Published 30 October 2008, doi:10.1136/bmj.a2322
Cite this as: BMJ 2008;337:a2322

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Three quarters of deaths in developing world will be caused by heart and lung diseases by 2030

John Zarocostas

1 Geneva

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

Deaths from heart disease and lung disease in developing countries are set to rise considerably in the next 25 years as populations age and deaths from infectious diseases decline, says a report from the World Health Organization.

The Global Burden of Disease: 2004 Update says that the leading causes of death globally in 2030 are projected to be "ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease (stroke), chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, and lower respiratory infections (mainly pneumonia)."

Non-communicable conditions will account for 75% of all deaths by 2030, up from 60% in 2004, said Colin Mathers, coordinator for epidemiology and burden of disease at WHO, and lead author of the study.

In 2004 an estimated 58.8 million people died worldwide. Of the deaths more than half were among people aged 60 or over. However, one in five deaths were among children under the age of 5, and in the African region 46% of . . . [Full text of this article]


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Headline misleading
Rex C Paddy
bmj.com, 1 Nov 2008 [Full text]
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