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EDITOR
Shelton and Johnston's short report on the unmet need for
condoms in sub-Saharan Africa reminds us of how far we are from meeting
the urgent demand for the simplest and least expensive method of
preventing HIV infection.1 Our recent research in South
Africa suggests that their calculations are substantial underestimates.
In a cohort study of people procuring public sector condoms from
health facilities across South Africa2 participants (age range 14-63) reported an average of seven episodes of sexual
intercourse a month, or 84 a year.3 At this rate, slightly
more than one billion condoms would be required to protect each sexual
act of the roughly 12 million South African men aged 15-59. If these rates extend across sub-Saharan Africa the unmet need for condoms is
probably closer to 13 billion than the 1.9 billion estimated in the
paper. In addition, our research suggests that only half of the condoms
distributed through the public