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Published 14 October 2008, doi:10.1136/bmj.a1724
Cite this as: BMJ 2008;337:a1724
Frank A Lederle, professor of medicine1, Joseph C Larson, statistical research associate2, Karen L Margolis, senior clinical investigator3, Matthew A Allison, assistant professor of family and preventive medicine4, Matthew S Freiberg, assistant professor of medicine and epidemiology5, Barbara B Cochrane, associate professor of family and child nursing6, William F Graettinger, professor of medicine7, J David Curb, professor of geriatric medicine and medicine8
1 VA Medical Center, Minneapolis, MN 55417, USA, 2 Womens Health Initiative Clinical Coordinating Center, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98109, 3 HealthPartners Research Foundation, Minneapolis, MN 55440-1524, 4 University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093-0811, 5 University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15215, 6 University of Washington School of Nursing, Seattle, WA 98195-7262, 7 University of Nevada School of Medicine, Reno, NV 89557, 8 University of Hawaii School of Medicine, Honolulu, HI 96813
Correspondence to: F A Lederle frank.lederle{at}va.gov
Design Large prospective observational cohort study with mean follow-up of 7.8 years.
Setting 40 clinical centres across the United States.
Participants 161 808 postmenopausal women aged 50-79 enrolled in the womens health initiative.
Main outcome measures Association of self reported or measured baseline variables with confirmed abdominal aortic aneurysm events assessed with multiple logistic regression.
Results Events occurred in 184 women and were strongly associated with age and smoking. Ever smoking, current smoking, and amount smoked all contributed independent risk. Diabetes showed a negative association (odds ratio 0.29, 95% confidence interval 0.13, 0.68), as did postmenopausal hormone therapy. Positive associations were also seen for height, hypertension, cholesterol lowering treatment, and coronary and peripheral artery disease.
Conclusions Our findings confirm the strong positive associations of clinically important abdominal aortic aneurysm with age and smoking in women and the negative association with diabetes previously reported in men.
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