BMJ 1998;316:325 (31 January)

Editorials

Chinese avian influenza

The H5N1 virus will probably not result in a pandemic

Influenza viruses are unique among respiratory viruses in exhibiting "drift," which is change in surface antigens as a result of host immunological pressure. In addition, influenza A viruses exhibit "shift"—which is the genetic intermingling of human strains with animal or bird strains, resulting in completely new viruses of pandemic potential. This makes the production of long lasting comprehensive vaccines impossible and continual monitoring for the appearance of new strains essential. Moreover, unlike infections transmitted through blood, food, or water, those transmitted through the respiratory tract are difficult to control through public health measures apart from vaccination and in controlled situations such as laboratories or under barrier protection conditions. Hence the current interest in so called Chinese or Hong Kong flu.1 International travel adds an extra urgency to this problem because of the speed with which a new virulent strain could potentially spread worldwide.

The most dramatic example in the past . . . [Full text of this article]


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Relevant Article

Plans for future influenza pandemics must raise awareness of Reye's syndrome
Susan Hall and Richard Lynn
BMJ 1998 317: 284. [Extract] [Full Text]

Related external webpages:

See BMJ Learning module on bird flu

This article has been cited by other articles:

  • Luke, L C, Dewar, C, Bailey, M, McGreevy, D, Morris, H, Burdett-Smith, P (2002). A little nightclub medicine: the healthcare implications of clubbing. Emerg. Med. J. 19: 542-545 [Abstract] [Full text]  
  • Hall, S., Lynn, R. (1998). Plans for future influenza pandemics must raise awareness of Reye's syndrome. BMJ 317: 284-284 [Full text]  



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