BMJ 2002;324:1100 ( 4 May )

Letters

Using twin studies to label disease as genetic or environmental is inappropriate

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR---The cover of the BMJ on 2 February poses the question "Rheumatoid arthritis: is it genetic?" and answers "Probably not." Neither the question nor the response is valid.

The Danish twin study on which this conclusion is based identified no concordant monozygotic twin pairs and only two concordant dizygotic pairs from a sample of 37 338.1 By modelling the reported numbers of confirmed cases of rheumatoid arthritis, we calculate that the study had 80% power to detect a heritability of 65% and 90% power to detect a heritability of 75%. Thus there was insufficient power to detect a genetic influence on rheumatoid arthritis equivalent to the 60% heritability estimated in the two most recent twin studies of the disease.2

The point estimates of concordance are also cause for concern. The prevalence of rheumatoid arthritis at 0.15% seems low, indicating possible deficiencies in screening. The absence of the middle aged birth . . . [Full text of this article]


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