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Published 13 November 2008, doi:10.1136/bmj.a2340
Cite this as: BMJ 2008;337:a2340
Is poor at predicting future events, but still an essential part of assessment
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
In the linked cohort study (doi:10.1136/bmj.a2240), Sekhri and colleagues assess whether resting and exercise electrocardiograms (ECGs) provide superior prognostic value to that obtained from the clinical history in ambulatory patients with suspected angina.1 The study indicates that the clinical assessment accounts for most of the prognostic information provided by resting and exercise ECGs.
Other studies and algorithms have used the patients pretest probability to help with diagnosis,2 but long term prediction of risk and the incremental usefulness of the ECG have not been evaluated in this way.
The study is a reminder of the importance of taking a detailed history and making a thorough physical examination, and that additional information from the ECG is helpful in some patients but does not predict risk in everyone. The results do not mean that ECGs and stress tests are not useful, because an abnormal ECG and abnormal stress test independently predicted
Beth Abramson, director
1 Cardiac Prevention Centre, Division of Cardiology, St Michaels Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada M5B 1W8
abramsonb@smh.toronto.on.ca
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