BMJ 2000;320:709-710 ( 11 March )

Education and debate

Updated New Zealand cardiovascular disease risk-benefit prediction guide

Editorial by Jackson

Rodney Jackson, professor of epidemiology

Department of Community Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

rt.jackson@auckland.ac.nz

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

The benefits of drug treatment for patients with raised blood pressure or blood cholesterol are directly related to their pretreatment risk of a cardiovascular disease event. 1 2 This guide provides a simple quantitative method for assessing a person's risk of cardiovascular disease and the likely benefits of lowering blood pressure or blood cholesterol with drugs. These instructions and charts (figure) combine and update previous New Zealand cardiovascular disease risk assessment charts. 3 4 This is not a guideline for managing cardiovascular disease risk.


Table Removed (Available Only in the Full Text)


    Assessing risk of a cardiovascular event over next five years

A cardiovascular event is defined as a death related to coronary disease, non-fatal myocardial infarction, new angina, fatal or non-fatal stroke or transient ischaemic attack, or the development of congestive heart failure or peripheral vascular disease.

Estimating risk of cardiovascular disease
In some people, a high risk (>20% in five years) can be assumed on the basis of history, symptoms, or signs alone, including symptomatic cardiovascular disease (as defined above), . . . [Full text of this article]


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Relevant Article

Guidelines on preventing cardiovascular disease in clinical practice
Rodney Jackson
BMJ 2000 320: 659-661. [Extract] [Full Text] [PDF]

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Mistake in the NZ risk chart
Rod Jackson
bmj.com, 19 Mar 2000 [Full text]



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