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EDITOR
We agree with Tunstall-Pedoe that crude death rates are
misleading in comparisons.1 However, clinicians and
epidemiologists have different attitudes towards these health indicators.
Mortality from ischaemic heart disease has been low in Japan.2 None the less, its recent trends were interpreted differently by clinicians and epidemiologists. On the basis of their experience, clinicians believed that mortality from ischaemic heart disease was on the rise. Trends in crude rates were compatible with their belief. Epidemiologists argued that to see the secular trend required age adjustment, which reduced the resultant rates. There was no simple answer about the validity of the two interpretations.3 Which was true?
If age adjusted mortality is higher in one population than in another,
discovering the cause is a concern of public health. However, age
adjusted mortality differs from the crude mortality that directly
reflects the real number of deaths because it is a hypothetical value.