BMJ 1999;318:873 ( 27 March )

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How do two meta-analyses of similar data reach opposite conclusions?

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR---In their meta-analysis Fahey et al concluded that treatment with antibiotics made no significant difference to the resolution of acute cough,1 although they found a trend favouring antibiotics. The Cochrane meta-analysis on treatment of acute bronchitis concluded that antibiotics have a modest beneficial effect.2 Eight of the nine studies extracted were the same in both meta-analyses, and 90% of the 750 patients were used in both.

How can two meta-analyses based on the same studies come to opposite conclusions? In Fahey et al's study the outcome measures were resolution of cough and clinical improvement on re-examination. In the Cochrane meta-analysis, four outcomes showed significant differences between antibiotic treatment and placebo. The patients were less likely to report feeling unwell at a follow up visit (two studies), to show no improvement on assessment by a doctor (four studies), and to have abnormal lung findings (two studies) and had a more . . . [Full text of this article]


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Relevant Article

Quantitative systematic review of randomised controlled trials comparing antibiotic with placebo for acute cough in adults
Tom Fahey, Nigel Stocks, and Toby Thomas
BMJ 1998 316: 906-910. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF]




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