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BMJ 2005;331:1202 (19 November), doi:10.1136/bmj.331.7526.1202-b
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EDITORThe advent of increasingly expensive and effective treatments over the next few years is likely to make this kind of ethical discussion even more common.1
However, the £20 000 headline figure for a course of trastuzumab obscures the real cost of using this agent. In the original paper 261 adverse outcomes occurred in 1679 patients receiving placebo and 133 in 1672 patients receiving trastuzumab2; the published relative risk reduction of 0.48 obscures the number needed to treat (NNT) of 13 (95% confidence interval 10 to 18). From a cost effectiveness point of view, £260 000 in trastuzumab buys only one additional patient a disease free survival. This may be a worthwhile investment, but in a hard pressed NHS for the same sum you can't help thinking that it could pay for an additional consultant oncologist, or a bevy of extra specialist nurses.
If testing for HER2/neu gene
Matthew L Grove, consultant rheumatologist
Tyneside General Hospital, North Shields NE29 8NH Matthew.Grove@northumbria-healthcare.nhs.uk
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