BMJ 1998;316:140-144 (10 January)
Education and debate
Meta-analysis Spurious precision? Meta-analysis of observational studies
Matthias Egger,
reader in social medicine and epidemiology,a
Martin Schneider,
research fellow,b
George Davey Smith,
professor of clinical epidemiology aa Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 2PR,
b Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Berne, CH-3012 Berne, Switzerland
Correspondence to: DrEgger m.egger@bristol.ac.uk
In previous articles we have focused on the potentials, principles, and pitfalls of meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.1 2 3 4 5 Meta-analysis of observational data is, however, also becoming common. In a Medline search we identified 566 articles (excluding those published as letters) published in 1995 and indexed with the medical subject heading (MeSH) term "meta-analysis." We randomly selected 100 of these articles and examined them further. Sixty articles reported on actual meta-analyses, and 40 were methodological papers, editorials, and traditional reviews (1). Among the meta-analyses, about half were based on observational studies, mainly cohort and case-control studies of medical interventions or aetiological associations.
Available Only in the Full Text |
|
Characteristics of 100 articles randomly selected from articles published in 1995 and indexed in Medline with keyword "meta-analysis"
|
|
The randomised controlled trial is the principal research design in . . . [Full text of this article]
Summary points

CiteULike
Complore
Connotea
Del.icio.us
Digg
Reddit
Technorati What's this?
Relevant Articles
-
Reasons or excuses for avoiding meta-analysis in forest plots
- John P A Ioannidis, Nikolaos A Patsopoulos, and Hannah R Rothstein
BMJ 2008 336: 1413-1415.
[Extract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
-
Strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies
- Erik von Elm, Douglas G Altman, Matthias Egger, Stuart J Pocock, Peter C Gøtzsche, Jan P Vandenbroucke STROBE Initiative
BMJ 2007 335: 806-808.
[Extract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
-
Dietary antioxidants and primary prevention of age related macular degeneration: systematic review and meta-analysis
- Elaine W-T Chong, Tien Y Wong, Andreas J Kreis, Julie A Simpson, and Robyn H Guymer
BMJ 2007 335: 755.
[Abstract]
[Full Text]
[PDF]
-
Meta-analyses of observational data should be done with due care
- George Davey Smith and Matthias Egger
BMJ 1999 318: 56.
[Extract]
[Full Text]
This article has been cited by other articles:
-
Islami, F., Kamangar, F.
(2008). Helicobacter pylori and Esophageal Cancer Risk: A Meta-analysis. Cancer Prevention Research
1: 329-338
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Ioannidis, J. P A, Patsopoulos, N. A, Rothstein, H. R
(2008). Reasons or excuses for avoiding meta-analysis in forest plots. BMJ
336: 1413-1415
[Full text]
-
Szekely, C. A., Green, R. C., Breitner, J.C.S., Ostbye, T., Beiser, A. S., Corrada, M. M., Dodge, H. H., Ganguli, M., Kawas, C. H., Kuller, L. H., Psaty, B. M., Resnick, S. M., Wolf, P. A., Zonderman, A. B., Welsh-Bohmer, K. A., Zandi, P. P.
(2008). No advantage of A{beta}42-lowering NSAIDs for prevention of Alzheimer dementia in six pooled cohort studies. Neurology
70: 2291-2298
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Franchini, M., Mengoli, C., Veneri, D., Mazzi, R., Lippi, G., Cruciani, M.
(2008). Treatment of chronic hepatitis C in haemophilic patients with interferon and ribavirin: a meta-analysis. J Antimicrob Chemother
61: 1191-1200
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Chong, E. W-T., Kreis, A. J., Wong, T. Y., Simpson, J. A., Guymer, R. H.
(2008). Dietary {omega}-3 Fatty Acid and Fish Intake in the Primary Prevention of Age-Related Macular Degeneration: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis. Arch Ophthalmol
126: 826-833
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Galobardes, B, Lynch, J W, Smith, G D.
(2008). Is the association between childhood socioeconomic circumstances and cause-specific mortality established? Update of a systematic review. J. Epidemiol. Community Health
62: 387-390
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Bekkering, G. E., Harris, R. J., Thomas, S., Mayer, A.-M. B., Beynon, R., Ness, A. R., Harbord, R. M., Bain, C., Smith, G. D., Sterne, J. A. C.
(2008). How Much of the Data Published in Observational Studies of the Association between Diet and Prostate or Bladder Cancer Is Usable for Meta-Analysis?. Am J Epidemiol
167: 1017-1026
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Macleod, J.
(2007). Cannabis use and psychosis: the origins and implications of an association. Adv. Psychiatr. Treat.
