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EDITOR
Finding that patients with dyspepsia gain modest benefits from
eradication of Helicobacter pylori, Moayyedi et al conclude that this intervention "may be cost effective."1 This
conclusion should be taken with quite a bit of healthy scepticism. They
say that one patient benefiting out of 15 treated with antibiotics may
represent good value for money, depending on decision makers' willingness to pay for relief of dyspepsia. However, the risks associated with the antibiotic treatment are not taken into account in
the economic model used.
The table summarises the results of two of the included
trials,
2 3
showing an absolute increase in withdrawal
from the trial due to adverse events. Number needed to harm values are very close to the number needed to treat found by Moayyedi et al,
meaning that of each 15 patients treated one could benefit but another
one could experience side effects leading to withdrawal from the trial.