BMJ 2001;322:169 ( 20 January )

Letters

Homoeopathy versus placebo in perennial allergic rhinitis

    Statistics in study were flawed
    Study shows dissociation between objective and subjective responses to homoeopathy in allergic rhinitis
    Study shows double standards in evaluation of homoeopathy
    Results of study were not convincingly in favour of homoeopathy
    Did patients really have allergic rhinitis?
    Authors' reply

Statistics in study were flawed

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR---Taylor et al come to the conclusion that their study of homoeopathy versus placebo in perennial allergic rhinitis "has failed to confirm our original hypothesis that homeopathy is a placebo."1 Unfortunately, the statistics do not prove that.

The basis for the study was a prestudy power calculation that required 120 patients to prove the hypothesis with a 5% significance and an 80% power.2 In fact, the authors only recruited 51 patients but analysed the results as if they had the required number. Their only conclusion was that they did not have enough data to make a conclusion.

If we accept the availability of only 51 patients at the outset, what are the relevant calculations? The power calculation is only 43%, and to maintain the power calculation at 80% the P value becomes 34%. The only conclusion is that the trial is not able to prove anything.

Barry Miller, consultant anaesthetist
Royal Oldham Hospital, Oldham OL1 2JH barry.miller@bigfoot.com

Competing interests: None declared.



1. Taylor MA, Reilly D, Llewellyn-Jones RH, McSharry C, Aitchison TC. Randomised controlled trial of homoeopathy versus placebo in perennial allergic rhinitis with overview of four trial series [with commentary by T Lancaster, A Vickers]. BMJ 2000; 321: 471-476[Abstract/Free Full Text]. (19-26 August.)
2. Reilly DT, Taylor MA, McSharry C, Aitchison T. Is homoeopathy a placebo response? Controlled trial of homoeopathic potency, with pollen in hayfever as model. Lancet 1986; ii: 881-886.


Study shows dissociation between objective and subjective responses to homoeopathy in allergic rhinitis

EDITOR---Taylor et al . . . [Full text of this article]


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Related Article

Randomised controlled trial of homoeopathy versus placebo in perennial allergic rhinitis with overview of four trial series Commentary: Larger trials are needed
Morag A Taylor, David Reilly, Robert H Llewellyn-Jones, Charles McSharry, Tom C Aitchison, Tim Lancaster, and Andrew Vickers
BMJ 2000 321: 471-476. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]

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