BMJ 2002;325:15 ( 6 July )

Papers

Retrospective audit of different antenatal screening policies for Down's syndrome in eight district general hospitals in one health region

Diana Wellesley, associate specialist in clinical geneticsa Tracy Boyle, section head, prenatal diagnosticsb John Barber, deputy director, cytogenetics laboratoryc David T Howe, consultant in fetomaternal medicined

a Wessex Clinical Genetics Service, Princess Anne Hospital, Southampton SO16 5YA, b Wessex Regional Genetics Laboratory, Salisbury District Hospital, Salisbury SP2 8BJ, c Human Genetics Research Division, Duthie Building, Southampton General Hospital, Southampton SO16 6YD, d Wessex Fetal Medicine Unit, Princess Anne Hospital, Southampton SO16 5YA

Correspondence to: D Wellesley dgw{at}soton.ac.uk

Objective: To compare the effectiveness of different screening policies for the antenatal detection of Down's syndrome.
Design: Retrospective six year survey.
Setting: Maternity units of eight districts.
Participants: Women who completed their pregnancies between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 1999 (155 501 deliveries).
Main outcome measures: Cases of Down's syndrome identified before 24 weeks' gestation.
Results: 335 cases of Down's syndrome were identified, 323 in continuing pregnancies or liveborn children. Of these, 171 were identified antenatally. Seven different screening policies were used, in three principal groups: serum screening offered to all mothers, maternal age with serum screening or nuchal translucency available to limited groups, and maternal age combined with anomaly scans. The districts that used serum screening detected 57%, those using maternal age plus serum or nuchal translucency screening 52%, and those using a maternal age of >= 35 and anomaly scans detected 54%. The least successful district, which offered amniocentesis only to women aged over 37 years, detected only 31%. If amniocentesis had been offered from 35 years, as in all other districts, the detection rate would have risen to 54%. Across the region 15% (range 12-20%) of pregnant women were 35 years or more at delivery, and 58% (33-69%) of infants with Down's syndrome were born to women in this age range.
Conclusions: Current additional serum or nuchal translucency screening techniques for antenatal detection of Down's syndrome are less advantageous than previously supposed. More pregnant women were aged over 35 than has been presumed in statistical models used in demonstration projects of serum screening and, as a result, the proportion of affected fetuses in this age group is much greater than predicted.

What is already known on this topic
Serum screening for Down's syndrome has been presumed to be more effective than screening by maternal age

There have been no controlled studies comparing serum screening with screening by maternal age, and its greater efficacy has been presumed from mathematical modelling, which assumed that only 5% of pregnant women were aged over 35 years

The modelling predicted that only 20-30% of cases of Down's syndrome would arise in women aged over 35 and made no allowance for the effects of routine anomaly scanning

What this study adds
15% of pregnant women were aged over 35 years, more than double the 5-7% presumed in statistical models of screening

58% of babies with Down's syndrome were born to women aged 35 years or more

Serum screening and nuchal scanning did not achieve significantly higher antenatal detection rates of Down's syndrome than the use of maternal age and routine anomaly scanning





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Rapid Responses:

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