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BMJ 2003;326:1265 (7 June), doi:10.1136/bmj.326.7401.1265
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITORHelms et al report a significant association between common foodborne infections, including campylobacteriosis, and increased short term and long term mortality.1 As this conflicts with conventional clinical wisdom,2 it is worth scrutinising the statistical method supporting the claim.
Helms et al compare ill cases with healthier (general population) controls by using a comorbidity index to adjust for the fact that underlying conditions were more common among patients than in the control group, particularly AIDS related illness, metastatic cancers, and lymphomas or leukaemia. But even after adjusting for comorbidity, the relative mortality fell only from 3.10 to 2.56.
Both the small impact of comorbidity adjustment and the association between infections and morbidity can be explained by known limitations of the Charlson comorbidity index. For example, for lung cancer survival, the Charlson index explained only 2.0% of the variation in survival.3 It has not been validated for gastrointestinal infections in
Louis Anthony Cox, Jr, president
Cox Associates, 503 Franklin Street, Denver, CO 80218, USA