BMJ 1999;318:1471-1480 ( 29 May )

Education and debate

    Why heart disease mortality is low in France: the time lag explanation
    Commentary: Alcohol and other dietary factors may be important
    Commentary: Intrauterine nutrition may be important
    Commentary: Heterogeneity of populations should be taken into account
    Authors' response

Why heart disease mortality is low in France: the time lag explanation

Malcolm Law, reader Nicholas Wald, professor

Wolfson Institute of Preventive Medicine, St Bartholomew's and The Royal London School of Medicine and Dentistry, London EC1M 6BQ

Correspondence to: Dr Law M.R.Law@mds.qmw.ac.uk

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

In France mortality from ischaemic heart disease is about a quarter of that in Britain.1-7 The major risk factors are no more favourable in France, and this so called "French paradox" has not been satisfactorily explained. Table 1 shows the difference in mortality from heart disease between the countries, and table 2 shows the similar levels of animal fat consumption, serum total cholesterol and high density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations, blood pressure, and (in men) smoking. The French paradox is usually attributed to the higher consumption of alcohol in France, notably of wine,2-5 and some have suggested a specific effect of red wine. In this article we assess quantitatively the extent to which this and other possible explanations can account for the low rate of heart disease in France. We then consider a novel "time lag" hypothesis, which, we believe, is the main explanation for the paradox.


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This hypothesis arises from . . . [Full text of this article]


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Rapid Responses:

Read all Rapid Responses

African-Caribbeans offer another example of paradox, consistent with 'time-lag' and 'diet-heart'
J Kennedy Cruickshank
bmj.com, 29 May 1999 [Full text]
Commentary: Lactose, sweeteners and wine may explain the "French paradox"
William B Grant
bmj.com, 1 Jun 1999 [Full text]
A stillborn hypothesis
Uffe Ravnskov
bmj.com, 4 Jun 1999 [Full text]
Why heart disease mortality is low in France
Jeffrey J Segall
bmj.com, 8 Jun 1999 [Full text]
Controversial suggestion indicates wish to focus on modifiable risk factors with immediate results
David Leon
bmj.com, 9 Jun 1999 [Full text]
Re: Social attitudes and heart disease
Brian J Ford
bmj.com, 10 Jun 1999 [Full text]
Clearly, wine consumption correlates with the residual differences in mortality rate
John H Glaser
bmj.com, 30 Jun 1999 [Full text]
French Paradox -- Silicon?
Don Bradley
bmj.com, 4 Jul 1999 [Full text]
Flavonoids in wine, fruits, and vegetables may still be a factor in the French Paradox
John D Folts
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Other explanations for the Southern Europe paradox
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My God, fat comsumption started later in France?
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