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BMJ 2006;333:1020 (11 November), doi:10.1136/bmj.39024.451389.FA
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Jefferson believes that his systematic reviews show that influenza vaccines "have little or no effect on the effects measured."1 He wonders why there is a gap between evidence and policy.
Jefferson identifies three reasons why his evidence contradicts policy.
Firstly, policy relies heavily on non-randomised studies. Yet his preference for randomised controlled trials is based on historical, pragmatic, and heuristic reasons and cannot be justified on epistemological grounds alone.2 He argues that heterogeneity among studies and study years3 can be overcome by "averaging" outcomes over several years, and finds observational studies yield relative risk reductions that are statistically significant.
Secondly, he cites the lack of evidence of vaccination on effects "at the centre of campaign objectives," yet he documents such evidence for older adults, barely fails to show it for younger adults, and is unable to consider influenza-related otitis media, a frequent complication in young children.
Thirdly, he is concerned
David S Fedson, retired physician1, Kristin L Nichol, professor of medicine2
1 01630 Sergy Haut, France dfedson@wanadoo.fr , 2 University of Minnesota