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Stopping trials early may result in insufficient evidence being accrued
| The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below. |
EDITOR
Fan et al's paper is the second in the BMJ recently
to investigate prophylaxis against adverse effects of snake
antivenom.1 Earlier, Premawardhena et al in Sri Lanka
concluded that giving low dose subcutaneous adrenaline before antivenom
could prevent acute adverse reactions.2 The Brazilian
study (by Fan et al) showed no benefit in using promethazine as
pretreatment.1 Perhaps more interesting than the
conclusions, however, is that both these clinical trials were stopped
early because of interim analyses; they provide examples of the use and
pitfalls of such analyses.
The Sri Lankan group stopped recruitment halfway through its
study since the analysis showed a significant reduction in all acute
adverse effects when adrenaline was used as pretreatment rather than
placebo (P=0.0002). Unfortunately, in subanalysis of the severity of
adverse reactions in the two groups the differences in incidence of
mild, moderate, and severe reactions barely reached significance due to
the