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Turning over the wrong stone
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITOR
In their reanalysis of the epidemiological evidence on lung
cancer and smoking Copas and Shi1 assert that after allowing for publication bias the apparent average excess risk of lung
cancer from passive smoking2 would drop from 24% to 15%.
Despite the lack of supporting data,3 we are asked to believe solely on the basis of statistical inference that such data
must be hiding under a stone. They are, however, turning over the wrong stone.
More important than publication bias is the underestimation of risk that occurs when these studies assess exposure solely on the basis of whether non-smokers either lived or did not live with a smoker,2 when other exposure exists.
Where other exposure is common
for example, in childhood, in
social situations, or in the workplace
the risk of lung cancer may be seriously underestimated. Spouses of non-smokers exposed in
other circumstances will be misclassified as non-exposed,