Asbestos related cancer deaths set to rise

doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7487.327-a

BMJ 2005;330:327 (12 February), doi:10.1136/bmj.330.7487.327-a

News roundup

Asbestos related cancer deaths set to rise

Abergavenny Roger Dobson

Deaths from exposure to asbestos are increasing and will peak in the next decade, according to new research. Annual deaths from mesothelioma among men in Britain will rise to between 1950 and 2450 a year between 2011 and 2015, compared with 153 deaths in 1968, say researchers writing in the British Journal of Cancer (published online ahead of print publication) on 25 January (www.nature.com/bjc, doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6602307).

They predict that the total number of deaths since 1968 will rise to 90 000 by 2050, with 65 000 of those deaths after 2002.

In the study, researchers from the Health and Safety Executive, the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, and the Institute of Cancer Research, used Poisson regression analysis to model male mesothelioma deaths from 1968 to 2001 and to predict numbers of male deaths in 2002-50.

The British mesothelioma register contains all deaths 1968-2001 for which . . . [Full text of this article]

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