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Published 6 July 2009, doi:10.1136/bmj.b2477
Cite this as: BMJ 2009;339:b2477
Domenico Inzitari, full professor of neurology and chairman of the department1, Giovanni Pracucci, neurologist1, Anna Poggesi, neurologist PhD student1, Giovanna Carlucci, assistant professor in neurology1, Frederik Barkhof, full professor of neuroradiology2, Hugues Chabriat, professor of neurology3, Timo Erkinjuntti, full professor of neurology4, Franz Fazekas, full professor of neurology5, José M Ferro, chairman professor of neurology6, Michael Hennerici, full professor of neurology and chairman of the department7, Peter Langhorne, full professor of geriatric medicine8, John OBrien, professor of old age psychiatry9, Philip Scheltens, full professor of neurology2, Marieke C Visser, assistant professor of neurology2, Lars-Olof Wahlund, professor of geriatric medicine10, Gunhild Waldemar, full professor of neurology11, Anders Wallin, full professor of neuropsychiatry12, Leonardo Pantoni, consultant neurologist1, on behalf of the LADIS Study Group
1 Department of Neurological and Psychiatric Sciences, University of Florence, Viale Morgagni 85, 50134 Firenze, Italy, 2 Department of Radiology and Neurology, VU Medical Centre, Amsterdam, Netherlands, 3 Department of Neurology, Hopital Lariboisiere, Paris, France, 4 Memory Research Unit, Department of Clinical Neurosciences, Helsinki University, Helsinki, Finland, 5 Department of Neurology and MRI Institute, Medical University Graz, Austria, 6 Serviço de Neurologia, Centro de Estudos Egas Moniz, Hospital de Santa Maria Lisboa, Portugal, 7 Department of Neurology, University of Heidelberg, Klinikum Mannheim, Mannheim, Germany, 8 Academic Department for Geriatric Medicine, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, Glasgow, 9 Institute for Ageing and Health, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, 10 Karolinska Institute, Department of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska University Hospital Huddinge, Huddinge, Sweden, 11 Memory Disorders Research Unit, Department of Neurology, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark, 12 Institute of Clinical Neuroscience, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden
Correspondence to: D Inzitari inzitari{at}neuro.unifi.it
Design Observational data collection and follow-up of a cohort of older people undergoing brain magnetic resonance imaging after non-disabling complaints.
Setting 11 European centres.
Participants 639 non-disabled older patients (mean age 74.1 (SD 5.0), 45.1% men) in whom brain magnetic resonance imaging showed mild, moderate, or severe age related changes in white matter (Fazekas scale). Magnetic resonance imaging assessment also included cerebral infarcts and atrophy.
Main outcome measure Transition from no disability (defined as a score of 0 or 1 on the instrumental activities of daily living scale) to disability (score
2) or death over three year follow-up. Secondary outcomes were incident dementia and stroke.
Results Over a mean follow-up period of 2.42 years (SD 0.97, median 2.94 years), information on the main outcome was available for 633 patients. The annual rate of transition or death was 10.5%, 15.1%, and 29.5%, respectively, for patients with mild, moderate, or severe age related changes in white matter (Kaplan-Meier log rank test P<0.001). In a Cox model comparing severe with mild changes and adjusted for clinical factors of functional decline, the risk of transition to disability or death was more than twofold higher (hazard ratio 2.36, 95% confidence interval 1.65 to 3.81). The other predictors were age group, history of atrial fibrillation, and complaint of gait disturbances. The effect of severe changes remained significant independently of baseline degree of atrophy and number of infarcts. Incident stroke and dementia only slightly modified this effect.
Conclusion The three year results of the LADIS study suggest that in older adults who seek medical attention for non-disabling complaints, severe age related changes in white matter independently and strongly predict rapid global functional decline.
© Inzitari et al 2009
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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