BMJ 2002;325:289-290 ( 10 August )

Editorials

Predicting spontaneous preterm birth

Fetal fibronectin and ultrasonography help to rule out labour, not rule it in

Papers p 301

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

The literature on predicting spontaneous preterm delivery deals with two areas. The first is predicting preterm delivery in asymptomatic patients. This is the risk you tell a woman in mid pregnancy when she asks you if she will deliver early. The second concerns symptomatic patients. These are women who report contractions between 24 and 36 weeks of gestation. To separate the two in the literature is difficult because both sets of data involve the same terminology and tests. The reader must therefore be aware of the populations being studied. The predictive values for any test are directly related to the incidence of the disease in the population studied. Therefore, a test that is predictive in a higher risk group may be of little use in the general population.

The initial attempts to predict preterm delivery in asymptomatic patients involved the use of risk factors in patients. These produced the Creasy risk scoring . . . [Full text of this article]


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Relevant Article

Accuracy of cervicovaginal fetal fibronectin test in predicting risk of spontaneous preterm birth: systematic review
Honest Honest, Lucas M Bachmann, Janesh K Gupta, Jos Kleijnen, and Khalid S Khan
BMJ 2002 325: 301. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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