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BMJ 2005;330:845 (9 April), doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7495.845
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITORAaby et al raise issues of general rather than specific interest, as their references indicate. The study of the effects of vaccines, which pioneered the randomised controlled trials method more than 50 years ago, is still topical and of general interest.1 The limitations discussed by Aaby et al are intrinsic to all observational datasets and, in this respect, the assets of our study are to rely on both independent and shared pre-planned analyses2 of observational datasets, issued from a country other than Guinea-Bissau. The simulations we performed (which are available on request) on the effects of a possible survival bias logically influenced our estimates towards 1 but did not yield different conclusions.
In addition to the misclassification aspect, causal inference is also an issue at stake. In this respect, we agree with Fine that the conclusion of our study is no evidence for a positive association between any
J Vaugelade, demographer
vaugelad@ird.fr, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Laboratoire Population, Environnement et Développement, BP 64501, 34394 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
F Simondon, epidemiologist, E Elguero, statistician
Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Laboratoire Population, Environnement et Développement, BP 64501, 34394 Montpellier Cedex 5, France
S Pinchinat, biostatistician
Biostatem, Parc Scientifique G Besse, F 30035 Nîmes, France
G Guiella, researcher
Unité d'Etudes et de Recherche en Démographie, 03 BP 7118, Ouagadougou 03, Burkina Faso