Jump to: Page Content, Site Navigation, Site Search,
You are seeing this message because your web browser does not support basic web standards. Find out more about why this message is appearing and what you can do to make your experience on this site better.
Reducing waiting times from diagnosis to treatment might be more effective
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITOR
In their editorial on the two week rule for cancer referrals
Jones et al discuss the fact that steps to meet the target for
"urgent" referrals have led to a doubling of waiting time for
"routine" cases.1 This is exactly the result we would
expect from our calculations modelling waiting times with a Monte Carlo model based on Poisson fluctuations in demand.2
To sustain a waiting time below two weeks, capacity needs to exceed
mean demand by approximately two patients a week for a wide range of
values of mean demand. This applies to any appointment, including those
for diagnostic and staging procedures, as well as for treatment.
Applying this excess capacity to a subgroup of urgent referrals is
inherently less efficient than applying it to reduce the waits for all
patients. If a fast track for urgent referrals is created by
transferring resources from routine cases, this
Read all Rapid Responses