of patients unless stated otherwise
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                            % Difference from control
                                                         Intervention                       (95% confidence interval)
                                                 -------------------------------  -----------------------------------------------
                                   Controls      Attenders only     All patients       Attenders only         All patients
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                    All patients

No of patients                       3988            1616              2136
Exercises vigorously <1/month     2808 (70.4)     991 (61.7)        1388 (65.3)      8.8 (6.0 to 11.5)     5.1 (2.7 to 7.6)
Drinks mainly full cream milk     1523 (38.2)     311 (19.2)         561 (26.3)     18.9 (16.5 to 21.4)   11.9 (9.5 to 14.3)
Uses mainly butter or
  hard margarine on bread         1271 (31.9)     253 (15.7)         434 (20.3)     16.2 (13.9 to 18.5)   11.6 (9.3 to 13.8)
Mean (SD) PUFA score               8.3 (1.9)      9.0 (1.6)          8.7 (1.8)      -0.7 (-0.8 to -0.6)   -0.4 (-0.5 to -0.3)

                                                               Men only

No of patients                       1770            713                 952
Exercises vigorously <1/month     1268 (71.7)     437 (61.6)         613 (64.7)    10.1 (5.9 to 14.2)      7.1 (3.4 to 10.8)
Drinks mainly full cream milk      785 (44.4)     167 (23.4)         294 (30.9)    20.9 (17.1 to 24.8)    13.5 (9.7 to 17.2)
Uses mainly butter or hard
  margarine on bread               606 (34.3)     112 (15.8)         202 (21.3)    18.5 (15.0 to 22.0)    13.0 (9.6 to 16.4)
Mean (SD) PUFA score               8.2 (2.0)      8.9 (1.7)          8.7 (1.7)     -0.7 (-0.9 to -0.5)    -0.5 (-0.7 to -0.4)

                                                              Women only

No of patients                      2218             903                1184
Exercises vigorously <1/month     1540 (69.4)     554 (61.7)         775 (65.8)   7.7 (4.0 to 11.5)        3.6(0.3 to 6.9)
Drinks mainly full cream milk      738 (33.3)     144 (15.9)         267 (22.6)  17.3 (14.2 to 20.4)      10.7 (7.6 to 13.8)
Uses mainly butter or hard
  margarine on bread               665 (30.0)     141 (15.6)         232 (19.6)  14.4 (11.4 to 17.4)      10.4 (7.5 to 13.4)
Mean (SD) PUFA score               8.3 (1.9)      9.0 (1.5)          8.8 (1.7)  -0.7 (-0.8 to -0.6)       -0.5 (-0.6 to -0.4)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 PUFA=Polyunsaturated fatty acid intake estimated from food frequency questionnaire.

Discussion

The trial design had to deal with several difficult problems: contamination of the control group by contact between patients and by demand for health checks from patients assigned to be controls; the similarity of intervention and measurement; potential loss to follow up in an area of high mobility; and the need to sustain follow up for several years. Also the intervention itself had to be of high quality but capable of being applied to general practice throughout the United Kingdom.

We randomised the identifiably middle aged patients of five urban general practices in Luton and Dunstable, Bedfordshire, to being offered health checks in one of four consecutive years; patients receiving health checks in the later years of the study could thus act as controls for those being re-examined in the same year. This design seemed to have three main advantages. It avoided the need to have baseline measurements in the control group. It minimised the risk of contamination by randomising by household and by assigning every patient in the practice to receive a health check at a specific time (so that all patients could be reassured that they would not be left out). It stopped the intervention from being too unrealistic by covering a high proportion of the practice population rather than a selected few. This was important for ensuring that the results could be generally applied to practices in the United Kingdom.

Smoking

The lack of effectiveness of health checks in promoting smoking cessation is in line with our previous trial5 and contrasts with the three month results from our recently reported trial of the effectiveness of nicotine patches in general practice.17 The considerable difference in the success of smoking cessation between the two trials may reflect the effectiveness of nicotine replacement, the high motivation of the volunteering patients, the fact that the initial interview was with the patient's own doctor, and the shorter period of follow up in the nicotine patch trial.17 Nurse training, however, was similar in the two trials, which were also supervised by the same research team. The difference in results must also call into question the wisdom of trying to change too many risk factors at once, even though the OXCHECK nurses were trained to prioritise areas for lifestyle change. Advice on stopping smoking may be more effective if it is not diluted by other health promotion messages.

