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Published 18 September 2009, doi:10.1136/bmj.b3811
Cite this as: BMJ 2009;339:b3811
Andrew Jack, pharmaceuticals correspondent
1 Financial Times, London
Andrew.Jack@ft.com
With over 96 countries stockpiling oseltamivir, Andrew Jack assesses who has benefited from pandemic flu
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Former US defence secretary Donald Rumsfeld was talking about weapons of mass destruction and the war in Iraq when he referred to "unknown unknowns" in 2002, but he could just as easily have been explaining why drug companies have been able to make money out of the global flu pandemic. Within a few months of his comments, a series of events began to fuel growing international concern about a new pandemic. The mixture of fear and ignorance over its timing, nature, and severity soon sparked an unexpected bonanza for the manufacturers.
Since the emergence of swine flu in Mexico this spring finally triggered the first pandemic in four decades, J P Morgan, the investment bank, estimates that governments have made fresh orders for antiviral drugs of $3bn (£1.8bn;
2bn) and that recent or potential sales of vaccines are $7bn.1 All that despite signs that the virus is proving relatively mild,
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