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Reanalysis of data suggests that effect is not a placebo effect
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITOR
Irnich et al reported that acupuncture was superior to massage
though not to sham acupuncture for neck pain.1 This suggests that acupuncture is effective but that this is due to a
placebo effect.
The statistical method used (comparing improvements in pain between groups with pairwise t tests) is of questionable efficiency. Firstly, regression analysis including baseline score as a covariate has greater statistical power than comparison of change. 2 3 Secondly, each pairwise comparison in a three group trial ignores one third of the patients; such comparisons are thus underpowered when compared with regression modelling of all data.
Analysis of change scores, such as that reported, favours the group
with worse baseline pain scores (in this case, the group that had sham
acupuncture) because of regression to the mean4; conversely, analysis of follow up scores alone favours the group with
less baseline pain. Regression analysis gives similar results regardless
can we finally see the light?