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Published 14 July 2009, doi:10.1136/bmj.b2538
Cite this as: BMJ 2009;339:b2538
Nicholas Latimer, research fellow in health economics 1, Joanne Lord, reader in health economics 2, Robert L Grant, senior technical adviser, medical statistician3,4, Rachel OMahony, research fellow3, John Dickson, community physician in rheumatology5, Philip G Conaghan, professor of musculoskeletal medicine6, on behalf of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Osteoarthritis Guideline Development Group
1 Health Economics and Decision Science, School of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S1 4DA, 2 Health Economics Research Group, Brunel University, Middlesex UB8 3PH, 3 National Collaborating Centre for Chronic Conditions, Royal College of Physicians of London, London NW1 4LE, 4 Royal College of Physicians of London, London NW1 4LE, 5 Redcar and Cleveland Primary Care Trust, Guisborough Primary Care Hospital, North Yorkshire TS14 6HZ, 6 Section of Musculoskeletal Disease, University of Leeds, Leeds LS7 4SA
Correspondence to: P G Conaghan p.conaghan{at}leeds.ac.uk
Design An economic evaluation using a Markov model and data from a systematic review was conducted. Estimates of cardiovascular and gastrointestinal adverse events were based on data from three large randomised controlled trials, and observational data were used for sensitivity analyses. Efficacy benefits from treatment were estimated from a meta-analysis of trials reporting total Western Ontario and McMaster Universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index score. Other model inputs were obtained from the relevant literature. The model was run for a hypothetical population of people with osteoarthritis. Subgroup analyses were conducted for people at high risk of gastrointestinal or cardiovascular adverse events.
Comparators Licensed COX 2 selective inhibitors (celecoxib and etoricoxib) and traditional NSAIDs (diclofenac, ibuprofen, and naproxen) for which suitable data were available were compared. Paracetamol was also included, as was the possibility of adding a proton pump inhibitor (omeprazole) to each treatment.
Main outcome measures The main outcome measure was cost effectiveness, which was based on quality adjusted life years gained. Quality adjusted life year scores were calculated from pooled estimates of efficacy and major adverse events (that is, dyspepsia; symptomatic ulcer; complicated gastrointestinal perforation, ulcer, or bleed; myocardial infarction; stroke; and heart failure).
Results Addition of a proton pump inhibitor to both COX 2 selective inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs was highly cost effective for all patient groups considered (incremental cost effectiveness ratio less than £1000 (
1175, $1650)). This finding was robust across a wide range of effectiveness estimates if the cheapest proton pump inhibitor was used. In our base case analysis, adding a proton pump inhibitor to a COX 2 selective inhibitor (used at the lowest licensed dose) was a cost effective option, even for patients at low risk of gastrointestinal adverse events (incremental cost effectiveness ratio approximately £10 000). Uncertainties around relative adverse event rates meant relative cost effectiveness for individual COX 2 selective inhibitors and traditional NSAIDs was difficult to determine.
Conclusions Prescribing a proton pump inhibitor for people with osteoarthritis who are taking a traditional NSAID or COX 2 selective inhibitor is cost effective. The cost effectiveness analysis was sensitive to adverse event data and the specific choice of COX 2 selective inhibitor or NSAID agent should, therefore, take into account individual cardiovascular and gastrointestinal risks.
© Latimer et al 2009
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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