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EDITOR
Sarasin and Bounameaux's decision analysis model of treatment
in factor V Leiden carriers1 is in keeping with the
results of our cohort study.2 In our study the annual rate
of recurrence when treatment with warfarin was stopped was 11.1 per 100 patient-years. Patients who had an idiopathic first event were more
likely to have a recurrence than those whose first event was
precipitated (log rank=4.76, P=0.029). The recurrence rate in these
high risk patients was 28.6 per 100 patient-years.
In a previous prospective cohort study of patients who had had a first
deep vein thrombosis 11.5% of recurrent events were fatal, but all
deaths occurred in patients with cancer.3 In the absence
of cancer the risk of fatal recurrence was zero after a median follow
up of nearly eight years. Even if 1% of events are assumed to be fatal
in the absence of cancer, our study indicates that the risks