BMJ 2000;321:1221 ( 11 November )

Letters

Lung cancer and passive smoking

    Turning over the wrong stone
    Increased risk is not disputed
    Nothing new was said
    Scales for visual test of publication bias are unfair
    Authors' reply

Turning over the wrong stone

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR---In their reanalysis of the epidemiological evidence on lung cancer and smoking Copas and Shi1 assert that after allowing for publication bias the apparent average excess risk of lung cancer from passive smoking2 would drop from 24% to 15%. Despite the lack of supporting data,3 we are asked to believe solely on the basis of statistical inference that such data must be hiding under a stone. They are, however, turning over the wrong stone.

More important than publication bias is the underestimation of risk that occurs when these studies assess exposure solely on the basis of whether non-smokers either lived or did not live with a smoker,2 when other exposure exists.

Where other exposure is common---for example, in childhood, in social situations, or in the workplace---the risk of lung cancer may be seriously underestimated. Spouses of non-smokers exposed in other circumstances will be misclassified as non-exposed, . . . [Full text of this article]


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