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EDITOR
Two contrasting leading articles followed publication of the
randomised trial of the women's health initiative study of hormone
replacement therapy.
1 2
Stevenson and Whitehead in the BMJ said that the increased risk of breast cancer in the study was small, but they did not mention that during the study 42% of women taking active drug and 38% receiving placebo stopped the assigned treatment.1
In contrast, Fletcher and Colditz reported in JAMA that the intention to treat analysis may have underestimated the true effects. In addition, if the duration of treatment is important as seems to be the case with breast cancer and if compliance decreases over time, then five year results may have underestimated the long term treatment effects.2
Stevenson and Whitehead deduced that because the risk of breast cancer
was not appreciably increased in the first few years of taking hormone
replacement therapy, women wishing to take short
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