13: 400-411
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Elm, E. v., Altman, D. G, Egger, M., Pocock, S. J, Gotzsche, P. C, Vandenbroucke, J. P, STROBE Initiative,
(2007). Strengthening the reporting of observational studies in epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. BMJ
335: 806-808
[Full text]
-
von Elm, E., Altman, D. G., Egger, M., Pocock, S. J., Gotzsche, P. C., Vandenbroucke, J. P., for the STROBE Initiative,
(2007). The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) Statement: Guidelines for Reporting Observational Studies. ANN INTERN MED
147: 573-577
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Chong, E. W-T, Wong, T. Y, Kreis, A. J, Simpson, J. A, Guymer, R. H
(2007). Dietary antioxidants and primary prevention of age related macular degeneration: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ
335: 755-755
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Authors/Task Force Members, , Graham, I., Atar, D., Borch-Johnsen, K., Boysen, G., Burell, G., Cifkova, R., Dallongeville, J., De Backer, G., Ebrahim, S., Gjelsvik, B., Herrmann-Lingen, C., Hoes, A., Humphries, S., Knapton, M., Perk, J., Priori, S. G., Pyorala, K., Reiner, Z., Ruilope, L., Sans-Menendez, S., Scholte op Reimer, W., Weissberg, P., Wood, D., Yarnell, J., Zamorano, J. L., Other experts who contributed to parts of the guid, , Walma, E., Fitzgerald, T., Cooney, M. T., Dudina, A., European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Committee for, , Vahanian, A., Camm, J., De Caterina, R., Dean, V., Dickstein, K., Funck-Brentano, C., Filippatos, G., Hellemans, I., Kristensen, S. D., McGregor, K., Sechtem, U., Silber, S., Tendera, M., Widimsky, P., Zamorano, J. L., Document reviewers:, , Hellemans, I., Altiner, A., Bonora, E., Durrington, P. N., Fagard, R., Giampaoli, S., Hemingway, H., Hakansson, J., Kjeldsen, S. E., Larsen, M. L., Mancia, G., Manolis, A. J., Orth-Gomer, K., Pedersen, T., Rayner, M., Ryden, L., Sammut, M., Schneiderman, N., Stalenhoef, A. F., Tokgozoglu, L., Wiklund, O., Zampelas, A.
(2007). European guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention in clinical practice: executive summary: Fourth Joint Task Force of the European Society of Cardiology and Other Societies on Cardiovascular Disease Prevention in Clinical Practice (Constituted by representatives of nine societies and by invited experts). Eur Heart J
28: 2375-2414
[Full text]
-
Scott, P A, Kingsley, G H, Smith, C M, Choy, E H, Scott, D L
(2007). Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and myocardial infarctions: comparative systematic review of evidence from observational studies and randomised controlled trials. Ann Rheum Dis
66: 1296-1304
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Golberg, D., Szilagyi, A., Graves, L.
(2007). Hyperemesis Gravidarum and Helicobacter pylori Infection: A Systematic Review. Obstet Gynecol
110: 695-703
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Anderson, W.
(2007). Invited commentary. Ann. Thorac. Surg.
83: 2016-2016
[Full text]
-
Vazquez, G., Duval, S., Jacobs, D. R. Jr., Silventoinen, K.
(2007). Comparison of Body Mass Index, Waist Circumference, and Waist/Hip Ratio in Predicting Incident Diabetes: A Meta-Analysis. Epidemiol Rev
0: mxm008v1-
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
de Croon, E M
(2006). Studies in occupational epidemiology and the risk of overadjustment. Occup. Environ. Med.
63: 787-787
[Full text]
-
Hindley, N, Ramchandani, P G, Jones, D P H
(2006). Risk factors for recurrence of maltreatment: a systematic review. Arch. Dis. Child.
91: 744-752
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Delgado-Rodriguez, M.
(2006). Systematic reviews of meta-analyses: applications and limitations. J. Epidemiol. Community Health
60: 90-92
[Full text]
-
Wijeysundera, D. N., Beattie, W. S., Djaiani, G., Rao, V., Borger, M. A., Karkouti, K., Cusimano, R. J.
(2005). Off-Pump Coronary Artery Surgery for Reducing Mortality and Morbidity: Meta-Analysis of Randomized and Observational Studies. J Am Coll Cardiol
46: 872-882
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Tattersfield, A E
(2005). When should a long acting {beta} agonist be added to an inhaled corticosteroid?. Thorax
60: 710-710
[Full text]
-
Gilbert, R., Salanti, G., Harden, M., See, S.
(2005). Infant sleeping position and the sudden infant death syndrome: systematic review of observational studies and historical review of recommendations from 1940 to 2002. Int J Epidemiol
34: 874-887
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Chou, R., Helfand, M.
(2005). Challenges in Systematic Reviews That Assess Treatment Harms. ANN INTERN MED
142: 1090-1099
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Hartling, L., McAlister, F. A., Rowe, B. H., Ezekowitz, J., Friesen, C., Klassen, T. P.
