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EDITOR
The cover of the BMJ on 2 February poses the
question "Rheumatoid arthritis: is it genetic?" and answers
"Probably not." Neither the question nor the response is valid.
The Danish twin study on which this conclusion is based identified no concordant monozygotic twin pairs and only two concordant dizygotic pairs from a sample of 37 338.1 By modelling the reported numbers of confirmed cases of rheumatoid arthritis, we calculate that the study had 80% power to detect a heritability of 65% and 90% power to detect a heritability of 75%. Thus there was insufficient power to detect a genetic influence on rheumatoid arthritis equivalent to the 60% heritability estimated in the two most recent twin studies of the disease.2
The point estimates of concordance are also cause for concern. The
prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis at 0.15% seems low, indicating
possible deficiencies in screening. The absence of the middle aged
birth