BMJ 1998;316:1241 ( 18 April )

Letters

Economic benefit analysis of primary prevention with pravastatin

    Modelling economic benefits after such long term treatment is inappropriate
    Assumptions are methodologically flawed
    Author's reply

Modelling economic benefits after such long term treatment is inappropriate

The first 150 words of the full text of this article appear below.

EDITOR---The West of Scotland Coronary Prevention Study Group used an epidemiological model to estimate the cost effectiveness ratio for cholesterol lowering with pravastatin.1 Although the title suggests otherwise, this is not a direct health economic analysis of original trial data, and why such an analysis has not been published is unclear. Original trial data would provide direct estimates of the number of life years of survival in treated and untreated groups, over the five years of the study. Similarly, a direct estimate of the drug costs would have been available; these would have been offset by an estimate of savings from the reduction in non-fatal adverse events.

A close approximation to this can be carried out by using published data. The all cause death rate in the treated group over five years in the trial was 3.2%, compared with 4.1% in the untreated group.2 With a starting population . . . [Full text of this article]


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