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Epidemics can be traced to genetic drift - the accumulation of mutations in the antigenic domains of the haemagglutinin and neuraminidase spike glycoproteins. These changes allow the virus to escape immunological surveillance and spread through human populations. More catastrophic are pandemics. These global outbreaks arise from genetic shift: the emergence of completely new haemagglutinin or neuraminidase molecules to which most people are not immune. The source of these new influenza virus gene segments is wild aquatic birds, which harbour all 14 haemagglutinin subtypes of influenza A viruses.
Five pandemics of influenza have occurred this century at irregular intervals, including the "Spanish" pandemic, which claimed over 20 million
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