BMJ 2005;331:836-838 (8 October), doi:10.1136/bmj.331.7520.836
Education and debate
How well does the evidence on pioglitazone back up researchers' claims for a reduction in macrovascular events?
Nick Freemantle, professor of clinical epidemiology and biostatistics1
1 University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT N.Freemantle@bham.ac.uk
Recent claims that pioglitazone prevents macrovascular events are based on a secondary outcome measure. But ignoring the primary outcome is statistically unsound
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
Introduction
Last month, members of the steering committee of the prospective
pioglitazone clinical trial in macrovascular events (Proactive)
presented the results at the European Association for the Study
of Diabetes meeting in Athens.
1 The audience, which overflowed
from the meeting room, heard John Dormandy, chair of the steering
committee, conclude that the trial had shown that pioglitazone,
"Reduces the composite of all cause mortality, non-fatal myocardial
infarction, and stroke." He commented: "We have now shown for
the first time that oral glucose lowering medication can prevent
macrovascular events." The audience seemed excited by these
results and a consensus emerged that the results would change
practice. The presentation was certainly positive and upbeat
(as readers may judge for themselves from the webcast made available
with the support of the study sponsors, Eli Lilly and Takeda
1).
Unfortunately, these conclusions are not based on robust standards
for the interpretation of evidence from clinical
. . . [Full text of this article]
The trial
Assessing composite outcome measures
Further review

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Rapid Responses:
Read all Rapid Responses
- proposal to editor
- vasiliy Vlassov
bmj.com, 9 Oct 2005
[Full text]
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- Jeffrey Mann
bmj.com, 11 Oct 2005
[Full text]
- Independent commentator on PROactive trial at the EASD meeting
- Decio L. Eizirik, et al.
bmj.com, 11 Oct 2005
[Full text]
- When all thirty authors are wrong...
- James Penston
bmj.com, 17 Oct 2005
[Full text]
- More Concerns About PROactive
- Edward V Auersperg
bmj.com, 19 Oct 2005
[Full text]
- PROACTIVE. Let’s keep on locking the crazy aunt in the attic. [1]
- Giulio Rigon, et al.
bmj.com, 30 Nov 2005
[Full text]
- Response from the PROactive Study Executive Committee and Data and Safety Monitoring Committee
- John A Dormandy, et al.
bmj.com, 21 Jan 2006
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- Re: Response from the PROactive Study Executive Committee and Data and Safety Monitoring Committee
- Nick Freemantle
bmj.com, 23 Jan 2006
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