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BMJ 2004;329:461-462 (21 August), doi:10.1136/bmj.329.7463.461-b
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITORWe agree with Aldred and Healy's suggestion that part of the recent rise in antidepressant prescribing may be due to there being a growing number of long term users of these drugswe acknowledged this as a limitation of our model. If any adverse effects of antidepressants on suicide risk occur mainly in the first few weeks of treatment then our model will overestimate these.
Mitchell correctly identifies that one of the major assumptions we made in our model was that the risk estimates of non-fatal suicidal behaviour derived from paediatric trials could be applied to fatal suicidal behaviour in adults. We acknowledged this important limitation of our modelled "worst case scenario" in the paper. Mitchell points out the drug specific risk estimates we reported in the table are risk ratios rather than odds ratios. The odds ratios for the drug specific estimates are very similar to the relative
David Gunnell, professor of epidemiology
D.J.Gunnell@bristol.ac.uk Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2PR
Deborah Ashby, professor of medical statistics
Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, Barts and London, Queen Mary School of Medicine and Dentistry, University of London, London EC1M 6BQ