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BMJ 2008;336:863 (19 April), doi:10.1136/bmj.39514.494167.AD
James N Johnson, consultant surgeon
1 Halton General Hospital, Runcorn WA7 2DA
jnjohnson33@hotmail.com
In January, the government announced pilot screening programmes for men aged 65 in England, with national screening to follow. Stephen Brearley (doi: 10.1136/bmj.39517.443796.AD) describes the rationale for this proposal while James Johnson argues that it is not without pitfalls
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
The case for screening for abdominal aortic aneurysms looks open and shut. Mortality for patients with a ruptured aneurysm is around 90% if you include those who do not survive until the ambulance arrives.1 2 But if the aneurysm is discovered before it ruptures and is repaired electively, the mortality in the hand of an experienced vascular surgeon is around 7.4% in England.3 Unfortunately abdominal aortic aneurysms rarely give rise to symptoms and so are not diagnosed before they rupture. Screening would ensure that most aneurysms in the appropriate age group will be picked up and could be repaired electively.
The UK government seems convinced, and pilot screening programmes for men aged 65 are due to be launched this year. But I believe this move is overhasty. The average mortality for surgical repair, which comes from an epidemiological survey of 112 545 diagnoses or repairs,3 hides wide variations between hospitals. In
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