BMJ  2003;327:751 (27 September), doi:10.1136/bmj.327.7417.751-b

Letter

Effect of NSAIDs on risk of Alzheimer's disease

Confounding factors were not discussed

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR—In their study of the effect of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) Etminan et al did not consider possible confounding factors for what is currently only an observed reduction in risk.1

What if having osteoarthritis is negatively associated with developing Alzheimer's disease? Presumably some form of osteoarthritis is the likely reason why older people are receiving NSAIDs. Both conditions have genetic and environmental components that may well be mutually exclusive.

That NSAIDs offer some protection against the development of Alzheimer's disease cannot yet be stated with confidence. As Davey Smith and Ebrahim pointed out in an editorial, an association does not show causation, and doctors have been caught out giving poorly based and premature advice (and treatment) before.2

A recently published randomised controlled trial did not show any benefit from either naproxen or rofecoxib in preventing the progression of early Alzheimer's disease.3 We may be no further forward in . . . [Full text of this article]

Michael Robertson, general practitioner

Marcham Road Health Centre, Abingdon, Oxfordshire OX14 1DB michael.robertson@gp-k84041.nhs.uk


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Relevant Articles

Effect of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs on risk of Alzheimer's disease: systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies
Mahyar Etminan, Sudeep Gill, and Ali Samii
BMJ 2003 327: 128. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

Data dredging, bias, or confounding
George Davey Smith and Shah Ebrahim
BMJ 2002 325: 1437-1438. [Extract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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