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Published 12 May 2009, doi:10.1136/bmj.b1732
Cite this as: BMJ 2009;338:b1732
Pierre Charles, research fellow in epidemiology, specialist registrar in internal medicine1,2,3, Bruno Giraudeau, assistant professor of statistics1,4,5,6, Agnes Dechartres, research fellow in epidemiology1,2,3, Gabriel Baron, statistician1,2,3, Philippe Ravaud, professor of epidemiology1,2,3
1 INSERM, U738, Paris, France, 2 Université Paris 7 Denis Diderot, UFR de Médecine, Paris, 3 AP-HP, Hôpital Bichat, Département dEpidémiologie, Biostatistique et Recherche Clinique, Paris, 4 INSERM Centre dInvestigation Clinique 202, Tours, France, 5 Université François Rabelais, Tours, 6 CHRU de Tours, Tours
Correspondence to: P Ravaud, Département dEpidémiologie, Biostatistique et Recherche Clinique, Secteur Claude Bernard, Hôpital Bichat Claude Bernard, 75877 Paris, cedex 18, France philippe.ravaud{at}bch.aphp.fr
Design Review.
Data sources We searched MEDLINE for all primary reports of two arm parallel group randomised controlled trials of superiority with a single primary outcome published in six high impact factor general medical journals between 1 January 2005 and 31 December 2006. All extra material related to design of trials (other articles, online material, online trial registration) was systematically assessed. Data extracted by use of a standardised form included parameters required for sample size calculation and corresponding data reported in results sections of articles. We checked completeness of reporting of the sample size calculation, systematically replicated the sample size calculation to assess its accuracy, then quantified discrepancies between a priori hypothesised parameters necessary for calculation and a posteriori estimates.
Results Of the 215 selected articles, 10 (5%) did not report any sample size calculation and 92 (43%) did not report all the required parameters. The difference between the sample size reported in the article and the replicated sample size calculation was greater than 10% in 47 (30%) of the 157 reports that gave enough data to recalculate the sample size. The difference between the assumptions for the control group and the observed data was greater than 30% in 31% (n=45) of articles and greater than 50% in 17% (n=24). Only 73 trials (34%) reported all data required to calculate the sample size, had an accurate calculation, and used accurate assumptions for the control group.
Conclusions Sample size calculation is still inadequately reported, often erroneous, and based on assumptions that are frequently inaccurate. Such a situation raises questions about how sample size is calculated in randomised controlled trials.
© Charles et al 2009
This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
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