BMJ 1995;311:1356-1359 (18 November)
Education and debate
An evidence based approach to individualising treatment
Paul P Glasziou,
senior lecturer in clinical epidemiology,a
Les M Irwig,
professor in epidemiology ba Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Medical School, Herston, Queensland, Australia 4006,
b Department of Public Health and Community Medicine, Building A27, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia 2006
Correspondence to: Dr Glasziou.
To which groups of patients can the results of clinical trials be applied? This question is often inappropriately answered by reference to the trial entry criteria. Instead, the benefit and harm (adverse events, discomfort of treatment, etc) of treatment could be assessed separately for individual patients. Patients at greatest risk of a disease will have the greatest net benefit as benefit to patients usually increases with risk while harm remains comparatively fixed. To assess net benefit, the relative risks should come from (a meta-analysis of) randomised trials; the risk in individual patients should come from multivariate risk equations derived from cohort studies. However, before making firm conclusions, the assumptions of fixed adverse effects and constant reduction in relative risk need to be checked.
Should all patients with acute myocardial infarct receive streptokinase? Should all patients with non-valvar . . . [Full text of this article]

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