(2005). Challenges in Systematic Reviews of Therapeutic Devices and Procedures. ANN INTERN MED
142: 1100-1111
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Virtanen, M., Kivimaki, M., Joensuu, M., Virtanen, P., Elovainio, M., Vahtera, J.
(2005). Temporary employment and health: a review. Int J Epidemiol
34: 610-622
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Galobardes, B., Lynch, J. W., Davey Smith, G.
(2004). Childhood Socioeconomic Circumstances and Cause-specific Mortality in Adulthood: Systematic Review and Interpretation. Epidemiol Rev
26: 7-21
[Full text]
-
Chan, W.-S., Ray, J., Wai, E. K., Ginsburg, S., Hannah, M. E., Corey, P. N., Ginsberg, J. S.
(2004). Risk of Stroke in Women Exposed to Low-Dose Oral Contraceptives: A Critical Evaluation of the Evidence. Arch Intern Med
164: 741-747
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Kashyap, S., Moher, D., Fung, M. F. K., Rosenwaks, Z.
(2004). Assisted Reproductive Technology and the Incidence of Ovarian Cancer: A Meta-Analysis. Obstet Gynecol
103: 785-794
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Athanasiou, T., Al-Ruzzeh, S., Kumar, P., Crossman, M.-C., Amrani, M., Pepper, J. R., Del Stanbridge, R., Casula, R., Glenville, B.
(2004). Off-pump myocardial revascularization is associated with less incidence of stroke in elderly patients. Ann. Thorac. Surg.
77: 745-753
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Rushton, L., Elliott, P.
(2003). Evaluating evidence on environmental health risks. Br Med Bull
68: 113-128
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Leistikow, B.
(2003). Commentary: Questionable premises, overadjustment, and a smoking/suicide association in younger adult men. Int J Epidemiol
32: 1005-1006
[Full text]
-
Benjamin, D. K. Jr, Poole, C., Steinbach, W. J., Rowen, J. L., Walsh, T. J.
(2003). Neonatal Candidemia and End-Organ Damage: A Critical Appraisal of the Literature Using Meta-analytic Techniques. Pediatrics
112: 634-640
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Bennett, D. A
(2003). Review of analytical methods for prospective cohort studies using time to event data: single studies and implications for meta-analysis. Stat Methods Med Res
12: 297-319
[Abstract]
-
COOPER, B.
(2003). Evidence-based mental health policy: a critical appraisal. Br. J. Psychiatry
183: 105-113
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Critchley, J. A., Capewell, S.
(2003). Mortality Risk Reduction Associated With Smoking Cessation in Patients With Coronary Heart Disease: A Systematic Review. JAMA
290: 86-97
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Bhandari, M., Morrow, F., Kulkarni, A. V., Tornetta, P. III
(2003). Meta-Analyses in Orthopaedic Surgery : A Systematic Review of Their Methodologies. JBJS
83: 15-15
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Thomas, C., Stevenson, M., Riley, T. V.
(2003). Antibiotics and hospital-acquired Clostridium difficile-associated diarrhoea: a systematic review. J Antimicrob Chemother
51: 1339-1350
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Critchley, J A, Unal, B
(2003). Health effects associated with smokeless tobacco: a systematic review. Thorax
58: 435-443
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Nieto, F.
(2002). Commentary: The epidemiology of self-deprecation. Int J Epidemiol
31: 1124-1127
[Full text]
-
OWENS, D., HORROCKS, J., HOUSE, A.
(2002). Fatal and non-fatal repetition of self-harm: Systematic review. Br. J. Psychiatry
181: 193-199
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Little, J., Bradley, L., Bray, M. S., Clyne, M., Dorman, J., Ellsworth, D. L., Hanson, J., Khoury, M., Lau, J., O'Brien, T. R., Rothman, N., Stroup, D., Taioli, E., Thomas, D., Vainio, H., Wacholder, S., Weinberg, C.
(2002). Reporting, Appraising, and Integrating Data on Genotype Prevalence and Gene-Disease Associations. Am J Epidemiol
156: 300-310
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Van Gerpen, J. A., Ahlskog, J. E., Ben-Shlomo, Y., Head, J., Lees, A., Donnan, P. T., Steinke, D. T., Davey, P. G., MacDonald, T. M.
(2002). Selegiline and mortality in subjects with Parkinson's disease: A longitudinal community study. Neurology
57: 368-370
[Full text]
-
Wyatt, J, Guly, H
(2002). Identifying the research question and planning the project. Emerg. Med. J.
19: 318-321
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Ness, A.
(2002). Commentary: Is olive oil a key ingredient in the Mediterranean recipe for health?. Int J Epidemiol
31: 481-482
[Full text]
-
Chalmers, I., Hedges, L. V., Cooper, H.