Blood pressure

The difference between the intervention and control groups in both systolic and diastolic blood pressure is entirely consistent with an accommodation effect. An accommodation to measurement of blood pressure in longitudinal studies has been repeatedly demonstrated - for example, at the first biennial re-examination in the Framingham study diastolic blood pressure dropped by 2.4 mm Hg and systolic blood pressure by 3.1 mm Hg.13 In the Medical Research Council's mild hypertension trial the fall in mean blood pressure in the placebo group between the initial screening and the first annual re-examination was even greater.14 Although the pressor effect of the initial measurement may be much less in the more familiar surroundings of the patients' own general practice surgery and most patients would have previously had their blood pressure measured, the patients had not before been exposed to a random zero sphygmomanometer (which is slightly more daunting than a normal sphygmomanometer and may be associated with the use of higher cuff pressures). The three most plausible ways in which the health checks could have led to a reduction in mean blood pressure would be by encouraging exercise or weight loss or by identifying patients for pharmacological intervention. As the number of patients who needed to take drugs was small, and little difference in body mass index was reported, it seems reasonable to conclude that accommodation to measurement is the most important factor responsible for the difference in blood pressure observed.

Cholesterol concentration

The most convincing effect of the health checks is the difference in serum cholesterol concentration between the intervention and control groups. This result is unlikely to be an artefact. The venous samples were analysed by the same technician in a hospital laboratory with careful quality control. The result is also consistent with the differences in dietary intake recorded on the food frequency questionnaires and with the range of 0.6-2.0% reported for population trials in the recent overview by Ramsay et al.18 It is disappointing that the difference in cholesterol concentration was smaller in men than in women in view of the greater effect of cholesterol concentration on absolute risk in men.

The importance to public health in the observed effect on cholesterol concentration will be more easily assessed when the extent to which the effect is sustained is known (the results of three years of follow up of patients receiving their initial health check in the first year of the trial will be analysed shortly). From an epidemiological perspective, a sustained 2% drop in population cholesterol concentration should result in a 4% drop in cardiovascular mortality.19 In practice, however, this prediction may be overly optimistic because the reduction in cholesterol concentration achieved by giving dietary advice in primary care was not sustained in a previous trial in Oxfordhshire20 and no reduction was seen at 3-5 years of follow up on audit of 520 health checks for men.21

Conclusion

s

Although we believe that final judgment on the value of health checks should at least await our three year results, we agree with Catford and Moore that the key question is not whether health checks work but how well they work in comparison with other forms of health promotion.22 We also think that effectiveness should be compared in relation to the other priorities in primary care. Given the proved success of simple interventions in reducing mortality in those already diagnosed as suffering from cardiovascular disease23 and the high prevalence of proved cardiovascular disease in the general population, practice nurses may be more effectively used with patients at established high risk. We urge, however, that policy should follow careful research rather than the other way round.

The study was funded by the Imperial Cancer Research Fund, with additional support from Upjohn and Parke-Davis. We thank Mr R Smith of Bedfordshire Family Health Services Authority for help and collaboration over the past five years of contractual turmoil.

The Members of the OXCHECK Study Group are: University Department of Public Health and Primary Care: A Coulter, G Fowler, A Fuller, L Jones, M Lawrence, D Mant, J Muir, A Neil, C O'Neil, L Roe, N Rusted, T Schofield, C Silagy, M Thorogood, P Yudkin. Chemical Pathology Department, Luton and Dunstable District General Hospital: D Freedman, M Oggelsby, S Joyce, Y Sweetman. Department of Biological Sciences, Sheffield Hallam University: R F Smith.

Participating general practitioners: P Bradley, R Brown, S Choudhury, M Clarke, J Crarer, N Curt, D Denis-Smith, H Francis, P Maddock, J Marsden, D Marshall, S Martin, H McGill, A Mitchell, O O'Toole, M Roberts, C Royall, A Sander, J Stanton, H Swallow, C Sykes, J Tabert, S Talbot, D Tant, M Waldron, P Williams.

Participating practice nurses: I Allen, S Brown, P Clark, J Draper, P Gazeley, S Lilley, K Mustoe, J Steele, J Szumski, M Tyrrell, K Tiernan, J Vanderwall, S Vella, A White, K Warren, A White, P Wolsey, L Young.

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