(2002). A Brief History of Research Synthesis. Eval Health Prof
25: 12-37
[Abstract]
-
Helfenstein, U
(2002). Data and models determine treatment proposals--an illustration from meta-analysis. Postgrad. Med. J.
78: 131-134
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Egger, M., Ebrahim, S., Smith, G. D.
(2002). Where now for meta-analysis?. Int J Epidemiol
31: 1-5
[Full text]
-
Dickersin, K.
(2002). Systematic reviews in epidemiology: why are we so far behind?. Int J Epidemiol
31: 6-12
[Full text]
-
Al-Shahi, R., Warlow, C.
(2001). A systematic review of the frequency and prognosis of arteriovenous malformations of the brain in adults. Brain
124: 1900-1926
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Bracken, M. B
(2001). Commentary: Toward systematic reviews in epidemiology. Int J Epidemiol
30: 954-957
[Full text]
-
Brunner, E.
(2001). Commentary: Education, education, education. Int J Epidemiol
30: 1126-1128
[Full text]
-
Bush, T. L., Whiteman, M., Flaws, J. A.
(2001). Hormone Replacement Therapy and Breast Cancer: A Qualitative Review. Obstet Gynecol
98: 498-508
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Sandhu, M. S., White, I. R., McPherson, K.
(2001). Systematic Review of the Prospective Cohort Studies on Meat Consumption and Colorectal Cancer Risk: A Meta-Analytical Approach. Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev.
10: 439-446
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Hooper, L., Summerbell, C. D, Higgins, J. P T, Thompson, R. L, Capps, N. E, Smith, G. D., Riemersma, R. A, Ebrahim, S.
(2001). Dietary fat intake and prevention of cardiovascular disease: systematic review. BMJ
322: 757-763
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Weed, D L
(2001). Methods in epidemiology and public health: does practice match theory?. J. Epidemiol. Community Health
55: 104-110
[Full text]
-
Ness, A.
(2001). Commentary: Beyond beta-carotene--antioxidants and cardiovascular disease. Int J Epidemiol
30: 143-144
[Full text]
-
Bassler, D., Antes, G., Egger, M., Wu, Y. W., Colford, Jr, J. M.
(2000). Non-English Reports of Medical Research. JAMA
284: 2996-2997
[Full text]
-
van Dijk, D., Keizer, A. M. A., Diephuis, J. C., Durand, C., Vos, L. J., Hijman, R.
(2000). Neurocognitive dysfunction after coronary artery bypass surgery: A systematic review. J. Thorac. Cardiovasc. Surg.
120: 632-639
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Witorsch, R. J., Witorsch, P.
(2000). Review : Environmental Tobacco Smoke and Respiratory Health in Children: A Critical Review and Analysis of the Literature from 1969 to 19981. Indoor and Built Environment
9: 246-264
[Abstract]
-
Wilson, K., Code, C., Ricketts, M. N
(2000). Risk of acquiring Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease from blood transfusions: systematic review of case-control studies. BMJ
321: 17-19
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Weed, D. L
(2000). Interpreting epidemiological evidence: how meta-analysis and causal inference methods are related. Int J Epidemiol
29: 387-390
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Stroup, D. F., Berlin, J. A., Morton, S. C., Olkin, I., Williamson, G. D., Rennie, D., Moher, D., Becker, B. J., Sipe, T. A., Thacker, S. B., for the Meta-analysis Of Observational Studies in,
(2000). Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology: A Proposal for Reporting. JAMA
283: 2008-2012
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
AL-SHAHI, R., WARLOW, C. P
(1999). Prospective, population based studies of cavernous malformations are needed. J. Neurol. Neurosurg. Psychiatry
67: 833-833
[Full text]
-
Ness, A., Egger, M., Smith, G. D., Lonn, E., Yusuf, S.
(1999). Role of antioxidant vitamins in prevention of cardiovascular diseases. BMJ
319: 577-577
[Full text]
-
Cook, D. G, Strachan, D. P
(1999). Health effects of passive smoking {bullet} 10: Summary of effects of parental smoking on the respiratory health of children and implications for research. Thorax
54: 357-366
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Smith, G. D., Egger, M.
(1999). Meta-analyses of observational data should be done with due care. BMJ
318: 56-56
[Full text]
-
Williams, H., Adetugbo, K., Po, A. L. W., Naldi, L., Diepgen, T., Murrell, D.
(1998). The Cochrane Skin Group: Preparing, Maintaining, and Disseminating Systematic Reviews of Clinical Interventions in Dermatology. Arch Dermatol
134: 1620-1626
[Abstract]
[Full text]
-
Cates, C J, Shakespeare, T. P, Bourke, R. C, Harris, J., Fahey, T., Stocks, N.
(1998). Systematic review of trials comparing antibiotic with placebo for acute cough in adults. BMJ
317: 1014a-1014
[Full text]